Junior Tafa vs Valter Walker Pick, 8/17/2024 Predictions UFC 305 Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 8/13/2024

Junior Tafa vs Valter Walker

UFC 305

RAC Arena in Perth, Australia

Saturday, August 17, 2024

Junior Tafa will face off against Valter Walker at UFC 305 on Saturday, August 17, 2024. The moneyline has Tafa at -130 while Walker is coming in at +110.

Junior "The Juggernaut" Tafa steps into the cage holding a record of 5-2-0. The 27-year-old is weighing in at 240 lbs and stands 6'3". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 75". Valter "The Clean Monster" Walker measures in at 6'6" and is fighting at 265 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage with a mark of 11-1-0. The 26-year-old has a reach of 78". When talking about significant strikes, Junior Tafa is connecting on 1.81 per minute and Valter Walker is connecting on 2.20 significant strikes per minute. Tafa lands 40% of the significant strikes he tries while Walker connects on 49%. In terms of the fighter's defense, "The Juggernaut" allows 1.86 significant strikes per min while "The Clean Monster" allows 3.87. Tafa also defends 50% of the significant strikes his opponents attempt and Walker stops 43% of the shots thrown.

ufc picks Junior Tafa ufc predictions best bet odds

UFC 305	Junior Tafa	Valter Walker
Opening Odds	-130	+110
Record	5-2-0	11-1-0
Average Fight Time	7:33	15:00
Height	6'3"	6'6"
Weight	240 lbs	265 lbs
Reach	75"	78"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	1.81	2.20
Striking Accuracy	40%	49%

Regarding wrestling, Junior Tafa is not as efficient of a grappler as he gets a takedown 0.60 times per 15 minutes. Tafa is scoring a takedown on 15% of the times he tries and is stopping 81% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Walker is finishing his takedowns on 80% of his takedown attempts and defending 15% of all takedowns attempted on him. Regarding subbing the opposition, Tafa is less likely to go for the finish by attempting 0.2 subs per 15 min while Walker attempts 0.7 subs per 15 min.

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The last time he fought, Junior Tafa fought Marcos Rogerio de Lima and wound up losing the fight via a kick to the leg at distance in round 2. Lima ended up landing 63 of 78 total strikes attempted in that fight. Tafa finished this fight landing 17 of 33 total strikes. Concerning significant strikes, Lima ended up landing 33 of 46, which gave him a percentage of 71%. He landed 19 of 31 significant strikes to the head. On the other side of the cage, Tafa ended up landing 40% of his significant strikes by landing 11 of 27. Of all the significant strikes, he was 9 of 24 pointed at the head. 66% of the significant strikes landed by Lima and 90% of them landed by Tafa were thrown at a distance.

In the last fight for Valter Walker, he battled Lukasz Brzeski and wound up walking away in defeat by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Brzeski connected on 94% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance while Walker ended up landing 69% of his significant strikes at distance. Walker landed 49% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 33 of 67. He ended up landing 19 of 50 significant strikes directed at the head. Brzeski ended up connecting on 58 of 102 significant strikes in that fight. Of those significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 27 of 70 aimed at the head. Discussing total strikes thrown, Brzeski connected on 135 of 200 and Walker was 56 of 101 total strikes.

Other bouts to watch out for

Another fight to keep an eye on is when Josh Culibao encounters Ricardo Ramos. Culibao walks into the Octagon holding a record of 11-3-1. The 30-year-old is weighing in at 145 lbs and stands 5'10". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 73". Ramos comes in at 5'9" and tips the scales at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the cage with a mark of 16-6-0. The 29-year-old stretches 72". In terms of takedowns, Josh Culibao gets his opposition to the mat 0.30 times per 15 minutes and Ricardo Ramos is able to score a takedown 3.02 times per 3 rds. When it comes to striking, Culibao lands 3.20 strikes per minute and connects on 42% of his attempted strikes. On the other side we have Ricardo Ramos, who is connecting on 37% of the strikes he has attempted and is connecting on 3.21 per minute.

If you're into fun fights, you're going to want to see when Herbert Burns is set to enter the Octagon against Jack Jenkins. Jenkins steps into the Octagon with a mark of 12-3-0. The 30-year-old records a weight of 145 lbs and comes in at 5'7". The switch fighter extends his reach 68". Burns measures in at 5'9" and is fighting at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to his total of 11-5-0. The 36-year-old reaches 73". Regarding takedowns, Jack Jenkins deflects 75% of his opponents' takedown tries and is getting his opponent to the mat on 69% of his attempts. Burns is finishing his takedown tries on 42% of his attempts and thwarts 66% of all takedown attempts. In the matter of striking, Jenkins is absorbing 3.07 strikes per minute and he lands 4.43 strikes/min. Burns, on the contrary, is taking 4.60 strikes per min and is dishing out 1.73 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Valter Walker (+110)

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Junior Tafa vs Valter Walker Pick, 8/17/2024 Predictions UFC 305 Odds

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