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Marcin Tybura vs Serghei Spivac Pick, 8/10/2024 Predictions UFC Vegas 95 Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 8/6/2024

Marcin Tybura vs Serghei Spivac

UFC Vegas 95

UFC Apex in Las Vegas

Saturday, August 10, 2024

Marcin Tybura will face off against Serghei Spivac at UFC Vegas 95 on Saturday, August 10, 2024. The opener has Tybura coming in at +130 while Spivac is coming in at -155.

Marcin "Tybur" Tybura will be looking to add a win to his record of 25-8-0. The 38-year-old is weighing in at 249 lbs and measures 6'3". The orthodox fighter reaches 78". Serghei "Polar Bear" Spivac stands 6'3" and steps on the scale at 260 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon with a record of 16-4-0. The 29-year-old extends his reach 78". In the category of significant strikes, Marcin Tybura connects on 3.60 per minute while Serghei Spivac lands 3.54 significant strikes per minute. Tybura is landing 48% of the significant strikes he attempts while Spivac is connecting on 49%. Regarding defense, "Tybur" takes 3.35 significant strikes per minute and "Polar Bear" absorbs 3.79. Tybura also curbs 55% of the significant strikes that are thrown his way and Spivac curbs 49% of the shots thrown his way.

ufc picks Marcin Tybura ufc predictions best bet odds

 

UFC Vegas 95 Marcin Tybura Serghei Spivac
Opening Odds +130 -155
Record 25-8-0 16-4-0
Average Fight Time 11:37 8:05
Height 6'3" 6'3"
Weight 249 lbs 260 lbs
Reach 78" 78"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 3.60 3.54
Striking Accuracy 48% 49%

In terms of takedowns, Marcin Tybura is not as effective of a grappler as he is averaging a takedown 1.43 times per 15 minutes. Tybura is getting his opponent to the mat on 33% of his tries and is defending 79% of all takedown attempts. Spivac is finishing his takedown attempts on 64% of his takedown tries and defending 70% of all takedowns attempted on him. Regarding going for the sub, Tybura is the lesser skilled fighter by attempting 0.1 finishes per 3 rds while Spivac tries 0.5 finishes per 3 rds.

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In his last appearance in the Octagon, Marcin Tybura went up against Tai Tuivasa and took home the win by way of rear naked choke in round 1. Tuivasa landed 18 of 27 total strikes attempted in that fight. Tybura walked away from this fight having landed 73 of 96 total strikes. Concerning significant strikes, Tuivasa landed 15 of 24, which means his percentage was 62%. He ended up landing 9 of 17 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side of the cage, Tybura ended up landing 65% of his significant strikes by sticking 27 of 41. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he was 23 of 34 to the head. 53% of the significant strikes landed by Tuivasa and 29% of them connected on by Tybura were thrown at distance.

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In the last fight for Serghei Spivac, he faced off with Ciryl Gane and wound up losing the fight via a punch to the head in round 2. Gane landed 96% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance while Spivac ended up landing 100% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Spivac landed 25% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 11 of 44. He ended up landing 7 of 38 significant strikes directed at the head. Gane landed 109 of 156 significant strikes in that contest. Of those significant strikes, he ended up landing 48 of 85 aimed at the head. In relation to total strikes that he let go, Gane ended up landing 110 of 157 while Spivac connected on 11 of 44 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other fights on the card to keep an eye on

Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Damon Jackson battles Chepe Mariscal. Jackson will be looking to add a win to his career total of 23-6-1 (1 NC). The 35-year-old steps on the scale at 145 lbs and measures in at 5'11". The switch fighter has a reach of 71". Mariscal comes in at 5'7" and weighs in at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to his career record of 16-6-0 (1 NC). The 31-year-old extends his reach 69". In the grappling category, Damon Jackson takes his opponents to the mat 2.51 times per 15 min and Chepe Mariscal takes his opponents down 2.35 times per 15 minutes. When it comes to striking, Jackson lands an average of 3.00 strikes per minute and lands 41% of the strikes that he throws. On the other side of the cage we have Chepe Mariscal, who connects on 52% of the strikes that he throws and is landing 4.70 per minute.

If you're into fun fights, you're going to want to see when Jafel Filho is set to go up against Allan Nascimento. Nascimento walks into the Octagon holding a mark of 20-6-0. The 32-year-old weighs 125 lbs and stands in at 5'8". The orthodox fighter stretches 69". Filho measures in at 5'7" and is fighting at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight with a mark of 16-3-0. The 31-year-old has a reach of 68". In terms of wrestling, Allan Nascimento is preventing 16% of his opponents' takedown attempts and is finishing his takedown attempts on 26% of the times he tries. Filho is finishing his takedowns on 33% of his tries and is able to deflect 55% of all takedown attempts. In the matter of striking, Nascimento takes 2.28 strikes/min while he is connecting on 3.21 strikes per min. Filho, on the other side, absorbs 2.00 strikes per minute and is connecting on 2.36 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Marcin Tybura (+130)

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