Matheus Nicolau vs Manel Kape Pick, 1/13/2024 Predictions UFC Vegas 84 Odds

by Tony Sink - 1/8/2024

Matheus Nicolau vs Manel Kape

UFC Vegas 84

UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, January 13, 2024

Matheus Nicolau will enter the Octagon with Manel Kape at UFC Vegas 84 on Saturday, January 13, 2024. The opener has Nicolau priced at +205 while Kape is coming in at -250.

Matheus Nicolau has a record of 19-4-1. The 31-year-old is fighting at 125 lbs and comes in at 5'6". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 66". Manel "StarBoy" Kape comes in at 5'5" and steps on the scale at 125 lbs. The southpaw fighter walks into the cage with a mark of 19-6-0. The 30-year-old reaches 68". Regarding significant strikes, Matheus Nicolau is connecting on 3.66 per min while Manel Kape connects on 5.12 significant strikes per minute. Nicolau is connecting on 53% of the significant strikes he attempts and Kape is connecting on 54%. Regarding defending in the Octagon, Nicolau allows 3.14 significant strikes per minute and "StarBoy" allows 4.51. Nicolau also defends 66% of the significant strikes that are thrown his way and Kape stops 59% of the shots thrown.

ufc picks Matheus Nicolau ufc predictions best bet odds

UFC Vegas 84	Matheus Nicolau	Manel Kape
Opening Odds	+205	-250
Record	19-4-1	19-6-0
Average Fight Time	11:14	11:28
Height	5'6"	5'5"
Weight	125 lbs	125 lbs
Reach	66"	68"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	3.66	5.12
Striking Accuracy	53%	54%

Regarding grappling, Matheus Nicolau is the more skilled grappler as he takes his opponents to the canvas 1.48 times per 3 rds. Nicolau is getting his opponent to the mat on 45% of his attempts and stopping 93% of takedowns his opponents have tried. Kape is taking his opponents down on 37% of his takedown tries and thwarting 77% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. When it comes to sub attempts, Nicolau is the more capable of the two fighters by attempting 0.9 submissions per 15 min while Kape tries 0.4 submissions per 3 rds.

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In his previous fight, Matheus Nicolau went up against Brandon Royval and ended up walking away in defeat via a knee to the head in round 1. Royval ended up landing 13 of 22 total strikes that he threw in that contest. Nicolau finished this fight landing 2 of 5 total strikes. When talking about significant strikes, Royval landed 13 of 22, which gave him a percentage of 59%. He finished the fight landing 13 of 20 significant strikes directed at the head. Statistically, Nicolau ended up landing 40% of his significant strikes by sticking 2 of 5. Out of those significant strikes, he connected on 1 of 4 to the head. 23% of the significant strikes connected on by Royval and 100% of them landed by Nicolau were tallied at distance.

In the last bout for Manel Kape, he fought Felipe dos Santos and ended up getting the victory in the fight via unanimous decision in round 3. Santos landed 94% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance while Kape landed 82% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Kape ended up landing 61% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 112 of 182. He landed 77 of 137 significant strikes directed at the head. Santos landed 99 of 304 significant strikes in that contest. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he ended up landing 53 of 215 to the head. Discussing the total strikes thrown in this fight, Santos ended up landing 101 of 310 and Kape landed 116 of 186 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other bouts on the card to watch out for

An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Jim Miller battles Gabriel Benitez. Miller steps into the Octagon holding a mark of 36-17-0 (1 NC). The 40-year-old records a weight of 155 lbs and measures in at 5'8". The southpaw fighter has a wingspan of 71". Benitez stands in at 5'8" and is fighting at 155 lbs. The southpaw fighter walks into the cage with a record of 23-11-0. The 35-year-old stretches 71". When it comes to grappling, Jim Miller is averaging a takedown 1.56 times per 15 min while Gabriel Benitez is averaging a takedown 0.27 times per 3 rds. When it comes to striking, Miller is connecting on 2.86 strikes/minute and lands 41% of the strikes that he throws. Joining him in the Octagon is Gabriel Benitez, who is connecting on 41% of the strikes he has tried and lands an average of 4.79 per minute.

One more can't miss bout is when Mario Bautista is set to square up with Ricky Simon. Simon comes into this bout with a mark of 20-4-0. The 31-year-old weighs in at 135 lbs and stands in at 5'6". The orthodox fighter stretches 69". Bautista stands 5'9" and steps on the scale at 135 lbs. The switch fighter will be looking to add a win to his career record of 13-2-0. The 30-year-old reaches 69". In terms of grappling, Ricky Simon is able to curb 75% of the takedowns fighters have tried and is getting his opponent to the mat on 50% of the times he tries. Bautista is finishing his takedowns on 50% of his tries and is able to deflect 56% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. In the matter of striking, Simon absorbs 3.23 strikes/minute while he is connecting on 3.01 per minute. Bautista, on the other hand, is absorbing 4.20 strikes per minute and lands 5.32 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Manel Kape (-250)

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Matheus Nicolau vs Manel Kape Pick, 1/13/2024 Predictions UFC Vegas 84 Odds

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