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Mateusz Gamrot vs Rafael Dos Anjos Pick, 3/9/2024 Predictions UFC 299 Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 3/4/2024

Mateusz Gamrot vs Rafael Dos Anjos

UFC 299

Kaseya Center in Miami, Florida

Saturday, March 9, 2024

Mateusz Gamrot will face off against Rafael Dos Anjos at UFC 299 on Saturday, March 9, 2024. The opening moneyline has Gamrot at -425 while Anjos is at +330.

Mateusz "Gamer" Gamrot has a record of 23-2-0 (1 NC). The 33-year-old weighs in at 155 lbs and measures in at 5'10". The southpaw fighter stretches 70". Rafael Dos Anjos measures in at 5'8" and weighs 155 lbs. The southpaw fighter looks to add a victory to his total of 32-15-0. The 39-year-old extends his reach 70". When talking about significant strikes, Mateusz Gamrot is landing 2.97 per min and Rafael Dos Anjos is landing 3.52 significant strikes per min. Gamrot is connecting on 50% of the significant strikes he throws and Dos Anjos lands 47%. Regarding defense, "Gamer" absorbs 3.17 significant strikes per min and Dos Anjos allows 3.19. Gamrot also defends against 60% of the significant strikes his opponents throw his way and Dos Anjos defends against 60% of the shots thrown his way.

ufc picks Mateusz Gamrot ufc predictions best bet odds

 

UFC 299 Mateusz Gamrot Rafael Dos Anjos
Opening Odds -425 +330
Record 23-2-0 (1 NC) 32-15-0
Average Fight Time 11:37 14:54
Height 5'10" 5'8"
Weight 155 lbs 155 lbs
Reach 70" 70"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 2.97 3.52
Striking Accuracy 50% 47%

 

In the wrestling category, Mateusz Gamrot is the more apt grappler as he takes his opponents to the canvas 4.36 times per 3 rds. Gamrot is finishing his takedown attempts on 30% of his tries and thwarting 90% of the takedowns his opponents try. Dos Anjos is taking his opponents to the canvas on 35% of his takedown tries and defending 56% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Regarding submissions, Gamrot is the lesser skilled of the two fighters by going for 0.2 subs per 3 rds while Dos Anjos goes for 0.6 subs per 15 minutes.

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The last time he fought, Mateusz Gamrot went up against Rafael Fiziev and wound up getting the win by a leg injury in round 2. Fiziev ended up landing 19 of 34 total strikes that he threw in that fight. Gamrot walked away from this fight having landed 17 of 42 total strikes. When talking about significant strikes, Fiziev landed 18 of 32, giving him a percentage of 56%. He landed 4 of 14 significant strikes to the head. On the other side, Gamrot landed 40% of his significant strikes by landing 16 of 40. Out of those significant strikes, he landed 11 of 31 pointed at the head. 100% of the significant strikes connected on by Fiziev and 81% of them connected on by Gamrot were tallied at a distance.

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In the last Octagon appearance for Rafael Dos Anjos, he fought Vicente Luque and ended up taking the loss by unanimous decision in round 5. Luque landed 83% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance while Anjos ended up connecting on 57% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Anjos ended up landing 48% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 66 of 136. He connected on 42 of 108 significant strikes directed at the head. Luque connected on 72 of 141 significant strikes in that fight. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he connected on 48 of 115 directed at the head. When discussing the total strikes thrown in this fight, Luque ended up landing 138 of 221 while Anjos connected on 94 of 170 of all the strikes he threw.

Other fights to watch out for

Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Pedro Munhoz squares up with Kyler Phillips. Munhoz looks to add a win to his record of 20-8-0 (2 NC). The 37-year-old weighs 135 lbs and comes in at 5'6". The orthodox fighter reaches 65". Phillips measures 5'8" and weighs in at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to his record of 11-2-0. The 28-year-old has an arm span of 72". In the grappling category, Pedro Munhoz is able to score a takedown 0.47 times per 15 minutes while Kyler Phillips takes his opponents to the mat 2.87 times per 15 min. When talking about striking, Munhoz connects on 5.45 strikes/min and lands 43% of the strikes that he throws. The other guy in this fight is Kyler Phillips, who tags the opposition on 46% of the strikes he has thrown and lands an average of 5.36 per min.

One more can't miss bout is when Michal Oleksiejczuk is set to encounter Michel Pereira. Pereira looks to add a victory to his total of 29-11-0 (2 NC). The 30-year-old will fight at 185 lbs and measures in at 6'1". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 73". Oleksiejczuk measures in at 6'0" and weighs in at 185 lbs. The southpaw fighter walks into the cage holding a record of 19-6-0 (1 NC). The 29-year-old reaches 74". Regarding takedowns, Michel Pereira is able to defend against 94% of the takedowns his opponents attempt and is finishing his takedowns on 55% of his attempts. Oleksiejczuk is finishing his takedowns on 44% of his attempts and deflects 48% of the takedowns his opponents try. In the category of striking, Pereira takes 3.74 strikes/min and he lands 5.09 per min. Oleksiejczuk, moreover, absorbs 4.17 strikes/min and dishes out 5.12 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Rafael Dos Anjos (+330)

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