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Jim Miller vs Damon Jackson Pick, 11/16/2024 Predictions UFC 309 Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 11/12/2024

Jim Miller vs Damon Jackson

UFC 309

Madison Square Garden in NYC

Saturday, November 16, 2024

Jim Miller will enter the Octagon against Damon Jackson at UFC 309 on Saturday, November 16, 2024. The opener has Miller priced at +142 while Jackson is coming in at -170.

Jim "A-10" Miller steps into the cage with a record of 37-18-0 (1 NC). The 41-year-old weighs 155 lbs and comes in at 5'8". The southpaw fighter reaches 71". Damon "The Leech" Jackson stands in at 5'11" and weighs in at 155 lbs. The switch fighter steps into the Octagon with a mark of 23-7-1 (1 NC). The 36-year-old extends his reach 71". With respect to significant strikes, Jim Miller is connecting on 2.99 per minute while Damon Jackson is landing 2.90 significant strikes per minute. Miller connects on 42% of the significant strikes he attempts and Jackson connects on 42%. Concerning their defense in the cage, "A-10" absorbs 3.50 significant strikes per minute and "The Leech" absorbs 3.47. Miller also deflects 56% of the significant strikes his opponents attempt while Jackson is able to defend against 48% of the strikes thrown in his direction.

ufc picks Jim Miller ufc predictions best bet odds

 

UFC 309 Jim Miller Damon Jackson
Opening Odds +142 -170
Record 37-18-0 (1 NC) 23-7-1 (1 NC)
Average Fight Time 9:49 10:21
Height 5'8" 5'11"
Weight 155 lbs 155 lbs
Reach 71" 71"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 2.99 2.90
Striking Accuracy 42% 42%

Regarding grappling, Jim Miller is not as effective of a grappler as he gets a takedown 1.53 times per 15 min. Miller is taking his opponents to the canvas on 44% of his tries and defending 47% of all takedowns attempted on him. Jackson is scoring a takedown on 34% of the takedowns he tries and stuffing 37% of the attempts against him. Regarding going for the sub, Miller is the more capable of the two fighters by attempting 1.7 finishes per 15 min while Jackson attempts 1.2 finishes per 3 rds.

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In his previous fight, Jim Miller faced King Green and was on the losing end of this fight by unanimous decision in round 3. Green landed 187 of 320 total strikes that he let go in that fight. Miller ended the night having landed 58 of 145 total strikes. When it comes to significant strikes, Green landed 186 of 319, which gave him a rate of 58%. He finished the fight landing 136 of 245 significant strikes aimed at the head. Statistically, Miller landed 39% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 57 of 144. Out of those significant strikes, he landed 29 of 103 aimed at the head. 89% of the significant strikes connected on by Green and 96% of them landed by Miller were tallied at a distance.

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In the last bout for Damon Jackson, he squared up with Chepe Mariscal and was defeated via unanimous decision in round 3. Mariscal landed 10% of his significant strikes at distance and Jackson connected on 15% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Jackson ended up connecting on 65% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 32 of 49. He ended up landing 5 of 16 significant strikes directed at the head. Mariscal landed 73 of 100 significant strikes in that battle. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he ended up landing 59 of 86 directed at the head. Discussing total strikes that he let go, Mariscal was 218 of 267 while Jackson ended up connecting on 49 of 72 total strikes.

Other fights on the card to watch

An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Marcin Tybura squares up against Jhonata Diniz. Tybura comes into this bout with a mark of 25-9-0. The 39-year-old weighs 249 lbs and stands in at 6'3". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 78". Diniz measures 6'4" and weighs 254 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to his career total of 8-0-0. The 33-year-old extends his reach 79". In terms of takedowns, Marcin Tybura takes his opponents down 1.42 times per 3 rds while Jhonata Diniz scores a takedown 0.70 times per 15 min. In the striking category, Tybura tags his opponents 3.57 strikes per minute and lands 48% of the strikes that he attempts. The other guy in this fight is Jhonata Diniz, who tags the opposition on 53% of the strikes he has thrown and connects for an average of 4.09 per min.

Another bout to watch is when Ramiz Brahimaj is set to clash with Mickey Gall. Gall comes into this fight with a mark of 7-6-0. The 32-year-old records a weight of 170 lbs and stands in at 6'2". The switch fighter has an arm span of 74". Brahimaj measures in at 5'10" and is weighing in at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a record of 10-5-0. The 31-year-old extends his reach 72". In terms of wrestling, Mickey Gall deflects 37% of the takedowns fighters have attempted and is getting his opponent to the mat on 32% of his tries. Brahimaj is taking his opponents to the mat on 35% of his attempts and thwarts 44% of the takedowns his opponents try. In the category of striking, Gall is absorbing 4.55 strikes/minute and he dishes out 3.33 per minute. Brahimaj, moreover, takes 3.69 strikes/minute and is dishing out 1.74 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Jim Miller (+142)

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