Luana Santos vs Mariya Agapova Pick, 7/13/2024 Predictions UFC Denver Odds

by Tony Sink - 7/11/2024

Luana Santos vs Mariya Agapova

UFC Denver

Ball Arena in Denver, CO

Saturday, July 13, 2024

Luana Santos will take on Mariya Agapova at UFC Denver on Saturday, July 13, 2024. The opening line has Santos priced at -395 while Agapova is priced at +310.

Luana Santos holds a career record of 7-1-0. The 24-year-old is fighting at 125 lbs and stands 5'6". The orthodox fighter extends her reach 67". Mariya "Money Mashka" Agapova measures 5'6" and is fighting at 125 lbs. The southpaw fighter walks into the cage with a record of 10-4-0. The 27-year-old extends her reach 68". With respect to significant strikes, Luana Santos is landing 6.21 per minute while Mariya Agapova connects on 4.67 significant strikes per minute. Santos lands 55% of the significant strikes she tries while Agapova is landing 55%. In terms of defending in the Octagon, Santos absorbs 3.64 significant strikes per minute while "Money Mashka" absorbs 3.82. Santos also stops 64% of the significant strikes her opponents attempt and Agapova is able to stop 52% of the strikes thrown her way.

ufc picks Mariya Agapova predictions best bet odds

W**AdsterraTest**W

UFC Denver	Luana Santos	Mariya Agapova
Opening Odds	-395	+310
Record	7-1-0	10-4-0
Average Fight Time	9:21	8:30
Height	5'6"	5'6"
Weight	125 lbs	125 lbs
Reach	67"	68"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	6.21	4.67
Striking Accuracy	55%	55%

Concerning wrestling, Luana Santos is averaging more takedowns in the cage as she takes her opponents to the mat 1.61 times per 3 rds. Santos is finishing her takedown attempts on 50% of the times she tries and is stuffing 66% of the takedowns her opponents try. Agapova is getting her opponent to the mat on 66% of her takedown tries and stuffing 47% of the attempts against her. When it comes to subbing the opposition, Santos is less apt at going for the finish by going for 0.4 finishes per 15 minutes while Agapova looks to get 0.9 finishes per 3 rds.

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In her previous bout, Luana Santos faced Stephanie Egger and got a win for the night by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Egger landed 112 of 193 total strikes attempted in that fight. Santos finished this fight landing 97 of 161 total strikes. When talking about significant strikes, Egger ended up landing 44 of 115, which gave her a percentage of 38%. She finished the fight landing 31 of 97 significant strikes to the head. Statistically, Santos ended up landing 50% of her significant strikes by landing 53 of 104. Of all the significant strikes, she connected on 20 of 61 pointed at the head. 65% of the significant strikes connected on by Egger and 94% of them connected on by Santos were done at a distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Mariya Agapova, she squared up with Gillian Robertson and ended up losing the fight by rear naked choke in round 2. Robertson ended up connecting on 100% of the significant strikes she tried at a distance while Agapova ended up landing 23% of the significant strikes she attempted at distance. Agapova landed 67% of her significant strikes attempted by landing 39 of 58. She landed 36 of 53 significant strikes to the head. Robertson ended up landing 4 of 14 significant strikes in that contest. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, she ended up landing 0 of 5 aimed at the head. When discussing total strikes attempted in that fight, Robertson connected on 7 of 20 and Agapova was 84 of 107 of the strikes she threw in total.

Other fights to watch

Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Santiago Ponzinibbio squares up against Muslim Salikhov. Ponzinibbio steps into the Octagon holding a mark of 30-7-0. The 37-year-old will fight at 170 lbs and measures 6'0". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 73". Salikhov comes in at 5'11" and will fight at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to his career record of 19-5-0. The 40-year-old stretches 70". When it comes to wrestling, Santiago Ponzinibbio takes his opponents down 0.48 times per 15 min and Muslim Salikhov takes his opponents down 1.27 times per 3 rounds. When talking about striking, Ponzinibbio is connecting on 4.90 strikes per minute and connects on 41% of the strikes that he throws. Joining him in the Octagon is Muslim Salikhov, who is connecting on 51% of the strikes he has attempted and is landing 3.36 per minute.

Another must see fight on the night is when Jean Silva is set to square up against Drew Dober. Dober has a record of 27-13-0 (1 NC). The 35-year-old records a weight of 155 lbs and comes in at 5'8". The southpaw fighter stretches 70". Silva measures 5'7" and is weighing in at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a win to his career total of 13-2-0. The 27-year-old stretches 69". In terms of grappling, Drew Dober prevents 56% of his opponents' takedown attempts and is taking his opponents to the mat on 18% of his attempts. Silva is taking his opponents to the mat on 50% of his attempts and is able to deflect 72% of all takedown attempts. In the category of striking, Dober takes 4.23 strikes/min and he dishes out 4.34 per min. Silva, on the other side, is absorbing 4.11 strikes per min and is dealing 5.71 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Mariya Agapova (+310)

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Luana Santos vs Mariya Agapova Pick, 7/13/2024 Predictions UFC Denver Odds

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