Marina Rodriguez vs Iasmin Lucindo Pick, 10/5/2024 Predictions UFC 307 Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 10/1/2024

Marina Rodriguez vs Iasmin Lucindo

UFC 307

Delta Center in Salt Lake City

Saturday, October 5, 2024

Marina Rodriguez will enter the Octagon against Iasmin Lucindo at UFC 307 on Saturday, October 5, 2024. The moneyline has Rodriguez priced at +145 while Lucindo is at -175.

Marina Rodriguez looks to add a win to her record of 17-4-2. The 37-year-old will fight at 115 lbs. and stands in at 5' 6". The orthodox fighter extends her reach 65". Iasmin Lucindo measures in at 5' 3" and records a weight of 115 lbs.. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage with a mark of 16-5-0. The 22-year-old stretches 66". In the category of significant strikes, Marina Rodriguez is connecting on 4.82 per min and Iasmin Lucindo connects on 3.95 significant strikes per min. Rodriguez connects on 47% of the significant strikes she tries while Lucindo lands 46%. In terms of defending in the Octagon, Rodriguez allows 3.12 significant strikes per min while Lucindo allows 3.11. Rodriguez also defends against 55% of the significant strikes her opponents throw her way and Lucindo is able to defend against 66% of the strikes thrown her way.

ufc picks Marina Rodriguez ufc predictions best bet odds

W**AdsterraTest**W

UFC 307	Marina Rodriguez	Iasmin Lucindo
Opening Odds	+145	-175
Record	17-4-2	16-5-0
Average Fight Time	14:07	13:26
Height	5' 6"	5' 3"
Weight	115 lbs.	115 lbs.
Reach	65"	66"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	4.82	3.95
Striking Accuracy	47%	46%

When it comes to wrestling, Marina Rodriguez is the lesser skilled grappler as she takes her opponents to the mat 0.23 times per 3 rds. Rodriguez is finishing her takedown attempts on 42% of her tries and is defending 65% of all takedowns attempted by her opposition. Lucindo is getting her opponent to the mat on 53% of the takedowns she attempts and stopping 80% of the attempts against her. When it comes to submissions, Rodriguez is less likely to go for the finish by attempting 0.2 submissions per 3 rounds while Lucindo goes for 0.3 submissions per 15 minutes.

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In her previous fight, Marina Rodriguez went up against Jessica Andrade and ended up losing the fight via split decision in round 3. Andrade landed 124 of 220 of the strikes she let go in total for this contest. Rodriguez ended the night having landed 94 of 241 total strikes. In the category of significant strikes, Andrade landed 89 of 180, which gave her a rate of 49%. She ended up landing 35 of 110 significant strikes to the head. On the other side of the cage, Rodriguez ended up landing 35% of her significant strikes by landing 82 of 228. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, she landed 70 of 207 pointed at the head. 88% of the significant strikes landed by Andrade and 93% of them connected on by Rodriguez were thrown at a distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Iasmin Lucindo, she fought Karolina Kowalkiewicz and took home the win by unanimous decision in round 3. Kowalkiewicz ended up landing 95% of her significant strikes at distance and Lucindo ended up connecting on 68% of the significant strikes she took from distance. Lucindo landed 61% of her significant strikes attempted by landing 83 of 136. She landed 53 of 100 significant strikes to the head. Kowalkiewicz landed 42 of 111 significant strikes in that fight. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, she landed 17 of 73 aimed at the head. In terms of total strikes that she let go, Kowalkiewicz connected on 47 of 119 and Lucindo was 91 of 144 of the strikes she threw in total.

Other fights on the card to keep an eye on

Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Carla Esparza enters the Octagon against Tecia Pennington. Esparza will be looking to add a victory to her record of 20-7-0. The 36-year-old records a weight of 115 lbs. and comes in at 5' 1". The orthodox fighter stretches 63". Pennington comes in at 5' 1" and tips the scales at 115 lbs.. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to her career record of 13-7-0. The 35-year-old stretches 60". Regarding grappling, Carla Esparza takes her opponents to the mat 3.22 times per 3 rounds and Tecia Pennington takes her opponents to the canvas 0.61 times per 15 minutes. Regarding striking, Esparza is landing 2.16 strikes per min and connects on 40% of the strikes that she throws. Joining her in the Octagon is Tecia Pennington, who lands 47% of the strikes she attempts and connects on 4.78 per min.

Another bout to watch is when Khalil Rountree Jr. is set to enter the Octagon against Alex Pereira. Pereira steps into the cage with a mark of 11-2-0. The 37-year-old tips the scales at 205 lbs. and stands 6' 4". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 79". Rountree Jr. measures 6' 1" and tips the scales at 205 lbs.. The southpaw fighter will be looking to add a victory to his career total of 14-5-0 (1 NC). The 34-year-old stretches 76". Regarding takedowns, Alex Pereira is able to defend against 70% of the takedowns his opponents try and is finishing his takedown tries on 85% of the times he tries. Rountree Jr. is finishing his takedowns on 15% of his attempts and is able to thwart 58% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. With regard to striking, Pereira takes 3.51 strikes/min and he lands 5.23 per minute. Rountree Jr., on the contrary, absorbs 4.18 strikes/min and is connecting on 3.84 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Marina Rodriguez (+145)

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Marina Rodriguez vs Iasmin Lucindo Pick, 10/5/2024 Predictions UFC 307 Odds

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