Li Jingliang vs Carlos Prates Pick, 8/17/2024 Predictions UFC 305 Odds

Li Jingliang vs Carlos Prates

UFC 305

RAC Arena in Perth, Australia

Saturday, August 17, 2024

Li Jingliang will enter the Octagon with Carlos Prates at UFC 305 on Saturday, August 17, 2024. The opening line has Jingliang at +275 while Prates is at -340.

Li "The Leech" Jingliang steps into the Octagon with a mark of 19-8-0. The 36-year-old will fight at 170 lbs and measures 6'0". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 71". Carlos "The Nightmare" Prates comes in at 6'1" and will fight at 170 lbs. The switch fighter has a mark of 19-6-0. The 30-year-old stretches 78". Regarding significant strikes, Li Jingliang is landing 4.46 per minute and Carlos Prates is connecting on 4.09 significant strikes per min. Jingliang lands 42% of the significant strikes he throws while Prates lands 52%. When it comes to the fighter's defense, "The Leech" absorbs 3.84 significant strikes per minute while "The Nightmare" takes 5.23. Jingliang also defends against 57% of the significant strikes his opponents throw at him and Prates stops 39% of the shots thrown.

Regarding grappling, Li Jingliang is the more efficient wrestler as he gets a takedown 1.25 times per 3 rounds. Jingliang is finishing his takedown attempts on 41% of his attempts and thwarting 60% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. Prates is taking his opponents down on 15% of the takedowns he attempts and is stopping 80% of all takedowns attempted on him. When it comes to going for the sub, Jingliang is less apt at going for the finish by going for 0.5 finishes per 3 rounds while Prates goes for 0.9 finishes per 15 min.

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The last time he stepped into the Octagon, Li Jingliang fought Daniel Rodriguez and took a loss on the night via split decision in round 3. Rodriguez ended up landing 89 of 186 total strikes attempted in that contest. Jingliang finished this fight landing 78 of 175 total strikes. In the significant strikes category, Rodriguez ended up landing 88 of 185, which gave him a percentage of 47%. He finished the fight landing 54 of 140 significant strikes to the head. Statistically, Jingliang ended up landing 44% of his significant strikes by connecting on 78 of 175. Of those significant strikes, he landed 25 of 103 aimed at the head. 100% of the significant strikes landed by Rodriguez and 100% of them landed by Jingliang were thrown at a distance.

In the last fight for Carlos Prates, he squared up with Charles Radtke and got a win for the night by way of a knee to the body in round 1. Radtke ended up connecting on 92% of his significant strikes at distance while Prates ended up connecting on 100% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Prates connected on 41% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 15 of 36. He ended up landing 5 of 19 significant strikes aimed at the head. Radtke connected on 14 of 27 significant strikes in that contest. Of all the significant strikes, he landed 7 of 19 to the head. Regarding the strikes he fired off in this contest, Radtke ended up connecting on 33 of 48 while Prates ended up landing 15 of 36 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other bouts on the card to keep an eye on

Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Junior Tafa squares up in the Octagon against Valter Walker. Tafa steps into the cage holding a record of 5-2-0. The 27-year-old is weighing in at 240 lbs and stands 6'3". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 75". Walker measures in at 6'6" and is fighting at 265 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage with a mark of 11-1-0. The 26-year-old has a reach of 78". When it comes to grappling, Junior Tafa is able to score a takedown 0.60 times per 3 rds while Valter Walker gets a takedown 4.00 times per 3 rounds. In the striking category, Tafa connects on 1.81 strikes/min and connecting on 40% of the strikes that he attempts. On the other side we have Valter Walker, who is landing 49% of the strikes he has attempted and connects on 2.20 per min.

If you're into fun fights, you're going to want to see when Ricardo Ramos is set to enter the Octagon against Josh Culibao. Culibao walks into the Octagon holding a record of 11-3-1. The 30-year-old is weighing in at 145 lbs and stands 5'10". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 73". Ramos comes in at 5'9" and tips the scales at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the cage with a mark of 16-6-0. The 29-year-old stretches 72". In terms of wrestling, Josh Culibao is able to thwart 67% of his opponents' takedown tries and is getting his opponent to the mat on 15% of the times he tries. Ramos is taking his opponents down on 60% of his tries and stops 72% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. With reference to striking, Culibao is absorbing 3.24 strikes per min and he lands 3.20 strikes/minute. Ramos, notwithstanding, takes 3.74 strikes/min and lands 3.21 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Li Jingliang (+275)

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