John Castaneda vs Daniel Marcos Pick, 6/8/2024 Predictions UFC Louisville Odds

John Castaneda vs Daniel Marcos

UFC Louisville

KFC Yum! Center in Louisville, KY

Saturday, June 8, 2024

John Castaneda will face off with Daniel Marcos at UFC Louisville on Saturday, June 8, 2024. The opener has Castaneda priced at -118 while Marcos is priced at -102.

John "Sexy Mexi" Castaneda steps into the Octagon with a mark of 21-6-0. The 32-year-old steps on the scale at 135 lbs and measures 5'6". The switch fighter has a wingspan of 71". Daniel "Soncora" Marcos stands 5'7" and weighs in at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the cage with a record of 15-0-0 (1 NC). The 31-year-old extends his reach 69". When talking about significant strikes, John Castaneda connects on 4.79 per minute while Daniel Marcos is landing 5.75 significant strikes per minute. Castaneda is landing 50% of the significant strikes he throws and Marcos lands 50%. In terms of defending in the cage, "Sexy Mexi" absorbs 4.99 significant strikes per minute and "Soncora" allows 4.00. Castaneda also deflects 56% of the significant strikes that are directed at him while Marcos is able to thwart 66% of the shots thrown his way.

In the category of takedowns, John Castaneda is the more efficient wrestler as he is averaging a takedown 1.92 times per 3 rds. Castaneda is finishing his takedown attempts on 37% of his attempts and is stuffing 71% of all takedown tries against him. Marcos is scoring a takedown on 50% of his takedown tries and is defending 89% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Regarding going for the sub, Castaneda is the more skilled fighter by trying 0.2 submissions per 3 rounds while Marcos attempts 0.0 submissions per 15 minutes.

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In his previous fight, John Castaneda faced Kyung Ho Kang and ended up getting the victory in the fight via unanimous decision in round 3. Kang landed 88 of 203 total strikes attempted in that contest. Castaneda ended the night having landed 119 of 187 total strikes. Concerning significant strikes, Kang landed 88 of 202, giving him a percentage of 43%. He finished the fight landing 59 of 170 significant strikes aimed at the head. Statistically, Castaneda landed 62% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 111 of 179. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he landed 47 of 103 to the head. 93% of the significant strikes landed by Kang and 98% of them connected on by Castaneda were thrown at distance.

In the last bout for Daniel Marcos, he went up against Aoriqileng and the fight ended in a no contest by low blows to Aoriquileng in round 2. Aoriqileng ended up connecting on 95% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance while Marcos landed 85% of his significant strikes at distance. Marcos ended up landing 64% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 81 of 126. He connected on 50 of 84 significant strikes aimed at the head. Aoriqileng ended up connecting on 45 of 95 significant strikes in that contest. Of all the significant strikes, he ended up landing 26 of 71 directed at the head. Regarding total strikes that he threw in that fight, Aoriqileng connected on 45 of 96 while Marcos connected on 84 of 129 total strikes.

Other fights to watch

Another fight to keep an eye on is when Cody Stamann battles Taylor Lapilus. Stamann walks into the cage with a mark of 21-6-1. The 34-year-old steps on the scale at 135 lbs and measures 5'6". The orthodox fighter stretches 64". Lapilus stands 5'6" and weighs 135 lbs. The southpaw fighter looks to add a win to his career record of 19-4-0. The 32-year-old extends his reach 73". Regarding grappling, Cody Stamann scores a takedown 2.34 times per 15 minutes and Taylor Lapilus takes his opponents to the canvas 0.37 times per 15 min. Regarding striking, Stamann connects for an average of 4.39 strikes per min and connecting on 47% of his attempted strikes. The other fighter in this bout is Taylor Lapilus, who connects on 46% of the strikes he has tried and lands 3.91 per min.

One more can't miss bout is when Montana De La Rosa is set to enter the Octagon with Andrea Lee. Lee looks to add a victory to her total of 13-9-0. The 35-year-old will fight at 125 lbs. and comes in at 5' 6". The orthodox fighter stretches 69". De La Rosa measures in at 5' 7" and is fighting at 125 lbs.. The orthodox fighter has a mark of 12-9-1. The 29-year-old extends her reach 68". Concerning wrestling, Andrea Lee stops 55% of the takedowns her opponents try and is scoring a takedown on 58% of her tries. De La Rosa is taking her opponents down on 31% of the attempts she tries and defends against 64% of all takedown attempts. In the category of striking, Lee is absorbing 3.76 strikes per min while she is dealing 4.69 per min. De La Rosa, on the contrary, is absorbing 3.21 strikes/min and is connecting on 2.70 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Daniel Marcos (-102)

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