Karolina Kowalkiewicz vs Denise Gomes Pick, 11/9/2024 Predictions UFC Vegas 100 Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 11/6/2024

Karolina Kowalkiewicz vs Denise Gomes

UFC Vegas 100

UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, November 9, 2024

Karolina Kowalkiewicz will enter the Octagon against Denise Gomes at UFC Vegas 100 on Saturday, November 9, 2024. The line has Kowalkiewicz priced at +390 while Gomes is at -520.

Karolina Kowalkiewicz steps into the Octagon holding a record of 16-8-0. The 39-year-old weighs in at 115 lbs and measures 5'3". The orthodox fighter reaches 64". Denise "Dee" Gomes measures 5'2" and is weighing in at 115 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage with a mark of 9-3-0. The 24-year-old extends her reach 63". In terms of significant strikes, Karolina Kowalkiewicz lands 5.71 per minute while Denise Gomes connects on 4.48 significant strikes per min. Kowalkiewicz is landing 43% of the significant strikes she tries while Gomes lands 49%. When it comes to defending in the Octagon, Kowalkiewicz allows 5.55 significant strikes per min and "Dee" takes 3.12. Kowalkiewicz also deflects 58% of the significant strikes her opponents attempt while Gomes defends against 50% of the shots thrown.

ufc picks Karolina Kowalkiewicz ufc predictions best bet odds

W**AdsterraTest**W

UFC Vegas 100	Karolina Kowalkiewicz	Denise Gomes
Opening Odds	+390	-520
Record	16-8-0	9-3-0
Average Fight Time	13:09	11:20
Height	5'3"	5'2"
Weight	115 lbs	115 lbs
Reach	64"	63"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	5.71	4.48
Striking Accuracy	43%	49%

In the grappling category, Karolina Kowalkiewicz is not as efficient of a wrestler as she takes her opponents to the canvas 0.34 times per 3 rds. Kowalkiewicz is scoring a takedown on 23% of her tries and is defending 73% of the takedowns her opponents try. Gomes is taking her opponents to the canvas on 30% of her takedown tries and defending 66% of the attempts against her. Regarding going for the sub, Kowalkiewicz is the lesser skilled fighter by trying 0.2 finishes per 3 rounds while Gomes looks to get 0.9 finishes per 15 minutes.

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In her last bout, Karolina Kowalkiewicz squared up with Iasmin Lucindo and ended up walking away in defeat by unanimous decision in round 3. Lucindo landed 91 of 144 total strikes that she let go in that fight. Kowalkiewicz finished this fight landing 47 of 119 total strikes. In the category of significant strikes, Lucindo ended up landing 83 of 136, which gave her a percentage of 61%. She ended up landing 53 of 100 significant strikes aimed at the head. Statistically, Kowalkiewicz ended up landing 37% of the significant strikes she threw by landing 42 of 111. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, she connected on 17 of 73 pointed at the head. 68% of the significant strikes landed by Lucindo and 95% of them landed by Kowalkiewicz were tallied at a distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Denise Gomes, she went up against Eduarda Moura and wound up getting the win by way of split decision in round 3. Moura connected on 66% of the significant strikes she attempted at distance while Gomes ended up landing 62% of the significant strikes she tried at a distance. Gomes connected on 56% of the significant strikes she attempted by connecting on 50 of 88. She ended up connecting on 19 of 46 significant strikes to the head. Moura ended up connecting on 18 of 47 significant strikes in that fight. Of all the significant strikes, she connected on 12 of 40 aimed at the head. Relating to total strikes attempted in that contest, Moura connected on 27 of 66 while Gomes connected on 137 of 184 total strikes.

Other fights on the card to watch

One more match to look forward to is when Neil Magny enters the Octagon with Carlos Prates. Magny looks to add a win to his career total of 29-13-0. The 37-year-old weighs in at 170 lbs and comes in at 6'3". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 80". Prates stands 6'1" and will fight at 170 lbs. The switch fighter steps into the Octagon with a record of 20-6-0. The 31-year-old extends his reach 78". In the wrestling category, Neil Magny takes his opponents to the mat 2.15 times per 3 rds while Carlos Prates is able to score a takedown 0.80 times per 3 rounds. When it comes to striking, Magny is connecting on 3.44 strikes per min and connecting on 46% of the strikes that he attempts. On the other side of the cage we have Carlos Prates, who is landing 57% of the strikes he has attempted and is connecting on 4.71 per min.

If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Miles Johns is set to square up in the Octagon against Cody Garbrandt. Garbrandt has a mark of 14-6-0. The 33-year-old steps on the scale at 135 lbs and measures 5'8". The orthodox fighter reaches 65". Johns comes in at 5'7" and records a weight of 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon with a record of 15-2-0 (1 NC). The 30-year-old reaches 66". In terms of wrestling, Cody Garbrandt is preventing 80% of his opponents' takedown tries and is scoring a takedown on 34% of the times he tries. Johns is finishing his takedowns on 20% of his tries and curbs 85% of all takedown attempts. In the matter of striking, Garbrandt is absorbing 3.76 strikes/min while he lands 2.98 per min. Johns, at the same time, is taking 2.54 strikes per min and deals 3.28 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Denise Gomes (-520)

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Karolina Kowalkiewicz vs Denise Gomes Pick, 11/9/2024 Predictions UFC Vegas 100 Odds

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