Matt Schnell vs Alessandro Costa Pick, 9/7/2024 Predictions UFC Vegas 97 Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 9/4/2024

Matt Schnell vs Alessandro Costa

UFC Vegas 97

UFC Apex in Las Vegas

Saturday, September 7, 2024

Matt Schnell will face off against Alessandro Costa at UFC Vegas 97 on Saturday, September 7, 2024. The moneyline has Schnell at +390 while Costa is at -520.

Matt "Danger" Schnell will be looking to add a victory to his career record of 16-8-0 (1 NC). The 34-year-old tips the scales at 125 lbs and measures in at 5'8". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 70". Alessandro "Nono" Costa measures 5'4" and tips the scales at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon with a mark of 14-4-0. The 28-year-old has an arm span of 67". Concerning significant strikes, Matt Schnell is landing 4.23 per minute while Alessandro Costa is connecting on 4.14 significant strikes per minute. Schnell is landing 38% of the significant strikes he tries and Costa is landing 47%. Concerning their defense in the Octagon, "Danger" allows 4.56 significant strikes per min and "Nono" allows 3.50. Schnell also curbs 55% of the significant strikes that are directed at him while Costa is able to deflect 57% of the shots thrown.

ufc picks Matt Schnell ufc predictions best bet odds

UFC Vegas 97	Matt Schnell	Alessandro Costa
Opening Odds	+390	-520
Record	16-8-0 (1 NC)	14-4-0
Average Fight Time	7:46	10:58
Height	5'8"	5'4"
Weight	125 lbs	125 lbs
Reach	70"	67"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	4.23	4.14
Striking Accuracy	38%	47%

In the category of takedowns, Matt Schnell is the more efficient wrestler as he is averaging a takedown 0.59 times per 3 rds. Schnell is taking his opponents to the canvas on 44% of his attempts and defending 50% of takedowns his opponents have tried. Costa is scoring a takedown on 12% of the takedowns he attempts and is stopping 90% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. In terms of subbing the opposition, Schnell is the more experienced submission fighter by going for 1.0 finish per 15 minutes while Costa attempts 0.6 subs per 3 rds.

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In his previous bout, Matt Schnell went up against Steve Erceg and was defeated by a punch to the head in round 2. Erceg landed 34 of 72 total strikes attempted in that contest. Schnell walked away from this fight having landed 25 of 84 total strikes. In terms of significant strikes, Erceg ended up landing 34 of 72, which gave him a rate of 47%. He ended up landing 24 of 60 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side, Schnell landed 28% of his significant strikes by connecting on 22 of 78. Out of those significant strikes, he was 18 of 70 to the head. 88% of the significant strikes landed by Erceg and 95% of them landed by Schnell were tallied at a distance.

In the last fight for Alessandro Costa, he squared up with Kevin Borjas and ended up getting the victory by way of punches to the head from the mount position in round 2. Borjas connected on 100% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance and Costa ended up landing 54% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Costa ended up landing 53% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 46 of 86. He landed 32 of 66 significant strikes aimed at the head. Borjas ended up landing 18 of 56 significant strikes in that fight. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he connected on 12 of 45 directed at the head. Regarding total strikes attempted in that fight, Borjas landed 18 of 56 while Costa ended up connecting on 60 of 104 of all the strikes he threw.

Other fights on the card to keep an eye on

An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Trevor Peek battles Yanal Ashmouz. Peek comes into this fight with a record of 9-2-0 (1 NC). The 29-year-old records a weight of 155 lbs and measures in at 5'9". The switch fighter stretches 70". Ashmouz stands in at 5'9" and records a weight of 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon with a record of 7-1-0. The 29-year-old has a wingspan of 68". When it comes to grappling, Trevor Peek takes his opponents to the mat 1.82 times per 3 rds while Yanal Ashmouz is averaging a takedown 0.92 times per 15 min. In terms of striking, Peek is connecting on 4.58 strikes per minute and is landing 54% out of all the strikes he attempts. Joining him in the Octagon is Yanal Ashmouz, who lands 42% of the strikes he has tried and is connecting on 3.08 per minute.

An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Chris Padilla is set to square up with Zhu Rong. Rong steps into the cage holding a record of 25-5-0. The 24-year-old tips the scales at 155 lbs and stands in at 5'9". The orthodox fighter stretches 72". Padilla comes in at 5'9" and weighs in at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to his career record of 14-6-0. The 28-year-old has a reach of 74". Regarding wrestling, Zhu Rong is able to curb 85% of the takedowns fighters have attempted and is finishing his takedown tries on 62% of his tries. Padilla is taking his opponents to the mat on 86% of his attempts and is able to deflect 15% of all takedown attempts. Concerning striking, Rong is absorbing 5.60 strikes/minute while he is dealing 5.47 per minute. Padilla, on the contrary, is absorbing 4.18 strikes/minute and dishes out 2.64 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Matt Schnell (+390)

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Matt Schnell vs Alessandro Costa Pick, 9/7/2024 Predictions UFC Vegas 97 Odds

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