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Jhonata Diniz vs Karl Williams Pick, 8/10/2024 Predictions UFC Vegas 95 Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 8/6/2024

Jhonata Diniz vs Karl Williams

UFC Vegas 95

UFC Apex in Las Vegas

Saturday, August 10, 2024

Jhonata Diniz will enter the Octagon against Karl Williams at UFC Vegas 95 on Saturday, August 10, 2024. The opening moneyline has Diniz coming in at +180 while Williams is at -218.

Jonny "The Sluggernaut" Parsons has a record of 7-0-0. The 33-year-old tips the scales at 254 lbs and comes in at 6'4". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 79". Yusaku Kinoshita stands in at 6'3" and is weighing in at 235 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a career mark of 10-1-0. The 34-year-old extends his reach 79". When talking about significant strikes, Jhonata Diniz is connecting on 4.31 per minute while Karl Williams is connecting on 2.87 significant strikes per minute. Diniz lands 48% of the significant strikes he throws and Williams connects on 52%. Concerning their defense in the Octagon, Diniz takes 3.92 significant strikes per minute and Williams allows 1.70. Diniz also stops 45% of the significant strikes that are thrown his way while Williams is able to stop 60% of the strikes thrown his way.

ufc picks Karl Williams ufc predictions best bet odds

 

UFC Vegas 95 Jhonata Diniz Karl Williams
Opening Odds +180 -218
Record 7-0-0 10-1-0
Average Fight Time 5:14 15:00
Height 6'4" 6'3"
Weight 254 lbs 235 lbs
Reach 79" 79"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 4.31 2.87
Striking Accuracy 48% 52%

Regarding grappling, Jhonata Diniz is the not as competent as a wrestler as he takes his opponents to the mat 0.50 times per 15 minutes. Diniz is getting his opponent to the mat on 15% of the times he tries and thwarting 80% of all takedowns attempted on him. Williams is finishing his takedown attempts on 50% of the takedowns he tries and is stopping 85% of the attempts against him. When it comes to subbing the opposition, Diniz is the more capable fighter by trying 0.6 finishes per 3 rds while Williams attempts 0.2 finishes per 3 rds.

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In his last bout, Jhonata Diniz squared up with Austen Lane and ended up getting the victory in the fight via a punch to the head in round 2. Lane landed 43 of 73 total strikes that he threw in that fight. Diniz finished this fight landing 31 of 45 total strikes. In terms of significant strikes, Lane landed 17 of 37, which gave him a rate of 45%. He finished the fight landing 15 of 34 significant strikes to the head. Statistically, Diniz ended up landing 60% of his significant strikes by connecting on 20 of 33. Out of those significant strikes, he was 15 of 28 to the head. 64% of the significant strikes connected on by Lane and 80% of them connected on by Diniz were done at a distance.

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In the last bout for Karl Williams, he battled Justin Tafa and ended up getting the victory in the fight by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Tafa connected on 85% of the significant strikes he took from distance and Williams ended up landing 47% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Williams ended up landing 65% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 40 of 61. He ended up landing 26 of 47 significant strikes directed at the head. Tafa ended up connecting on 21 of 43 significant strikes in that contest. Out of those significant strikes, he landed 15 of 36 to the head. In terms of the strikes he fired off in this contest, Tafa connected on 27 of 50 while Williams ended up connecting on 123 of 176 of all the strikes he threw.

Other bouts on the card to keep an eye on

Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Youssef Zalal battles Jarno Errens. Zalal steps into the Octagon with a mark of 14-5-1. The 27-year-old weighs 145 lbs and measures 5'10". The switch fighter has a reach of 72". Errens comes in at 5'11" and will fight at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the cage holding a mark of 14-5-1. The 29-year-old extends his reach 73". In the grappling category, Youssef Zalal takes his opponents to the mat 2.28 times per 3 rds while Jarno Errens scores a takedown 0.30 times per 3 rds. Regarding striking, Zalal is landing 2.88 strikes per minute and connecting on 49% of his attempted strikes. On the other side we have Jarno Errens, who tags his opponent on 46% of the strikes he has thrown and connects on 3.44 per min.

An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Chelsea Chandler is set to fight Yana Santos. Santos comes into this bout with a mark of 14-8-0 (1 NC). The 34-year-old will fight at 135 lbs and measures 5'6". The orthodox fighter stretches 68". Chandler measures in at 5'8" and tips the scales at 135 lbs. The southpaw fighter looks to add a win to her career record of 6-2-0. The 33-year-old reaches 68". When it comes to takedowns, Yana Santos is able to defend against 42% of her opponents takedown tries and is scoring a takedown on 53% of the times she tries. Chandler is taking her opponents to the mat on 60% of the attempts she tries and is able to curb 33% of all takedown attempts. With reference to striking, Santos is taking 3.03 strikes per minute while she is dealing 4.16 strikes/minute. Chandler, on the other hand, is taking 3.09 strikes per min and connects on 3.45 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Karl Williams (-218)

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