Mateusz Rebecki vs Myktybek Orolbai Pick, 10/26/2024 Predictions UFC 308 Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 10/25/2024

Mateusz Rebecki vs Myktybek Orolbai

UFC 308

Eithad Arena in Abu Dhabi, UAE

Saturday, October 26, 2024

Mateusz Rebecki will face off with Myktybek Orolbai at UFC 308 on Saturday, October 26, 2024. The opening odds have Rebecki at +250 while Orolbai is at -310.

Mateusz Rebecki has a mark of 19-2-0. The 31-year-old will fight at 155 lbs and stands in at 5'7". The southpaw fighter has a wingspan of 66". Myktybek Orolbai stands 5'10" and will fight at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the cage with a mark of 13-1-1. The 26-year-old stretches 74". With respect to significant strikes, Mateusz Rebecki connects on 4.69 per min while Myktybek Orolbai is connecting on 3.02 significant strikes per min. Rebecki is connecting on 48% of the significant strikes he tries while Orolbai is connecting on 52%. When it comes to defending in the cage, Rebecki allows 4.15 significant strikes per min and Orolbai absorbs 2.56. Rebecki also defends against 54% of the significant strikes that are thrown his way while Orolbai curbs 47% of the shots thrown in his direction.

ufc picks Mateusz Rebecki ufc predictions best bet odds

UFC 308	Mateusz Rebecki	Myktybek Orolbai
Opening Odds	+250	-310
Record	19-2-0	13-1-1
Average Fight Time	8:44	12:06
Height	5'7"	5'10"
Weight	155 lbs	155 lbs
Reach	66"	74"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	4.69	3.02
Striking Accuracy	48%	52%

In terms of grappling, Mateusz Rebecki is not as efficient of a wrestler as he is averaging a takedown 4.12 times per 3 rds. Rebecki is getting his opponent to the mat on 75% of his tries and thwarting 33% of the takedowns his opponents try. Orolbai is scoring a takedown on 44% of his takedown attempts and is defending 50% of the attempts against him. In terms of submission attempts, Rebecki is the more apt fighter by trying 1.0 submission per 3 rounds while Orolbai attempts 0.6 submissions per 3 rounds.

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In his last fight, Mateusz Rebecki squared up with Diego Ferreira and was defeated by punches to the head from the mount position in round 3. Ferreira ended up landing 151 of 272 total strikes that he let go in that contest. Rebecki finished this fight landing 60 of 146 total strikes. In regard to significant strikes, Ferreira ended up landing 123 of 241, giving him a percentage of 51%. He landed 94 of 189 significant strikes to the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Rebecki ended up landing 37% of his significant strikes by landing 52 of 137. Out of those significant strikes, he was 34 of 109 aimed at the head. 76% of the significant strikes landed by Ferreira and 88% of them landed by Rebecki were thrown at a distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Myktybek Orolbai, he went up against Elves Brener and took home the victory by unanimous decision in round 3. Brener ended up connecting on 72% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance while Orolbai ended up connecting on 49% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Orolbai landed 54% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 65 of 119. He landed 52 of 103 significant strikes directed at the head. Brener connected on 48 of 91 significant strikes in that battle. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he connected on 24 of 61 to the head. Regarding the strikes he fired off in this contest, Brener ended up landing 79 of 125 while Orolbai connected on 83 of 138 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other fights to keep an eye on

An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Said Nurmagomedov fights Daniel Santos. Nurmagomedov comes into this fight holding a mark of 18-3-0. The 32-year-old tips the scales at 135 lbs and stands in at 5'8". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 70". Santos comes in at 5'7" and weighs in at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this bout with a record of 12-2-0. The 29-year-old has a reach of 67". When it comes to grappling, Said Nurmagomedov is averaging a takedown 1.01 times per 3 rounds while Daniel Santos takes his opponents to the canvas 1.90 times per 15 min. When talking about striking, Nurmagomedov connects for an average of 3.55 strikes per min and is connecting on 47% of the strikes that he attempts. The other guy in this fight is Daniel Santos, who tags the opposition on 37% of the strikes he has thrown and is landing 4.26 per min.

Another bout to watch is when Brunno Ferreira is set to go up against Abus Magomedov. Magomedov will be looking to add a win to his career total of 26-6-1. The 34-year-old is fighting at 185 lbs and comes in at 6'2". The orthodox fighter stretches 78". Ferreira measures 5'10" and will fight at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a mark of 12-1-0. The 31-year-old has an arm span of 72". In terms of grappling, Abus Magomedov prevents 85% of his opponents' takedown attempts and is finishing his takedown tries on 77% of the times he tries. Ferreira is taking his opponents down on 16% of his attempts and is able to thwart 60% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. In the matter of striking, Magomedov is taking 3.73 strikes per minute while he lands 2.88 strikes per minute. Ferreira, on the contrary, is taking 4.04 strikes/min and is landing 4.99 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Mateusz Rebecki (+250)

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Mateusz Rebecki vs Myktybek Orolbai Pick, 10/26/2024 Predictions UFC 308 Odds

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