Marcos Rogerio de Lima vs Justin Tafa Pick, 2/17/2024 Predictions UFC 298 Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 2/12/2024

Marcos Rogerio de Lima vs Justin Tafa

UFC 298

Honda Center in Anaheim, CA

Saturday, February 17, 2024

Marcos Rogerio de Lima will enter the Octagon against Justin Tafa at UFC 298 on Saturday, February 17, 2024. The moneyline has Lima priced at -142 while Tafa is at +120.

Marcos "Pezao" Rogerio de Lima looks to add a victory to his record of 21-10-1. The 38-year-old is fighting at 253 lbs and stands 6'1". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 75". Justin "Bad Man" Tafa comes in at 6'0" and records a weight of 264 lbs. The southpaw fighter steps into the Octagon with a record of 7-3-0 (1 NC). The 30-year-old stretches 74". Concerning significant strikes, Marcos Rogerio de Lima lands 3.61 per minute while Justin Tafa lands 5.13 significant strikes per minute. Rogerio de Lima is landing 56% of the significant strikes he tries and Tafa lands 55%. Concerning their defense in the Octagon, "Pezao" absorbs 2.96 significant strikes per min and "Bad Man" takes 5.93. Rogerio de Lima also deflects 51% of the significant strikes his opponents throw his way while Tafa is able to defend against 49% of the shots thrown in his direction.

ufc picks Marcos Rogerio de Lima predictions best bet odds

UFC 298	Marcos Rogerio de Lima	Justin Tafa
Opening Odds	-142	+120
Record	21-10-1	7-3-0 (1 NC)
Average Fight Time	6:12	4:52
Height	6'1"	6'0"
Weight	253 lbs	264 lbs
Reach	75"	74"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	3.61	5.13
Striking Accuracy	56%	55%

When it comes to wrestling, Marcos Rogerio de Lima is the more competent wrestler as he takes his opponents down 1.34 times per 3 rounds. Rogerio de Lima is taking his opponents to the canvas on 47% of his attempts and stuffing 59% of the takedowns his opponents try. Tafa is finishing his takedown tries on 15% of his takedown attempts and stuffing 85% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Regarding submissions, Rogerio de Lima is the more apt fighter by trying 0.5 submissions per 3 rounds while Tafa tries 0.3 submissions per 15 min.

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In his last appearance in the Octagon, Marcos Rogerio de Lima fought Derrick Lewis and was defeated by way of a punch to the head while on the ground in round 1. Lewis ended up landing 20 of 36 of the strikes he threw in total in this fight. Lima finished this fight landing 2 of 2 total strikes. In terms of significant strikes, Lewis landed 17 of 33, which gave him a percentage of 51%. He ended up landing 16 of 32 significant strikes to the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Lima landed 100% of his significant strikes by connecting on 1 of 1. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he was 1 of 1 aimed at the head. 5% of the significant strikes landed by Lewis and 0% of them connected on by Lima were done at a distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Justin Tafa, he went up against Austen Lane and wound up getting the victory via a punch to the head in round 1. Lane ended up landing 100% of the significant strikes he took from distance and Tafa ended up connecting on 54% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Tafa ended up landing 78% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 11 of 14. He ended up landing 9 of 11 significant strikes to the head. Lane connected on 7 of 14 significant strikes in that contest. Of all the significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 3 of 9 directed at the head. Discussing total strikes that he let go, Lane ended up landing 7 of 15 and Tafa connected on 11 of 14 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other fights on the card to watch

One more match to look forward to is when Zhang Mingyang opposes Brendson Ribeiro. Mingyang will be looking to add a victory to his career total of 16-6-0. The 25-year-old tips the scales at 205 lbs and stands 6'2". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 75". Ribeiro stands 6'3" and steps on the scale at 205 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to his total of 15-5-0 (1 NC). The 27-year-old extends his reach 81". When it comes to grappling, Zhang Mingyang takes his opponents down 0.56 times per 15 min while Brendson Ribeiro takes his opponents down 0.80 times per 3 rds. In the striking category, Mingyang connects on 8.86 strikes/min and is connecting on 56% of the strikes that he attempts. On the other side of the cage you've got Brendson Ribeiro, who is landing 46% of the strikes that he throws and is landing 8.46 per min.

One more can't miss bout is when Danny Barlow is set to encounter Josh Quinlan. Quinlan steps into the Octagon with a record of 6-1-0 (1 NC). The 31-year-old will fight at 170 lbs and measures in at 6'0". The orthodox fighter stretches 72". Barlow comes in at 6'2" and is weighing in at 170 lbs. The southpaw fighter steps into the Octagon holding a mark of 7-0-0. The 28-year-old stretches 79". In the category of takedowns, Josh Quinlan thwarts 60% of the takedowns fighters have tried and is scoring a takedown on 12% of his tries. Barlow is finishing his takedown tries on 15% of the tries he takes and stops 15% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. In the matter of striking, Quinlan is absorbing 5.97 strikes per minute while he lands 3.68 strikes per min. Barlow, in contrast, is absorbing 5.32 strikes per minute and connects on 12.15 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Justin Tafa (+120)

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Marcos Rogerio de Lima vs Justin Tafa Pick, 2/17/2024 Predictions UFC 298 Odds

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