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Justin Gaethje vs Max Holloway Pick, 4/13/2024 Predictions UFC 300 Odds

by Tony Sink - 4/9/2024

Justin Gaethje vs Max Holloway

UFC 300

T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas

Saturday, April 13, 2024

Justin Gaethje will face off with Max Holloway at UFC 300 on Saturday, April 13, 2024. The opener has Gaethje coming in at -175 while Holloway is at +145.

Justin "The Highlight" Gaethje looks to add a victory to his record of 25-4-0. The 35-year-old will fight at 155 lbs and comes in at 5'11". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 70". Max "Blessed" Holloway measures 5'11" and weighs 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight with a mark of 25-7-0. The 32-year-old has an arm span of 69". With respect to significant strikes, Justin Gaethje lands 7.35 per minute while Max Holloway is connecting on 7.17 significant strikes per min. Gaethje is connecting on 60% of the significant strikes he attempts while Holloway connects on 47%. In terms of the fighter's defense, "The Highlight" allows 7.50 significant strikes per minute and "Blessed" absorbs 4.75. Gaethje also defends 53% of the significant strikes his opponents throw at him and Holloway prevents 59% of the shots thrown in his direction.

ufc picks Justin Gaethje ufc predictions best bet odds

 

UFC 300 Justin Gaethje Max Holloway
Opening Odds -175 +145
Record 25-4-0 25-7-0
Average Fight Time 9:46 15:56
Height 5'11" 5'11"
Weight 155 lbs 145 lbs
Reach 70" 69"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 7.35 7.17
Striking Accuracy 60% 47%

 

Concerning wrestling, Justin Gaethje is not as effective of a grappler as he gets a takedown 0.13 times per 15 min. Gaethje is scoring a takedown on 25% of the times he tries and is defending 75% of all takedown tries against him. Holloway is finishing his takedown tries on 53% of the takedowns he tries and defending 84% of all takedowns attempted on him. In terms of going for the submission, Gaethje is the more capable fighter by attempting 0.8 subs per 3 rds while Holloway looks to get 0.3 subs per 3 rounds.

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The last time he stepped into the Octagon, Justin Gaethje fought Dustin Poirier and ended up getting the victory in the fight by way of a kick to the head in round 2. Poirier landed 27 of 52 total strikes that he threw in that contest. Gaethje finished this fight landing 41 of 66 total strikes. In the significant strikes category, Poirier landed 27 of 52, giving him a percentage of 51%. He landed 21 of 46 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side, Gaethje ended up landing 62% of his significant strikes by landing 41 of 66. Out of those significant strikes, he connected on 23 of 48 aimed at the head. 92% of the significant strikes connected on by Poirier and 92% of them connected on by Gaethje were tallied at distance.

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In the last Octagon appearance for Max Holloway, he went up against Chan Sung Jung and ended up winning this fight by a punch to the head in round 3. Jung landed 100% of the significant strikes he took from distance and Holloway ended up connecting on 94% of his significant strikes at distance. Holloway connected on 58% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 75 of 128. He connected on 34 of 77 significant strikes to the head. Jung ended up connecting on 34 of 124 significant strikes in that fight. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he landed 25 of 110 directed at the head. When discussing the total strikes thrown in this fight, Jung connected on 35 of 126 and Holloway was 75 of 128 of all the strikes he threw.

Other bouts on the card to watch

One more match to look forward to is when Charles Oliveira encounters Arman Tsarukyan. Oliveira looks to add a win to his total of 34-9-0 (1 NC). The 34-year-old records a weight of 155 lbs and comes in at 5'10". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 74". Tsarukyan stands 5'7" and will fight at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon holding a mark of 21-3-0. The 27-year-old stretches 72". When it comes to grappling, Charles Oliveira is able to score a takedown 2.32 times per 15 min while Arman Tsarukyan takes his opponents down 3.40 times per 15 min. In terms of striking, Oliveira is landing 3.54 strikes/minute and connecting on 53% of his attempted strikes. The other guy in this fight is Arman Tsarukyan, who lands 48% of the strikes he has thrown and connects on 3.85 per min.

If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Cody Brundage is set to fight Bo Nickal. Nickal has a career record of 5-0-0. The 28-year-old records a weight of 185 lbs and measures 6'1". The southpaw fighter has a reach of 76". Brundage measures in at 6'0" and weighs in at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon holding a mark of 10-5-0. The 29-year-old reaches 72". In terms of grappling, Bo Nickal deflects 15% of the takedowns fighters have gone for and is taking his opponents to the canvas on 50% of the times he tries. Brundage is finishing his takedowns on 52% of the attempts he tries and stops 73% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. Concerning striking, Nickal takes 0.55 strikes/minute and he is landing 2.76 strikes/min. Brundage, at the same time, is taking 2.51 strikes/minute and dishes out 1.80 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Max Holloway (+145)

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