Ketlen Vieira vs Kayla Harrison Pick, 10/5/2024 Predictions UFC 307 Odds

Ketlen Vieira vs Kayla Harrison

UFC 307

Delta Center in Salt Lake City

Saturday, October 5, 2024

Ketlen Vieira will enter the Octagon against Kayla Harrison at UFC 307 on Saturday, October 5, 2024. The moneyline has Vieira at +550 while Harrison is priced at -800.

Ketlen "Fenomeno" Vieira walks into the cage with a record of 14-3-0. The 33-year-old will fight at 135 lbs. and measures 5' 8". The orthodox fighter extends her reach 68". Kayla Harrison measures 5' 8" and will fight at 135 lbs.. The southpaw fighter steps into the cage holding a record of 17-1-0. The 34-year-old extends her reach 66". Regarding significant strikes, Ketlen Vieira connects on 3.04 per minute and Kayla Harrison is landing 7.52 significant strikes per min. Vieira is landing 41% of the significant strikes she tries while Harrison is connecting on 71%. In terms of defending in the Octagon, "Fenomeno" takes 3.92 significant strikes per min and Harrison absorbs 0.29. Vieira also defends 51% of the significant strikes her opponents attempt and Harrison deflects 83% of the strikes thrown her way.

In terms of takedowns, Ketlen Vieira is the not as competent as a grappler as she takes her opponents to the mat 1.51 times per 15 min. Vieira is scoring a takedown on 44% of her tries and defending 92% of the takedowns her opponents try. Harrison is scoring a takedown on 40% of her takedown tries and is stuffing 85% of the attempts against her. Regarding going for the sub, Vieira is the less likely of the two fighters to go for the finish by attempting 0.6 subs per 3 rounds while Harrison attempts 2.2 subs per 3 rds.

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The last time she stepped into the Octagon, Ketlen Vieira went up against Pannie Kianzad and wound up taking home the victory by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Kianzad landed 92 of 144 total strikes attempted in that contest. Vieira ended the night having landed 65 of 103 total strikes. Concerning significant strikes, Kianzad landed 22 of 51, which means her percentage was 43%. She landed 17 of 45 significant strikes to the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Vieira landed 45% of her significant strikes by sticking 15 of 33. Out of those significant strikes, she landed 13 of 31 pointed at the head. 45% of the significant strikes connected on by Kianzad and 53% of them connected on by Vieira were thrown at a distance.

In the last bout for Kayla Harrison, she battled Holly Holm and wound up getting the victory by way of rear naked choke in round 2. Holm landed 50% of the significant strikes she took from distance and Harrison landed 11% of the significant strikes she took from distance. Harrison landed 71% of the significant strikes she attempted by connecting on 51 of 71. She ended up landing 46 of 66 significant strikes aimed at the head. Holm landed 2 of 12 significant strikes in that contest. Of all the significant strikes, she landed 1 of 9 directed at the head. Relating to total strikes thrown, Holm was 7 of 17 and Harrison ended up landing 68 of 91 total strikes.

Other bouts to watch

One more match to look forward to is when Marina Rodriguez takes on Iasmin Lucindo. Rodriguez looks to add a win to her record of 17-4-2. The 37-year-old will fight at 115 lbs. and stands in at 5' 6". The orthodox fighter extends her reach 65". Lucindo measures in at 5' 3" and records a weight of 115 lbs.. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage with a mark of 16-5-0. The 22-year-old stretches 66". In terms of takedowns, Marina Rodriguez takes her opponents to the mat 0.23 times per 3 rds while Iasmin Lucindo is able to score a takedown 2.23 times per 15 min. When it comes to striking, Rodriguez lands 4.82 strikes per min and lands 47% of her attempted strikes. Joining her in the Octagon is Iasmin Lucindo, who connects on 46% of the strikes she attempts and connects on 3.95 per minute.

If you're into fun fights, you're going to want to see when Tecia Pennington is set to square up in the Octagon with Carla Esparza. Esparza will be looking to add a victory to her record of 20-7-0. The 36-year-old records a weight of 115 lbs. and comes in at 5' 1". The orthodox fighter stretches 63". Pennington comes in at 5' 1" and tips the scales at 115 lbs.. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to her career record of 13-7-0. The 35-year-old stretches 60". Regarding wrestling, Carla Esparza is able to stop 47% of the takedowns her opponents go for and is getting her opponent to the mat on 35% of her tries. Pennington is finishing her takedown tries on 14% of her tries and curbs 65% of all takedown attempts. In the matter of striking, Esparza is absorbing 2.69 strikes per minute while she lands 2.16 per min. Pennington, on the other hand, takes 3.59 strikes per min and is landing 4.78 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Kayla Harrison (-800)

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