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Jailton Almeida vs Alexandr Romanov Pick, 6/1/2024 Predictions UFC 302 Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 5/28/2024

Jailton Almeida vs Alexandr Romanov

UFC 302

Prudential Center in Newark, NJ

Saturday, June 1, 2024

Jailton Almeida will enter the Octagon against Alexandr Romanov at UFC 302 on Saturday, June 1, 2024. The opening odds have Almeida priced at -278 while Romanov is coming in at +225.

Jailton "Malhadinho" Almeida comes into this bout holding a record of 20-3-0. The 32-year-old will fight at 205 lbs and stands in at 6'3". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 79". Alexandr "King Kong" Romanov measures in at 6'2" and steps on the scale at 262 lbs. The southpaw fighter has a career mark of 17-2-0. The 33-year-old has an arm span of 75". In the category of significant strikes, Jailton Almeida lands 2.54 per min while Alexandr Romanov is landing 4.06 significant strikes per minute. Almeida is landing 64% of the significant strikes he attempts while Romanov is landing 52%. Regarding defense, "Malhadinho" allows 0.74 significant strikes per minute while "King Kong" absorbs 2.20. Almeida also defends against 40% of the significant strikes that are directed at him while Romanov thwarts 50% of the strikes thrown his way.

ufc picks Jailton Almeida ufc predictions best bet odds

 

UFC 302 Jailton Almeida Alexandr Romanov
Opening Odds -278 +225
Record 20-3-0 17-2-0
Average Fight Time 7:38 8:41
Height 6'3" 6'2"
Weight 205 lbs 262 lbs
Reach 79" 75"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 2.54 4.06
Striking Accuracy 64% 52%

 

Concerning grappling, Jailton Almeida is the more apt wrestler as he scores a takedown 6.88 times per 15 minutes. Almeida is scoring a takedown on 59% of the times he tries and is stopping 75% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. Romanov is scoring a takedown on 54% of the takedowns he attempts and is stuffing 20% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Regarding going for the sub, Almeida is the more skilled fighter by trying 2.2 submissions per 15 minutes while Romanov goes for 0.9 submissions per 15 minutes.

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The last time he fought, Jailton Almeida went up against Curtis Blaydes and wound up taking the loss by way of a punch to the head while on the ground in round 2. Blaydes ended up landing 19 of 28 total strikes attempted in that contest. Almeida walked away from this fight having landed 9 of 11 total strikes. When it comes to significant strikes, Blaydes landed 16 of 25, which gave him a rate of 64%. He landed 16 of 25 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side of the cage, Almeida ended up landing 33% of his significant strikes by connecting on 1 of 3. Out of those significant strikes, he landed 1 of 3 to the head. 0% of the significant strikes connected on by Blaydes and 100% of them landed by Almeida were tallied at a distance.

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In the last bout for Alexandr Romanov, he squared up with Blagoy Ivanov and got a win for the night by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Ivanov ended up landing 100% of the significant strikes he took from distance while Romanov ended up connecting on 87% of his significant strikes at distance. Romanov landed 55% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 85 of 154. He connected on 52 of 121 significant strikes directed at the head. Ivanov landed 44 of 108 significant strikes in that contest. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he landed 38 of 102 directed at the head. In relation to total strikes that he let go in that fight, Ivanov ended up landing 44 of 108 and Romanov was 104 of 180 of all the strikes he threw.

Other bouts to watch

Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Randy Brown encounters Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos. Brown steps into the cage with a record of 18-5-0. The 33-year-old is weighing in at 170 lbs and stands 6'3". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 78". Zaleski dos Santos comes in at 5'11" and weighs in at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a career record of 24-7-1. The 37-year-old has an arm span of 73". Regarding grappling, Randy Brown takes his opponents to the canvas 0.78 times per 15 min while Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos takes his opponents to the canvas 0.43 times per 3 rds. Regarding striking, Brown is landing 4.37 strikes per min and lands 46% of his attempted strikes. The other fighter in this bout is Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos, who is connecting on 42% of the strikes he has tried and lands 4.52 per min.

An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Roman Kopylov is set to fight Cesar Almeida. Almeida steps into the cage holding a record of 5-0-0. The 36-year-old is weighing in at 185 lbs and stands 6'1". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 74". Kopylov comes in at 6'0" and steps on the scale at 185 lbs. The southpaw fighter walks into the Octagon holding a record of 12-3-0. The 33-year-old has a wingspan of 75". When it comes to takedowns, Cesar Almeida stops 62% of his opponents' takedown attempts and is finishing his takedown tries on 0% of the times he tries. Kopylov is taking his opponents to the mat on 50% of his attempts and stops 87% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. With reference to striking, Almeida takes 1.31 strikes per min while he is landing 4.50 per min. Kopylov, in contrast, is absorbing 4.10 strikes/min and is dishing out 4.66 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Alexandr Romanov (+225)

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