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Ilia Topuria vs Max Holloway Pick, 10/26/2024 Predictions UFC 308 Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 10/25/2024

Ilia Topuria vs Max Holloway

UFC 308

Eithad Arena in Abu Dhabi, UAE

Saturday, October 26, 2024

Ilia Topuria will take on Max Holloway at UFC 308 on Saturday, October 26, 2024. The odds have Topuria coming in at -230 while Holloway is coming in at +190.

Ilia "El Matador" Topuria walks into the cage holding a mark of 15-0-0. The 27-year-old is fighting at 145 lbs and comes in at 5'7". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 69". Max "Blessed" Holloway comes in at 5'11" and tips the scales at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage with a record of 26-7-0. The 32-year-old has a wingspan of 69". Concerning significant strikes, Ilia Topuria is connecting on 4.40 per minute and Max Holloway is connecting on 7.17 significant strikes per min. Topuria lands 46% of the significant strikes he tries and Holloway is landing 48%. Concerning their defense in the cage, "El Matador" takes 3.35 significant strikes per minute while "Blessed" takes 4.72. Topuria also stops 65% of the significant strikes that are thrown his way and Holloway is able to stop 59% of the shots thrown his way.

ufc picks Ilia Topuria ufc predictions best bet odds

 

UFC 308 Ilia Topuria Max Holloway
Opening Odds -230 +190
Record 15-0-0 26-7-0
Average Fight Time 10:02 16:15
Height 5'7" 5'11"
Weight 145 lbs 145 lbs
Reach 69" 69"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 4.40 7.17
Striking Accuracy 46% 48%

In terms of grappling, Ilia Topuria is the more efficient wrestler as he gets a takedown 1.92 times per 15 min. Topuria is getting his opponent to the mat on 56% of the times he tries and is defending 92% of the attempts against him. Holloway is finishing his takedowns on 53% of the takedowns he attempts and is stopping 84% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Regarding going for the sub, Topuria is the more experienced submission fighter by going for 1.3 subs per 3 rounds while Holloway attempts 0.3 subs per 3 rds.

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In his previous fight, Ilia Topuria squared up with Alexander Volkanovski and ended up getting the victory in the fight by a punch to the head in round 2. Volkanovski ended up landing 47 of 107 of the strikes he let go in total for this contest. Topuria ended the night having landed 36 of 78 total strikes. In the significant strikes category, Volkanovski ended up landing 47 of 107, which gave him a percentage of 43%. He finished the fight landing 21 of 68 significant strikes to the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Topuria ended up landing 45% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 35 of 77. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he landed 17 of 53 aimed at the head. 93% of the significant strikes landed by Volkanovski and 80% of them connected on by Topuria were thrown at distance.

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In the last bout for Max Holloway, he squared up with Justin Gaethje and ended up winning this fight via a punch to the head in round 5. Gaethje connected on 100% of the significant strikes he took from distance and Holloway ended up landing 100% of his significant strikes at distance. Holloway ended up landing 58% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 181 of 309. He ended up landing 62 of 149 significant strikes aimed at the head. Gaethje ended up landing 103 of 199 significant strikes in that contest. Of those significant strikes, he landed 44 of 121 directed at the head. Regarding total strikes that he let go in that contest, Gaethje ended up connecting on 103 of 199 and Holloway was 181 of 309 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other bouts on the card to watch out for

An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Robert Whittaker battles Khamzat Chimaev. Whittaker will be looking to add a win to his career record of 27-7-0. The 33-year-old tips the scales at 185 lbs and stands in at 6'0". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 73". Chimaev comes in at 6'2" and tips the scales at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a career mark of 13-0-0. The 30-year-old extends his reach 75". Regarding grappling, Robert Whittaker takes his opponents down 0.80 times per 3 rds and Khamzat Chimaev is able to score a takedown 3.99 times per 3 rounds. In terms of striking, Whittaker tags his opponents 4.58 strikes per min and connecting on 43% of the strikes that he throws. The other fighter in this bout is Khamzat Chimaev, who tags his opponent on 58% of the strikes he attempts and connects on 5.72 per minute.

If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Dan Ige is set to square up against Lerone Murphy. Murphy will be looking to add a victory to his record of 14-0-1. The 33-year-old records a weight of 145 lbs and stands 5'9". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 73". Ige measures 5'7" and steps on the scale at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the cage with a mark of 18-8-0. The 33-year-old has an arm span of 71". When it comes to takedowns, Lerone Murphy stops 46% of his opponents' takedown tries and is finishing his takedowns on 52% of his attempts. Ige is finishing his takedowns on 26% of the attempts he tries and is able to stop 59% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. In the matter of striking, Murphy is absorbing 2.60 strikes/min while he dishes out 5.01 strikes per min. Ige, at the same time, takes 3.51 strikes per minute and lands 3.70 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Ilia Topuria (-230)

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