Julian Erosa vs Christian Rodriguez Pick, 7/13/2024 Predictions UFC Denver Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 7/11/2024

Julian Erosa vs Christian Rodriguez

UFC Denver

Ball Arena in Denver, CO

Saturday, July 13, 2024

Julian Erosa will take on Christian Rodriguez at UFC Denver on Saturday, July 13, 2024. The opening line has Erosa priced at +170 while Rodriguez is priced at -205.

Julian "Juicy J" Erosa steps into the Octagon holding a mark of 29-12-0. The 34-year-old is fighting at 145 lbs and comes in at 6'1". The southpaw fighter stretches 74". Christian Rodriguez stands in at 5'7" and is fighting at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon holding a record of 11-1-0. The 26-year-old has an arm span of 71". In terms of significant strikes, Julian Erosa is connecting on 6.14 per minute while Christian Rodriguez connects on 3.45 significant strikes per minute. Erosa connects on 48% of the significant strikes he tries and Rodriguez lands 48%. In terms of defending in the Octagon, "Juicy J" takes 6.29 significant strikes per min while Rodriguez allows 2.28. Erosa also stops 47% of the significant strikes that are thrown his way while Rodriguez thwarts 57% of the shots thrown.

ufc picks Julian Erosa predictions best bet odds

UFC Denver	Julian Erosa	Christian Rodriguez
Opening Odds	+170	-205
Record	29-12-0	11-1-0
Average Fight Time	7:58	13:11
Height	6'1"	5'7"
Weight	145 lbs	145 lbs
Reach	74"	71"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	6.14	3.45
Striking Accuracy	48%	48%

Concerning wrestling, Julian Erosa is the better grappler as he is able to score a takedown 1.63 times per 15 min. Erosa is scoring a takedown on 46% of his tries and stuffing 58% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. Rodriguez is getting his opponent to the mat on 54% of his takedown attempts and defending 66% of the tries against him. Regarding going for the sub, Erosa is less apt at going for the finish by attempting 0.8 subs per 15 min while Rodriguez tries 1.1 subs per 15 min.

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In his last appearance in the Octagon, Julian Erosa went up against Ricardo Ramos and ended up getting the victory via guillotine choke in round 1. Ramos landed 12 of 23 total strikes that he let go in that contest. Erosa walked away from this fight having landed 11 of 21 total strikes. In terms of significant strikes, Ramos ended up landing 7 of 17, which gave him a percentage of 41%. He ended up landing 5 of 14 significant strikes to the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Erosa ended up landing 36% of his significant strikes by sticking 4 of 11. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he was 2 of 8 pointed at the head. 85% of the significant strikes landed by Ramos and 100% of them landed by Erosa were tallied at a distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Christian Rodriguez, he faced off with Isaac Dulgarian and got a win for the night by split decision in round 3. Dulgarian landed 63% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance while Rodriguez ended up landing 43% of his significant strikes at distance. Rodriguez landed 63% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 48 of 76. He landed 43 of 71 significant strikes aimed at the head. Dulgarian connected on 22 of 44 significant strikes in that fight. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he ended up connecting on 17 of 39 to the head. Discussing total strikes attempted in that fight, Dulgarian ended up connecting on 56 of 89 and Rodriguez was 97 of 135 of all the strikes he threw.

Other bouts on the card to watch

One more match to look forward to is when Abdul Razak Alhassan fights Cody Brundage. Razak Alhassan holds a record of 12-6-0. The 38-year-old weighs in at 185 lbs and measures 5'10". The orthodox fighter stretches 73". Brundage stands in at 6'0" and tips the scales at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage holding a mark of 10-6-0. The 30-year-old has an arm span of 72". In the grappling category, Abdul Razak Alhassan takes his opponents to the canvas 0.89 times per 15 min while Cody Brundage is averaging a takedown 2.33 times per 15 minutes. When it comes to striking, Razak Alhassan tags his opponents 3.37 strikes per minute and connects on 48% of the strikes that he attempts. The other guy in this fight is Cody Brundage, who lands 54% of the strikes he attempts and is connecting on 1.62 per min.

An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Charles Johnson is set to clash with Joshua Van. Van looks to add a win to his record of 10-1-0. The 22-year-old will fight at 125 lbs and comes in at 5'5". The orthodox fighter stretches 65". Johnson stands 5'9" and is weighing in at 125 lbs. The switch fighter has a mark of 15-6-0. The 33-year-old reaches 70". When it comes to takedowns, Joshua Van curbs 78% of the takedowns his opponents attempt and is finishing his takedowns on 42% of his attempts. Johnson is taking his opponents down on 23% of the tries he takes and is able to deflect 67% of all takedown tries against him. With reference to striking, Van takes 5.77 strikes/min and he lands 9.08 strikes/minute. Johnson, in contrast, is taking 3.16 strikes/minute and dishes out 4.48 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Christian Rodriguez (-205)

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Julian Erosa vs Christian Rodriguez Pick, 7/13/2024 Predictions UFC Denver Odds

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