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Matthew Semelsberger vs Charles Radtke Pick, 11/9/2024 Predictions UFC Vegas 100 Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 11/6/2024

Matthew Semelsberger vs Charles Radtke

UFC Vegas 100

UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, November 9, 2024

Matthew Semelsberger will face off with Charles Radtke at UFC Vegas 100 on Saturday, November 9, 2024. The opening odds have Semelsberger priced at +136 while Radtke is coming in at -162.

Matthew "Semi The Jedi" Semelsberger looks to add a victory to his career total of 11-7-0. The 31-year-old will fight at 170 lbs and stands in at 6'1". The switch fighter extends his reach 75". Charles "Chuck Buffalo" Radtke stands in at 5'9" and records a weight of 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a career mark of 9-4-0. The 34-year-old stretches 72". With respect to significant strikes, Matthew Semelsberger is landing 3.78 per minute while Charles Radtke is connecting on 3.22 significant strikes per min. Semelsberger is connecting on 43% of the significant strikes he attempts and Radtke is landing 52%. In terms of defending in the cage, "Semi The Jedi" absorbs 4.21 significant strikes per minute and "Chuck Buffalo" takes 3.05. Semelsberger also stops 54% of the significant strikes that are thrown his way and Radtke is able to thwart 55% of the shots thrown his way.

ufc picks Matthew Semelsberger ufc predictions best bet odds

 

UFC Vegas 100 Matthew Semelsberger Charles Radtke
Opening Odds +136 -162
Record 11-7-0 9-4-0
Average Fight Time 11:49 8:11
Height 6'1" 5'9"
Weight 170 lbs 170 lbs
Reach 75" 72"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 3.78 3.22
Striking Accuracy 43% 52%

Concerning grappling, Matthew Semelsberger is the more skilled wrestler as he is averaging a takedown 1.02 times per 15 minutes. Semelsberger is scoring a takedown on 57% of his attempts and stuffing 45% of all takedown tries against him. Radtke is taking his opponents to the mat on 12% of the takedowns he attempts and is defending 85% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Regarding going for the sub, Semelsberger is less apt at going for the finish by attempting 0.4 subs per 15 minutes while Radtke looks to get 0.7 subs per 15 minutes.

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The last time he stepped into the Octagon, Matthew Semelsberger fought Preston Parsons and wound up losing the fight via unanimous decision in round 3. Parsons ended up landing 116 of 165 of the strikes he let go in total for this contest. Semelsberger finished this fight landing 33 of 77 total strikes. When it comes to significant strikes, Parsons landed 47 of 87, which means his percentage was 54%. He landed 25 of 62 significant strikes to the head. Statistically, Semelsberger ended up landing 40% of his significant strikes by landing 28 of 69. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he was 18 of 55 to the head. 53% of the significant strikes landed by Parsons and 82% of them connected on by Semelsberger were thrown at distance.

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In the last bout for Charles Radtke, he faced off with Carlos Prates and wound up losing the fight via a knee to the body in round 1. Prates landed 100% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance and Radtke landed 92% of his significant strikes at distance. Radtke ended up connecting on 51% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 14 of 27. He ended up landing 7 of 19 significant strikes to the head. Prates landed 15 of 36 significant strikes in that contest. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 5 of 19 directed at the head. Discussing total strikes thrown, Prates ended up connecting on 15 of 36 while Radtke ended up connecting on 33 of 48 total strikes.

Other fights to keep an eye on

Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Cody Stamann squares up with Da'Mon Blackshear. Stamann comes into this fight holding a mark of 21-7-1. The 34-year-old records a weight of 135 lbs and measures 5'6". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 64". Blackshear stands in at 5'10" and is fighting at 135 lbs. The switch fighter steps into the cage holding a mark of 14-7-1. The 30-year-old has a reach of 72". In terms of takedowns, Cody Stamann scores a takedown 2.22 times per 15 min and Da'Mon Blackshear takes his opponents to the canvas 2.33 times per 3 rds. When talking about striking, Stamann connects on 4.35 strikes/min and lands 47% out of all the strikes he attempts. On the other side of the cage we have Da'Mon Blackshear, who is landing 47% of the strikes he has thrown and lands 4.28 per minute.

If you're into fun fights, you're going to want to see when Antonio Trocoli is set to square up with Tresean Gore. Gore looks to add a victory to his total of 5-2-0. The 30-year-old will fight at 185 lbs and comes in at 6'0". The switch fighter has a wingspan of 75". Trocoli comes in at 6'5" and will fight at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon with a record of 12-4-0 (1 NC). The 33-year-old reaches 80". Concerning wrestling, Tresean Gore stops 81% of his opponents' takedown attempts and is taking his opponents down on 71% of his tries. Trocoli is finishing his takedown tries on 12% of the tries he takes and defends against 85% of all takedown attempts. With reference to striking, Gore absorbs 6.13 strikes per minute while he is landing 3.04 per minute. Trocoli, on the other side, absorbs 6.10 strikes per min and lands 1.28 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Charles Radtke (-162)

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