Ian Machado Garry vs Michael Page Pick, 6/29/2024 Predictions UFC 303 Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 6/25/2024

Ian Machado Garry vs Michael Page

UFC 303

Kingdom Arena in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia

Saturday, June 29, 2024

Ian Machado Garry will battle Michael Page at UFC 303 on Saturday, June 29, 2024. The opening line has Garry coming in at -130 while Page is coming in at +110.

Ian "The Future" Machado Garry holds a record of 14-0-0. The 26-year-old weighs 170 lbs and measures 6'3". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 74". Michael "Venom" Page stands in at 6'3" and records a weight of 170 lbs. The switch fighter steps into the cage with a record of 22-2-0. The 37-year-old reaches 79". Regarding significant strikes, Ian Machado Garry is landing 6.27 per min and Michael Page is connecting on 3.14 significant strikes per minute. Machado Garry is connecting on 55% of the significant strikes he throws while Page is landing 69%. When it comes to defending themselves, "The Future" allows 3.49 significant strikes per minute and "Venom" takes 1.60. Machado Garry also defends 53% of the significant strikes that are directed at him and Page is able to curb 55% of the strikes thrown his way.

ufc picks Ian Garry ufc predictions best bet odds

UFC 303	Ian Machado Garry	Michael Page
Opening Odds	-130	+110
Record	14-0-0	22-2-0
Average Fight Time	11:45	6:28
Height	6'3"	6'3"
Weight	170 lbs	170 lbs
Reach	74"	79"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	6.27	3.14
Striking Accuracy	55%	69%

Regarding takedowns, Ian Machado Garry is not as effective of a grappler as he is averaging a takedown 0.55 times per 3 rds. Machado Garry is finishing his takedown attempts on 75% of the times he tries and defending 69% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. Page is taking his opponents to the mat on 25% of the takedowns he attempts and is stopping 66% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. When it comes to submissions, Machado Garry is less likely to go for the finish by trying 0.5 submissions per 15 minutes while Page tries 0.8 submissions per 15 min.

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The last time he stepped into the Octagon, Ian Machado Garry went up against Geoff Neal and wound up getting the win by split decision in round 3. Neal landed 57 of 102 of the strikes he threw in total in this fight. Garry finished this fight landing 80 of 148 total strikes. In the category of significant strikes, Neal ended up landing 46 of 89, giving him a percentage of 51%. He ended up landing 25 of 64 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Garry ended up landing 49% of his significant strikes by connecting on 67 of 135. Of all the significant strikes, he was 39 of 96 to the head. 82% of the significant strikes landed by Neal and 97% of them connected on by Garry were thrown at a distance.

In the last bout for Michael Page, he squared up with Kevin Holland and wound up getting the victory via unanimous decision in round 3. Holland landed 62% of his significant strikes at distance while Page ended up connecting on 92% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Page ended up connecting on 66% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 41 of 62. He ended up connecting on 28 of 47 significant strikes aimed at the head. Holland ended up landing 29 of 61 significant strikes in that contest. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he connected on 11 of 37 directed at the head. When discussing total strikes that he let go in that contest, Holland ended up connecting on 64 of 99 and Page landed 59 of 81 total strikes.

Other fights on the card to keep an eye on

One more match to look forward to is when Joe Pyfer enters the Octagon against Marc-Andre Barriault. Pyfer will be looking to add a victory to his record of 12-3-0. The 27-year-old will fight at 185 lbs and comes in at 6'2". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 75". Barriault stands in at 6'1" and will fight at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to his record of 16-7-0 (1 NC). The 34-year-old has a wingspan of 74". Regarding grappling, Joe Pyfer gets a takedown 1.49 times per 15 minutes and Marc-Andre Barriault takes his opponents down 0.22 times per 15 min. In terms of striking, Pyfer connects for an average of 3.66 strikes per min and connects on 40% out of all the strikes he attempts. On the other side of the cage you've got Marc-Andre Barriault, who is connecting on 47% of the strikes he attempts and connects for an average of 6.19 per min.

One more can't miss bout is when Andre Fili is set to square up against Cub Swanson. Swanson steps into the cage with a mark of 29-13-0. The 40-year-old is fighting at 145 lbs and measures 5'8". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 70". Fili measures 5'11" and will fight at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a win to his career total of 23-11-0 (1 NC). The 33-year-old extends his reach 74". Concerning wrestling, Cub Swanson stops 61% of the takedowns his opponents go for and is scoring a takedown on 52% of the times he tries. Fili is finishing his takedowns on 47% of the attempts he tries and defends against 69% of the takedowns his opponents try. In the matter of striking, Swanson is absorbing 3.84 strikes per min while he is landing 4.70 per minute. Fili, on the other hand, absorbs 4.11 strikes/minute and is dealing 3.85 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Michael Page (+110)

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Ian Machado Garry vs Michael Page Pick, 6/29/2024 Predictions UFC 303 Odds

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