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Jack Jenkins vs Herbert Burns Pick, 8/17/2024 Predictions UFC 305 Odds

by Tony Sink - 8/13/2024

Jack Jenkins vs Herbert Burns

UFC 305

RAC Arena in Perth, Australia

Saturday, August 17, 2024

Jack Jenkins will enter the Octagon with Herbert Burns at UFC 305 on Saturday, August 17, 2024. The line has Jenkins priced at -800 while Burns is at +550.

Jack "Phar" Jenkins steps into the Octagon with a mark of 12-3-0. The 30-year-old records a weight of 145 lbs and comes in at 5'7". The switch fighter extends his reach 68". Herbert "The Blaze" Burns measures in at 5'9" and is fighting at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to his total of 11-5-0. The 36-year-old reaches 73". When talking about significant strikes, Jack Jenkins is connecting on 4.43 per min and Herbert Burns is landing 1.73 significant strikes per minute. Jenkins is landing 61% of the significant strikes he throws while Burns is landing 40%. In terms of the fighter's defense, "Phar" takes 3.07 significant strikes per min and "The Blaze" allows 4.60. Jenkins also defends 59% of the significant strikes that are directed at him and Burns curbs 41% of them.

ufc picks Jack Jenkins ufc predictions best bet odds

 

UFC 305 Jack Jenkins Herbert Burns
Opening Odds -800 +550
Record 12-3-0 11-5-0
Average Fight Time 13:12 5:00
Height 5'7" 5'9"
Weight 145 lbs 145 lbs
Reach 68" 73"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 4.43 1.73
Striking Accuracy 61% 40%

In the grappling category, Jack Jenkins is not as effective of a grappler as he is able to score a takedown 2.56 times per 15 minutes. Jenkins is taking his opponents to the canvas on 69% of his attempts and is stuffing 75% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. Burns is finishing his takedowns on 42% of the takedowns he attempts and thwarting 66% of the tries against him. Regarding going for the sub, Jenkins is the lesser skilled of the two fighters by attempting 0.6 finishes per 3 rounds while Burns tries 2.5 finishes per 15 minutes.

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In his last bout, Jack Jenkins went up against Chepe Mariscal and ended up losing the fight by an arm injury in round 2. Mariscal landed 87 of 143 of the strikes he threw in total in this fight. Jenkins ended the night having landed 43 of 70 total strikes. In the significant strikes category, Mariscal ended up landing 38 of 87, which gave him a percentage of 43%. He ended up landing 14 of 53 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side, Jenkins landed 60% of his significant strikes by connecting on 41 of 68. Out of those significant strikes, he landed 16 of 36 to the head. 60% of the significant strikes connected on by Mariscal and 85% of them landed by Jenkins were thrown at distance.

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In the last Octagon appearance for Herbert Burns, he went up against Julio Arce and ended up losing the fight by way of a punch to the head in round 2. Arce landed 68% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance while Burns ended up connecting on 86% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Burns landed 26% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 15 of 57. He ended up connecting on 9 of 45 significant strikes to the head. Arce landed 29 of 79 significant strikes in that fight. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he ended up landing 19 of 65 directed at the head. Regarding the strikes he fired off in this contest, Arce ended up connecting on 29 of 79 while Burns ended up connecting on 20 of 63 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other bouts on the card to watch

Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Tom Nolan opposes Alex Reyes. Nolan has a career mark of 7-1-0. The 24-year-old is weighing in at 155 lbs and measures 6'3". The southpaw fighter reaches 73". Reyes stands 5'11" and steps on the scale at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight holding a mark of 13-4-0. The 37-year-old extends his reach 73". In terms of takedowns, Tom Nolan scores a takedown 0.60 times per 15 min and Alex Reyes gets a takedown 0.70 times per 15 minutes. When talking about striking, Nolan lands 9.26 strikes per min and is connecting on 53% of the strikes that he throws. On the other side we have Alex Reyes, who lands 39% of the strikes he attempts and is landing 4.04 per min.

If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Ricky Glenn is set to face off with Song Kenan. Kenan comes into this fight with a record of 20-8-0. The 34-year-old tips the scales at 170 lbs and comes in at 6'0". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 71". Glenn comes in at 6'0" and weighs 170 lbs. The southpaw fighter steps into the Octagon holding a record of 22-8-2. The 35-year-old has a wingspan of 70". Regarding takedowns, Song Kenan thwarts 61% of his opponents' takedown tries and is taking his opponents to the mat on 50% of the times he tries. Glenn is finishing his takedowns on 13% of the tries he takes and deflects 68% of takedowns his opponents have tried. In the category of striking, Kenan is absorbing 6.38 strikes per min and he dishes out 4.36 per minute. Glenn, moreover, is absorbing 4.10 strikes/min and is landing 3.94 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Herbert Burns (+550)

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