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Marcin Tybura vs Jhonata Diniz Pick, 11/16/2024 Predictions UFC 309 Odds

by Tony Sink - 11/12/2024

Marcin Tybura vs Jhonata Diniz

UFC 309

Madison Square Garden in NYC

Saturday, November 16, 2024

Marcin Tybura will take on Jhonata Diniz at UFC 309 on Saturday, November 16, 2024. The moneyline has Tybura priced at -130 while Diniz is priced at +110.

Marcin "Tybur" Tybura comes into this bout with a mark of 25-9-0. The 39-year-old weighs 249 lbs and stands in at 6'3". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 78". Jhonata Diniz measures 6'4" and weighs 254 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to his career total of 8-0-0. The 33-year-old extends his reach 79". In terms of significant strikes, Marcin Tybura is landing 3.57 per min while Jhonata Diniz is connecting on 4.09 significant strikes per minute. Tybura is connecting on 48% of the significant strikes he throws while Diniz is connecting on 53%. In terms of the fighter's defense, "Tybur" allows 3.34 significant strikes per minute while Diniz allows 2.75. Tybura also defends 55% of the significant strikes that are directed at him while Diniz prevents 55% of the shots thrown in his direction.

ufc picks Marcin Tybura ufc predictions best bet odds

 

UFC 309 Marcin Tybura Jhonata Diniz
Opening Odds -130 +110
Record 25-9-0 8-0-0
Average Fight Time 11:07 8:29
Height 6'3" 6'4"
Weight 249 lbs 254 lbs
Reach 78" 79"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 3.57 4.09
Striking Accuracy 48% 53%

In the category of takedowns, Marcin Tybura is the more skilled grappler as he is averaging a takedown 1.42 times per 3 rds. Tybura is getting his opponent to the mat on 33% of his tries and stopping 77% of takedowns his opponents have tried. Diniz is finishing his takedowns on 15% of his takedown attempts and is stuffing 70% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Regarding going for the sub, Tybura is less apt at going for the finish by trying 0.1 subs per 3 rds while Diniz attempts 0.6 subs per 3 rounds.

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In his previous bout, Marcin Tybura squared up with Serghei Spivac and took a loss on the night by way of an armbar from bottom guard in round 1. Spivac ended up landing 8 of 11 of the strikes he let go in total for this contest. Tybura ended the night having landed 9 of 18 total strikes. In terms of significant strikes, Spivac landed 3 of 5, which gave him a rate of 60%. He ended up landing 2 of 4 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side, Tybura landed 0% of his significant strikes by sticking 0 of 4. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he was 0 of 2 pointed at the head. 100% of the significant strikes landed by Spivac and 33% of them landed by Tybura were tallied at distance.

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In the last fight for Jhonata Diniz, he squared up with Karl Williams and ended up getting the victory by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Williams ended up landing 86% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance and Diniz ended up landing 98% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Diniz ended up landing 57% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 59 of 103. He connected on 32 of 75 significant strikes to the head. Williams ended up landing 29 of 84 significant strikes in that contest. Of all the significant strikes, he ended up landing 22 of 74 aimed at the head. In relation to total strikes thrown, Williams was 49 of 120 while Diniz connected on 63 of 107 of all the strikes he threw.

Other fights to watch out for

Another fight to keep an eye on is when Mickey Gall squares up against Ramiz Brahimaj. Gall comes into this fight with a mark of 7-6-0. The 32-year-old records a weight of 170 lbs and stands in at 6'2". The switch fighter has an arm span of 74". Brahimaj measures in at 5'10" and is weighing in at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a record of 10-5-0. The 31-year-old extends his reach 72". When it comes to grappling, Mickey Gall takes his opponents down 1.18 times per 3 rds and Ramiz Brahimaj is able to score a takedown 1.61 times per 3 rds. When talking about striking, Gall lands an average of 3.33 strikes/min and connects on 48% of the strikes that he throws. The other fighter in this bout is Ramiz Brahimaj, who is connecting on 41% of the strikes he has thrown and lands 1.74 per minute.

If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Oban Elliott is set to square up with Bassil Hafez. Hafez walks into the cage holding a record of 9-3-1. The 32-year-old weighs in at 170 lbs and stands 5'11". The orthodox fighter reaches 72". Elliott comes in at 6'0" and records a weight of 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon holding a record of 11-2-0. The 26-year-old extends his reach 72". Concerning wrestling, Bassil Hafez prevents 50% of the takedowns fighters have tried and is taking his opponents to the mat on 24% of the times he tries. Elliott is taking his opponents to the mat on 50% of his tries and deflects 72% of all takedown attempts. With regard to striking, Hafez takes 5.53 strikes per min and he is landing 4.23 per minute. Elliott, on the contrary, takes 2.24 strikes per minute and is landing 3.82 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Jhonata Diniz (+110)

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