Joel Alvarez vs Elves Brener Pick, 8/3/2024 Predictions UFC Abu Dhabi Odds

by Tony Sink - 7/31/2024

Joel Alvarez vs Elves Brener

UFC Abu Dhabi

Etihad Arena, Yas Island, Abu Dhabi, UAE

Saturday, August 3, 2024

Joel Alvarez will face off with Elves Brener at UFC Abu Dhabi on Saturday, August 3, 2024. The opener has Alvarez at -185 while Brener is coming in at +154.

Joel "El Fenomeno" Alvarez looks to add a win to his career record of 20-3-0. The 31-year-old weighs in at 155 lbs and comes in at 6'3". The orthodox fighter reaches 77". Elves Brener stands in at 5'10" and weighs in at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon with a mark of 16-4-0. The 26-year-old has a wingspan of 72". Regarding significant strikes, Joel Alvarez connects on 3.65 per min and Elves Brener is landing 4.19 significant strikes per minute. Alvarez is landing 46% of the significant strikes he tries and Brener is landing 47%. Concerning the fighter's defense, "El Fenomeno" absorbs 3.37 significant strikes per minute and Brener takes 4.82. Alvarez also prevents 50% of the significant strikes that are aimed in his direction and Brener curbs 52% of the strikes thrown his way.

ufc picks Elves Brener ufc predictions best bet odds

UFC Abu Dhabi	Joel Alvarez	Elves Brener
Opening Odds	-185	+154
Record	20-3-0	16-4-0
Average Fight Time	6:44	11:50
Height	6'3"	5'10"
Weight	155 lbs	155 lbs
Reach	77"	72"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	3.65	4.19
Striking Accuracy	46%	47%

In terms of grappling, Joel Alvarez is the not as competent as a grappler as he takes his opponents to the canvas 0.60 times per 15 minutes. Alvarez is taking his opponents to the canvas on 15% of his attempts and stopping 11% of takedowns his opponents have tried. Brener is taking his opponents to the canvas on 31% of the takedowns he attempts and is stuffing 75% of the attempts against him. When it comes to subbing opponents, Alvarez is the more skilled of the two fighters by going for 1.3 submissions per 15 min while Brener goes for 0.5 submissions per 15 minutes.

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In his last fight, Joel Alvarez went up against Marc Diakiese and took home the victory by way of d'arce choke in round 2. Diakiese landed 29 of 60 total strikes that he let go in that fight. Alvarez walked away from this fight having landed 64 of 98 total strikes. In terms of significant strikes, Diakiese landed 20 of 46, which means his percentage was 43%. He landed 8 of 25 significant strikes to the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Alvarez landed 56% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 42 of 75. Out of those significant strikes, he landed 20 of 49 to the head. 100% of the significant strikes connected on by Diakiese and 88% of them landed by Alvarez were tallied at distance.

In the last bout for Elves Brener, he went up against Myktybek Orolbai and ended up taking the loss by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Orolbai ended up landing 49% of the significant strikes he took from distance and Brener ended up connecting on 72% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Brener ended up landing 52% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 48 of 91. He connected on 24 of 61 significant strikes directed at the head. Orolbai connected on 65 of 119 significant strikes in that fight. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he ended up connecting on 52 of 103 aimed at the head. Relating to total strikes attempted in that fight, Orolbai ended up landing 83 of 138 and Brener ended up landing 79 of 125 total strikes.

Other fights on the card to keep an eye on

Another fight to keep an eye on is when Alonzo Menifield battles Azamat Murzakanov. Menifield walks into the Octagon holding a mark of 15-4-1. The 36-year-old tips the scales at 205 lbs and measures 6'0". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 76". Murzakanov stands in at 5'10" and records a weight of 205 lbs. The southpaw fighter walks into the cage with a record of 13-0-0. The 35-year-old has a reach of 71". In terms of takedowns, Alonzo Menifield is able to score a takedown 0.67 times per 3 rds and Azamat Murzakanov takes his opponents down 0.75 times per 15 min. In terms of striking, Menifield is landing 3.92 strikes per min and landing 57% of his attempted strikes. On the other side of the cage you've got Azamat Murzakanov, who lands 57% of the strikes he has thrown and connects on 4.57 per min.

One more can't miss bout is when Kaue Fernandes is set to encounter Mohammad Yahya. Yahya has a mark of 12-4-0. The 30-year-old is fighting at 155 lbs and comes in at 5'9". The switch fighter has an arm span of 73". Fernandes measures in at 5'9" and steps on the scale at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage holding a record of 8-2-0. The 29-year-old stretches 73". In terms of wrestling, Mohammad Yahya is able to curb 42% of his opponents' takedown attempts and is taking his opponents down on 85% of his attempts. Fernandes is taking his opponents down on 85% of his tries and defends against 62% of takedowns his opponents have tried. In the category of striking, Yahya is taking 4.07 strikes per minute and he is landing 2.87 strikes per minute. Fernandes, in contrast, is absorbing 0.87 strikes/minute and is connecting on 1.53 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Joel Alvarez (-185)

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Joel Alvarez vs Elves Brener Pick, 8/3/2024 Predictions UFC Abu Dhabi Odds

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