Mateusz Gamrot vs Dan Hooker Pick, 8/17/2024 Predictions UFC 305 Odds

Mateusz Gamrot vs Dan Hooker

UFC 305

RAC Arena in Perth, Australia

Saturday, August 17, 2024

Mateusz Gamrot will face off against Dan Hooker at UFC 305 on Saturday, August 17, 2024. The opening odds have Gamrot coming in at -325 while Hooker is at +260.

Mateusz "Gamer" Gamrot will be looking to add a win to his career total of 24-2-0 (1 NC). The 33-year-old tips the scales at 155 lbs and measures in at 5'10". The southpaw fighter has an arm span of 70". Dan "The Hangman" Hooker comes in at 6'0" and records a weight of 155 lbs. The switch fighter has a mark of 23-12-0. The 34-year-old extends his reach 75". Concerning significant strikes, Mateusz Gamrot is landing 3.09 per minute while Dan Hooker connects on 5.08 significant strikes per minute. Gamrot lands 51% of the significant strikes he tries while Hooker connects on 48%. Concerning their defense in the Octagon, "Gamer" takes 3.07 significant strikes per minute and "The Hangman" absorbs 4.76. Gamrot also defends against 59% of the significant strikes his opponents throw his way and Hooker is able to thwart 51% of them.

Concerning takedowns, Mateusz Gamrot is averaging more takedowns in the cage as he scores a takedown 5.28 times per 15 min. Gamrot is taking his opponents to the canvas on 35% of the times he tries and stuffing 90% of all takedowns attempted on him. Hooker is taking his opponents to the mat on 34% of his takedown attempts and is defending 80% of the tries against him. Regarding going for the sub, Gamrot is less apt at going for the finish by attempting 0.1 submissions per 15 minutes while Hooker looks to get 0.4 submissions per 15 minutes.

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The last time he fought, Mateusz Gamrot went up against Rafael Dos Anjos and wound up taking home the win by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Anjos landed 39 of 82 of the strikes he let go in total for this contest. Gamrot ended the night having landed 111 of 163 total strikes. When it comes to significant strikes, Anjos landed 36 of 78, which gave him a rate of 46%. He ended up landing 24 of 61 significant strikes directed at the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Gamrot ended up landing 55% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 57 of 102. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he connected on 48 of 90 to the head. 72% of the significant strikes landed by Anjos and 80% of them landed by Gamrot were thrown at distance.

In the last bout for Dan Hooker, he faced off with Jalin Turner and wound up taking home the victory via split decision in round 3. Turner landed 78% of the significant strikes he took from distance and Hooker ended up connecting on 80% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Hooker ended up connecting on 63% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 125 of 197. He ended up connecting on 77 of 139 significant strikes to the head. Turner connected on 100 of 177 significant strikes in that battle. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he landed 63 of 128 directed at the head. Regarding total strikes attempted in that contest, Turner ended up connecting on 113 of 191 and Hooker ended up connecting on 172 of 247 total strikes.

Other bouts on the card to watch

Another fight to keep an eye on is when Tai Tuivasa squares up in the Octagon against Jairzinho Rozenstruik. Tuivasa comes into this fight holding a mark of 15-7-0. The 31-year-old steps on the scale at 264 lbs and stands 6'2". The southpaw fighter has a reach of 75". Rozenstruik stands in at 6'2" and is fighting at 242 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight holding a mark of 14-5-0. The 36-year-old extends his reach 78". In the grappling category, Tai Tuivasa gets a takedown 0.90 times per 3 rounds and Jairzinho Rozenstruik is averaging a takedown 0.50 times per 3 rds. Regarding striking, Tuivasa lands an average of 3.96 strikes/minute and is connecting on 49% of the strikes that he attempts. On the other side of the cage we have Jairzinho Rozenstruik, who lands 49% of the strikes that he throws and lands 3.44 per minute.

Another must see fight on the night is when Carlos Prates is set to enter the Octagon against Li Jingliang. Jingliang steps into the Octagon with a mark of 19-8-0. The 36-year-old will fight at 170 lbs and measures 6'0". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 71". Prates comes in at 6'1" and will fight at 170 lbs. The switch fighter has a mark of 19-6-0. The 30-year-old stretches 78". Regarding wrestling, Li Jingliang is stopping 60% of his opponents' takedown attempts and is finishing his takedowns on 41% of his tries. Prates is taking his opponents down on 15% of the attempts he tries and curbs 80% of takedowns his opponents have tried. With regard to striking, Jingliang absorbs 3.84 strikes/min and he lands 4.46 strikes per minute. Prates, moreover, is taking 5.23 strikes per minute and connects on 4.09 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Mateusz Gamrot (-325)

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