Luis Rodriguez vs Denys Bondar Pick, 2/24/2024 Predictions UFC Mexico City Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 2/19/2024

Luis Rodriguez vs Denys Bondar

UFC Mexico City

Mexico City Arena

Saturday, February 24, 2024

Luis Rodriguez will battle Denys Bondar at UFC Mexico City on Saturday, February 24, 2024. The line has Rodriguez at -105 while Bondar is priced at -115.

Luis "Lazy Boy" Rodriguez comes into this fight with a mark of 16-2-0. The 24-year-old steps on the scale at 125 lbs and stands in at 5'6". The orthodox fighter stretches 65". Denys "Psycho" Bondar stands in at 5'6" and tips the scales at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight with a record of 14-4-0. The 31-year-old has a wingspan of 69". Regarding significant strikes, Luis Rodriguez connects on 1.27 per min and Denys Bondar is landing 4.89 significant strikes per minute. Rodriguez connects on 37% of the significant strikes he attempts and Bondar lands 45%. Regarding defense, "Lazy Boy" allows 3.20 significant strikes per minute and "Psycho" takes 6.42. Rodriguez also curbs 54% of the significant strikes his opponents throw his way and Bondar curbs 56% of the shots thrown his way.

ufc picks Denys Bondar predictions best bet odds

UFC Mexico City	Luis Rodriguez	Denys Bondar
Opening Odds	-105	-115
Record	16-2-0	14-4-0
Average Fight Time	15:00	8:11
Height	5'6"	5'6"
Weight	125 lbs	125 lbs
Reach	65"	69"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	1.27	4.89
Striking Accuracy	37%	45%

In terms of grappling, Luis Rodriguez is not as efficient of a grappler as he takes his opponents down 2.00 times per 15 minutes. Rodriguez is finishing his takedown attempts on 50% of the times he tries and is defending 100% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. Bondar is getting his opponent to the mat on 50% of his takedown attempts and is defending 62% of the attempts against him. Regarding submission attempts, Rodriguez is the more able fighter by attempting 2.0 subs per 3 rds while Bondar attempts 0.4 subs per 15 minutes.

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In his last appearance in the Octagon, Luis Rodriguez went up against Jerome Rivera and walked away in defeat by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Rivera ended up landing 93 of 161 total strikes attempted in that contest. Rodriguez ended the night having landed 27 of 63 total strikes. In the significant strikes category, Rivera ended up landing 48 of 105, which means his percentage was 45%. He ended up landing 14 of 53 significant strikes to the head. On the other side of the cage, Rodriguez ended up landing 37% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 19 of 51. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he was 10 of 40 to the head. 75% of the significant strikes connected on by Rivera and 68% of them connected on by Rodriguez were done at distance.

In the last fight for Denys Bondar, he went up against Carlos Hernandez and was on the losing end of this fight by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Hernandez connected on 76% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance while Bondar landed 89% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Bondar landed 44% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 76 of 170. He connected on 37 of 121 significant strikes aimed at the head. Hernandez landed 102 of 233 significant strikes in that fight. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 87 of 213 directed at the head. In regard to total strikes attempted in that fight, Hernandez landed 108 of 239 and Bondar ended up landing 82 of 176 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other bouts to watch

Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Victor Altamirano fights Felipe dos Santos. Altamirano looks to add a victory to his total of 12-3-0. The 33-year-old will fight at 125 lbs and stands in at 5'8". The switch fighter stretches 70". dos Santos stands in at 5'7" and is weighing in at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight with a record of 7-1-0 (1 NC). The 23-year-old has an arm span of 70". Regarding grappling, Victor Altamirano takes his opponents down 2.12 times per 3 rounds while Felipe dos Santos scores a takedown 0.00 times per 3 rds. Regarding striking, Altamirano lands 5.00 strikes per minute and connecting on 57% of his attempted strikes. The other guy in this fight is Felipe dos Santos, who is connecting on 32% of the strikes he has thrown and connects on 6.60 per min.

Another must see fight on the night is when Muhammad Naimov is set to go up against Erik Silva. Silva will be looking to add a win to his career total of 9-2-0. The 36-year-old tips the scales at 145 lbs and comes in at 5'9". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 71". Naimov stands in at 5'9" and records a weight of 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to his career record of 10-2-0. The 29-year-old has a reach of 70". In the category of takedowns, Erik Silva is able to curb 71% of the takedowns his opponents go for and is finishing his takedowns on 80% of his tries. Naimov is finishing his takedowns on 28% of the attempts he tries and curbs 57% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. In the category of striking, Silva is taking 1.58 strikes per minute while he lands 2.17 strikes per minute. Naimov, moreover, takes 4.66 strikes per minute and is connecting on 3.37 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Denys Bondar (-115)

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Luis Rodriguez vs Denys Bondar Pick, 2/24/2024 Predictions UFC Mexico City Odds

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