Islam Makhachev vs Dustin Poirier Pick, 6/1/2024 Predictions UFC 302 Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 5/28/2024

Islam Makhachev vs Dustin Poirier

UFC 302

Prudential Center in Newark, NJ

Saturday, June 1, 2024

Islam Makhachev will take on Dustin Poirier at UFC 302 on Saturday, June 1, 2024. The odds have Makhachev coming in at -650 while Poirier is priced at +470.

Islam Makhachev looks to add a victory to his record of 25-1-0. The 32-year-old will fight at 155 lbs and measures in at 5'10". The southpaw fighter reaches 70". Dustin "The Diamond" Poirier stands in at 5'9" and is fighting at 155 lbs. The southpaw fighter walks into the Octagon with a record of 30-8-0 (1 NC). The 35-year-old has a wingspan of 72". In terms of significant strikes, Islam Makhachev is connecting on 2.46 per min and Dustin Poirier is connecting on 5.45 significant strikes per min. Makhachev is landing 60% of the significant strikes he tries while Poirier is landing 51%. Regarding defense, Makhachev absorbs 1.27 significant strikes per min and "The Diamond" takes 4.36. Makhachev also deflects 61% of the significant strikes that are aimed in his direction and Poirier deflects 53% of the shots thrown in his direction.

ufc picks Islam Makhachev ufc predictions best bet odds

UFC 302	Islam Makhachev	Dustin Poirier
Opening Odds	-650	+470
Record	25-1-0	30-8-0 (1 NC)
Average Fight Time	9:46	9:53
Height	5'10"	5'9"
Weight	155 lbs	155 lbs
Reach	70"	72"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	2.46	5.45
Striking Accuracy	60%	51%

Regarding wrestling, Islam Makhachev is the more productive grappler as he is able to score a takedown 3.17 times per 15 minutes. Makhachev is taking his opponents to the canvas on 60% of his attempts and stopping 90% of takedowns his opponents have tried. Poirier is taking his opponents to the canvas on 36% of the takedowns he tries and defending 63% of the attempts against him. When it comes to going for the submission, Makhachev is the less likely of the two fighters to go for the finish by attempting 1.0 sub per 15 minutes while Poirier tries 1.4 subs per 15 min.

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In his last fight, Islam Makhachev faced Alexander Volkanovski and got a win for the night by a kick to the head in round 1. Volkanovski landed 11 of 18 total strikes attempted in that fight. Makhachev walked away from this fight having landed 39 of 46 total strikes. In the significant strikes category, Volkanovski ended up landing 4 of 6, which gave him a percentage of 66%. He landed 0 of 1 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Makhachev landed 82% of his significant strikes by sticking 24 of 29. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he landed 13 of 16 pointed at the head. 75% of the significant strikes landed by Volkanovski and 29% of them connected on by Makhachev were tallied at a distance.

In the last bout for Dustin Poirier, he battled Benoit Saint Denis and ended up winning this fight by way of a punch to the head in round 2. Denis ended up connecting on 34% of the significant strikes he took from distance and Poirier landed 82% of his significant strikes at distance. Poirier landed 82% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 28 of 34. He connected on 24 of 30 significant strikes aimed at the head. Denis ended up connecting on 50 of 74 significant strikes in that contest. Out of those significant strikes, he connected on 25 of 46 aimed at the head. Discussing the total strikes thrown in this fight, Denis landed 69 of 97 and Poirier landed 30 of 37 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other bouts to keep an eye on

An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Sean Strickland encounters Paulo Costa. Strickland will be looking to add a victory to his career total of 28-6-0. The 33-year-old weighs 185 lbs and measures 6'1". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 76". Costa stands in at 6'1" and is weighing in at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to his total of 14-3-0. The 33-year-old has a wingspan of 72". When it comes to grappling, Sean Strickland gets a takedown 0.85 times per 3 rounds while Paulo Costa takes his opponents to the canvas 0.45 times per 3 rds. When it comes to striking, Strickland lands an average of 5.91 strikes/min and is landing 41% of the strikes that he throws. Joining him in the Octagon is Paulo Costa, who connects on 58% of the strikes he has thrown and is connecting on 6.20 per min.

An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Michal Oleksiejczuk is set to face off with Kevin Holland. Holland has a career record of 25-11-0 (1 NC). The 31-year-old records a weight of 185 lbs and measures 6'3". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 81". Oleksiejczuk comes in at 6'0" and steps on the scale at 185 lbs. The southpaw fighter will be looking to add a win to his record of 19-7-0 (1 NC). The 29-year-old extends his reach 74". In terms of grappling, Kevin Holland is able to thwart 54% of the takedowns his opponents attempt and is scoring a takedown on 38% of the times he tries. Oleksiejczuk is taking his opponents down on 44% of the tries he takes and is able to deflect 48% of takedowns his opponents have tried. With regard to striking, Holland is taking 3.19 strikes/minute while he connects on 4.24 per minute. Oleksiejczuk, in contrast, takes 4.26 strikes/minute and is dealing 5.06 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Islam Makhachev (-650)

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Islam Makhachev vs Dustin Poirier Pick, 6/1/2024 Predictions UFC 302 Odds

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