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Kai Kara-France vs Steve Erceg Pick, 8/17/2024 Predictions UFC 305 Odds

by Tony Sink - 8/13/2024

Kai Kara-France vs Steve Erceg

UFC 305

RAC Arena in Perth, Australia

Saturday, August 17, 2024

Kai Kara-France will face off against Steve Erceg at UFC 305 on Saturday, August 17, 2024. The opening moneyline has Kara-France coming in at +140 while Erceg is coming in at -166.

Kai "Don't Blink" Kara-France steps into the Octagon holding a mark of 24-11-0 (1 NC). The 31-year-old records a weight of 125 lbs and stands in at 5'4". The orthodox fighter reaches 69". Steve "Astroboy" Erceg measures in at 5'8" and is weighing in at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon holding a record of 12-2-0. The 29-year-old has a reach of 68". Concerning significant strikes, Kai Kara-France connects on 4.57 per min while Steve Erceg is landing 4.52 significant strikes per min. Kara-France lands 39% of the significant strikes he attempts while Erceg is connecting on 49%. When it comes to the fighter's defense, "Don't Blink" allows 3.24 significant strikes per minute while "Astroboy" takes 4.20. Kara-France also thwarts 65% of the significant strikes his opponents attempt while Erceg deflects 52% of the strikes thrown his way.

ufc picks Kai Kara-France ufc predictions best bet odds

 

UFC 305 Kai Kara-France Steve Erceg
Opening Odds +140 -166
Record 24-11-0 (1 NC) 12-2-0
Average Fight Time 13:03 15:07
Height 5'4" 5'8"
Weight 125 lbs 125 lbs
Reach 69" 68"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 4.57 4.52
Striking Accuracy 39% 49%

In terms of wrestling, Kai Kara-France is the lesser skilled wrestler as he takes his opponents down 0.63 times per 15 min. Kara-France is getting his opponent to the mat on 33% of the times he tries and is stuffing 88% of all takedowns attempted on him. Erceg is taking his opponents to the mat on 26% of the takedowns he tries and thwarting 60% of the attempts against him. Regarding subbing the opposition, Kara-France is not as skilled of a technician by trying 0.3 subs per 15 min while Erceg tries 0.5 subs per 3 rds.

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In his last bout, Kai Kara-France faced Amir Albazi and ended up losing the fight via split decision in round 5. Albazi ended up landing 64 of 173 total strikes attempted in that contest. Kara-France ended the night having landed 133 of 323 total strikes. In the category of significant strikes, Albazi ended up landing 43 of 145, which gave him a percentage of 29%. He landed 31 of 125 significant strikes directed at the head. Statistically, Kara-France ended up landing 34% of his significant strikes by connecting on 99 of 283. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he was 57 of 224 pointed at the head. 90% of the significant strikes landed by Albazi and 90% of them connected on by Kara-France were done at distance.

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In the last fight for Steve Erceg, he battled Alexandre Pantoja and took a loss on the night by unanimous decision in round 5. Pantoja ended up landing 76% of the significant strikes he took from distance while Erceg ended up landing 96% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Erceg ended up landing 52% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 111 of 212. He landed 87 of 181 significant strikes to the head. Pantoja ended up landing 125 of 242 significant strikes in that fight. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he connected on 75 of 184 directed at the head. Regarding total strikes thrown, Pantoja ended up connecting on 143 of 262 while Erceg ended up connecting on 129 of 233 of all the strikes he threw.

Other bouts to watch

Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Mateusz Gamrot squares up against Dan Hooker. Gamrot will be looking to add a win to his career total of 24-2-0 (1 NC). The 33-year-old tips the scales at 155 lbs and measures in at 5'10". The southpaw fighter has an arm span of 70". Hooker comes in at 6'0" and records a weight of 155 lbs. The switch fighter has a mark of 23-12-0. The 34-year-old extends his reach 75". In the grappling category, Mateusz Gamrot gets a takedown 5.28 times per 15 min while Dan Hooker gets a takedown 0.79 times per 15 minutes. In the striking category, Gamrot is connecting on 3.09 strikes per min and lands 51% of the strikes that he attempts. On the other side of the cage you've got Dan Hooker, who lands 48% of the strikes he has tried and lands 5.08 per minute.

If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Jairzinho Rozenstruik is set to clash with Tai Tuivasa. Tuivasa comes into this fight holding a mark of 15-7-0. The 31-year-old steps on the scale at 264 lbs and stands 6'2". The southpaw fighter has a reach of 75". Rozenstruik stands in at 6'2" and is fighting at 242 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight holding a mark of 14-5-0. The 36-year-old extends his reach 78". Regarding takedowns, Tai Tuivasa is able to deflect 57% of the takedowns fighters have tried and is getting his opponent to the mat on 15% of the times he tries. Rozenstruik is finishing his takedown tries on 15% of the attempts he tries and thwarts 75% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. In the category of striking, Tuivasa is absorbing 5.05 strikes per min while he is connecting on 3.96 strikes/minute. Rozenstruik, moreover, is taking 2.78 strikes/minute and is dealing 3.44 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Steve Erceg (-166)

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