Leon Edwards vs Belal Muhammad Pick, 7/27/2024 Predictions UFC 304 Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 7/23/2024

Leon Edwards vs Belal Muhammad

UFC 304

Co-op Live in Manchester, England

Saturday, July 27, 2024

Leon Edwards will enter the Octagon with Belal Muhammad at UFC 304 on Saturday, July 27, 2024. The opening line has Edwards coming in at -230 while Muhammad is priced at +190.

Leon "Rocky" Edwards holds a career record of 22-3-0 (1 NC). The 32-year-old steps on the scale at 170 lbs and measures 6'2". The southpaw fighter has an arm span of 74". Belal "Remember the Name" Muhammad comes in at 5'11" and is fighting at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage holding a mark of 23-3-0 (1 NC). The 36-year-old has an arm span of 72". Regarding significant strikes, Leon Edwards lands 2.75 per minute while Belal Muhammad lands 4.55 significant strikes per min. Edwards is landing 53% of the significant strikes he throws while Muhammad lands 43%. Regarding defending in the cage, "Rocky" allows 2.34 significant strikes per min while "Remember the Name" takes 3.64. Edwards also deflects 54% of the significant strikes that are directed at him and Muhammad is able to curb 57% of the shots thrown in his direction.

ufc picks Leon Edwards ufc predictions best bet odds

UFC 304	Leon Edwards	Belal Muhammad
Opening Odds	-230	+190
Record	22-3-0 (1 NC)	23-3-0 (1 NC)
Average Fight Time	16:55	14:19
Height	6'2"	5'11"
Weight	170 lbs	170 lbs
Reach	74"	72"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	2.75	4.55
Striking Accuracy	53%	43%

In the wrestling category, Leon Edwards is not as efficient of a wrestler as he is able to score a takedown 1.25 times per 3 rounds. Edwards is getting his opponent to the mat on 34% of the times he tries and stuffing 70% of the takedowns his opponents try. Muhammad is taking his opponents to the mat on 35% of the takedowns he tries and stuffing 93% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Regarding subbing opponents, Edwards is the more experienced submission fighter by going for 0.4 submissions per 15 minutes while Muhammad tries 0.2 submissions per 3 rounds.

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In his last appearance in the Octagon, Leon Edwards went up against Colby Covington and got a win for the night via unanimous decision in round 5. Covington ended up landing 109 of 194 of the strikes he let go in total for this contest. Edwards finished this fight landing 65 of 116 total strikes. In terms of significant strikes, Covington ended up landing 44 of 126, which gave him a rate of 34%. He ended up landing 20 of 86 significant strikes to the head. Statistically, Edwards landed 52% of his significant strikes by connecting on 57 of 108. Of those significant strikes, he was 21 of 62 to the head. 100% of the significant strikes connected on by Covington and 98% of them connected on by Edwards were tallied at distance.

In the last bout for Belal Muhammad, he went up against Gilbert Burns and wound up getting the win by unanimous decision in round 5. Burns landed 100% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance and Muhammad ended up landing 100% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Muhammad ended up connecting on 46% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 132 of 283. He connected on 92 of 241 significant strikes to the head. Burns connected on 81 of 147 significant strikes in that fight. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he ended up landing 35 of 96 aimed at the head. In regard to total strikes that he threw in that fight, Burns landed 81 of 147 and Muhammad connected on 132 of 283 of all the strikes he threw.

Other fights on the card to watch

Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Tom Aspinall enters the Octagon against Curtis Blaydes. Aspinall walks into the Octagon with a mark of 14-3-0. The 31-year-old tips the scales at 256 lbs and measures in at 6'5". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 78". Blaydes comes in at 6'4" and steps on the scale at 265 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to his career total of 18-4-0 (1 NC). The 33-year-old has an arm span of 80". In the grappling category, Tom Aspinall gets his opposition to the mat 3.46 times per 3 rds while Curtis Blaydes takes his opponents to the mat 5.72 times per 15 minutes. In terms of striking, Aspinall tags his opponents 7.72 strikes per min and is landing 66% out of all the strikes he attempts. On the other side of the cage you've got Curtis Blaydes, who is landing 50% of the strikes he has thrown and connects on 3.53 per min.

Another bout to watch is when Paddy Pimblett is set to take on Bobby Green. Green will be looking to add a win to his career total of 32-15-1 (1 NC). The 37-year-old will fight at 155 lbs and stands 5'10". The orthodox fighter stretches 71". Pimblett stands 5'10" and will fight at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this bout with a record of 21-3-0. The 29-year-old extends his reach 73". Regarding wrestling, Bobby Green defends against 74% of the takedowns fighters have attempted and is finishing his takedown attempts on 38% of the times he tries. Pimblett is taking his opponents down on 25% of his tries and is able to defend against 56% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. In the category of striking, Green takes 3.75 strikes per minute while he is dealing 6.45 strikes per min. Pimblett, notwithstanding, is absorbing 3.70 strikes/min and is connecting on 5.13 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Leon Edwards (-230)

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Leon Edwards vs Belal Muhammad Pick, 7/27/2024 Predictions UFC 304 Odds

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