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Grant Dawson vs Rafa Garcia Pick, 10/12/2024 Predictions UFC Vegas 98 Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 10/11/2024

Grant Dawson vs Rafa Garcia

UFC Vegas 98

UFC Apex in Las Vegas

Saturday, October 12, 2024

Grant Dawson will enter the Octagon with Rafa Garcia at UFC Vegas 98 on Saturday, October 12, 2024. The opening moneyline has Dawson coming in at -440 while Garcia is coming in at +340.

Grant "KGD" Dawson will be looking to add a victory to his total of 21-2-1. The 30-year-old is weighing in at 155 lbs and measures in at 5'10". The switch fighter has a wingspan of 72". Rafa "Gifted" Garcia measures in at 5'7" and is weighing in at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to his total of 16-3-0. The 30-year-old has a reach of 70". Regarding significant strikes, Grant Dawson connects on 2.98 per minute while Rafa Garcia is connecting on 4.19 significant strikes per min. Dawson connects on 52% of the significant strikes he tries while Garcia connects on 42%. Regarding defense, "KGD" allows 2.11 significant strikes per min and "Gifted" takes 4.21. Dawson also defends 45% of the significant strikes that are aimed in his direction and Garcia is able to thwart 61% of the shots thrown.

ufc picks Grant Dawson ufc predictions best bet odds

 

UFC Vegas 98 Grant Dawson Rafa Garcia
Opening Odds -440 +340
Record 21-2-1 16-3-0
Average Fight Time 11:26 14:16
Height 5'10" 5'7"
Weight 155 lbs 155 lbs
Reach 72" 70"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 2.98 4.19
Striking Accuracy 52% 42%

Concerning takedowns, Grant Dawson FALSE as he takes his opponents down 3.61 times per 15 minutes. Dawson is scoring a takedown on 38% of the times he tries and stopping 57% of the takedowns his opponents try. Garcia is getting his opponent to the mat on 44% of the takedowns he attempts and defending 79% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Regarding going for the sub, Dawson is the more capable of the two fighters by going for 1.3 submissions per 15 minutes while Garcia goes for 0.3 submissions per 3 rounds.

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In his previous fight, Grant Dawson fought Joe Solecki and ended up getting the victory in the fight via unanimous decision in round 3. Solecki landed 27 of 35 total strikes that he threw in that contest. Dawson walked away from this fight having landed 146 of 190 total strikes. When talking about significant strikes, Solecki landed 12 of 19, which gave him a rate of 63%. He ended up landing 10 of 17 significant strikes to the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Dawson ended up landing 65% of his significant strikes by sticking 46 of 70. Of all the significant strikes, he landed 39 of 62 pointed at the head. 50% of the significant strikes landed by Solecki and 15% of them connected on by Dawson were tallied at distance.

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In the last fight for Rafa Garcia, he fought Clay Guida and wound up getting the win by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Guida ended up landing 100% of his significant strikes at distance and Garcia ended up landing 97% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Garcia connected on 49% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 141 of 287. He ended up landing 130 of 269 significant strikes directed at the head. Guida ended up landing 63 of 252 significant strikes in that contest. Out of those significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 49 of 227 directed at the head. Relating to total strikes that he let go in that fight, Guida ended up connecting on 63 of 252 and Garcia ended up connecting on 143 of 289 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other fights to keep an eye on

An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Daniel Rodriguez fights Alex Morono. Rodriguez has a career mark of 17-5-0. The 37-year-old weighs in at 170 lbs and comes in at 6'1". The southpaw fighter extends his reach 74". Morono measures 5'11" and steps on the scale at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a record of 24-10-0 (1 NC). The 34-year-old has a reach of 72". In the grappling category, Daniel Rodriguez gets a takedown 0.55 times per 15 min while Alex Morono takes his opponents down 0.36 times per 3 rds. Regarding striking, Rodriguez is connecting on 7.42 strikes/min and lands 49% of his attempted strikes. Joining him in the Octagon is Alex Morono, who connects on 41% of the strikes he has tried and connects for an average of 4.96 per min.

Another must see fight on the night is when Josh Fremd is set to encounter Abdul Razak Alhassan. Razak Alhassan steps into the cage holding a record of 12-6-0 (1 NC). The 39-year-old records a weight of 185 lbs and stands 5'10". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 73". Fremd comes in at 6'4" and weighs in at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to his total of 11-6-0. The 30-year-old has an arm span of 76". In the category of takedowns, Abdul Razak Alhassan is able to defend against 51% of the takedowns fighters have attempted and is getting his opponent to the mat on 38% of the times he tries. Fremd is finishing his takedowns on 25% of his attempts and defends against 30% of all takedown attempts. In the matter of striking, Razak Alhassan takes 3.97 strikes/min while he is connecting on 3.62 strikes/minute. Fremd, moreover, is taking 2.23 strikes per min and is landing 2.52 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Grant Dawson (-440)

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