Gilbert Burns vs Sean Brady Pick, 9/7/2024 Predictions UFC Vegas 97 Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 9/4/2024

Gilbert Burns vs Sean Brady

UFC Vegas 97

UFC Apex in Las Vegas

Saturday, September 7, 2024

Gilbert Burns will battle Sean Brady at UFC Vegas 97 on Saturday, September 7, 2024. The opening odds have Burns at +154 while Brady is coming in at -185.

Gilbert "Durinho" Burns walks into the cage holding a record of 22-7-0. The 38-year-old will fight at 170 lbs and measures in at 5'10". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 71". Sean Brady stands in at 5'10" and records a weight of 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon with a mark of 16-1-0. The 31-year-old reaches 72". In the category of significant strikes, Gilbert Burns is connecting on 3.29 per minute and Sean Brady lands 3.77 significant strikes per minute. Burns connects on 48% of the significant strikes he throws and Brady connects on 53%. Regarding defending in the Octagon, "Durinho" allows 3.42 significant strikes per min while Brady takes 3.55. Burns also defends 54% of the significant strikes that are directed at him and Brady is able to defend against 61% of the shots thrown in his direction.

ufc picks Gilbert Burns ufc predictions best bet odds

UFC Vegas 97	Gilbert Burns	Sean Brady
Opening Odds	+154	-185
Record	22-7-0	16-1-0
Average Fight Time	12:11	12:24
Height	5'10"	5'10"
Weight	170 lbs	170 lbs
Reach	71"	72"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	3.29	3.77
Striking Accuracy	48%	53%

In terms of takedowns, Gilbert Burns is not as effective of a grappler as he takes his opponents to the mat 2.24 times per 15 minutes. Burns is scoring a takedown on 38% of his attempts and thwarting 50% of all takedown tries against him. Brady is finishing his takedown tries on 57% of the takedowns he tries and is stopping 87% of the tries against him. In terms of going for the submission, Burns is the lesser skilled of the two fighters by going for 0.5 finishes per 3 rds while Brady goes for 1.2 finishes per 3 rounds.

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In his last bout, Gilbert Burns went up against Jack Della Maddalena and wound up taking the loss by an elbow to the head in round 3. Maddalena landed 85 of 146 total strikes attempted in that contest. Burns walked away from this fight having landed 31 of 63 total strikes. When talking about significant strikes, Maddalena ended up landing 67 of 123, which gave him a rate of 54%. He landed 54 of 104 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side, Burns ended up landing 46% of his significant strikes by landing 27 of 58. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he was 16 of 43 aimed at the head. 70% of the significant strikes connected on by Maddalena and 85% of them landed by Burns were tallied at a distance.

In the last fight for Sean Brady, he squared up with Kelvin Gastelum and wound up taking home the win by a kimura from side control in round 3. Gastelum landed 72% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance while Brady connected on 50% of his significant strikes at distance. Brady landed 58% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 14 of 24. He ended up connecting on 8 of 16 significant strikes to the head. Gastelum ended up connecting on 18 of 32 significant strikes in that battle. Of those significant strikes, he ended up landing 7 of 19 to the head. Discussing total strikes thrown, Gastelum ended up landing 21 of 35 while Brady connected on 97 of 130 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other fights on the card to watch out for

One more match to look forward to is when Steve Garcia battles Kyle Nelson. Garcia steps into the cage holding a mark of 16-5-0. The 32-year-old weighs in at 145 lbs and comes in at 6'0". The southpaw fighter reaches 75". Nelson measures in at 5'11" and is weighing in at 145 lbs. The switch fighter comes into this fight with a record of 16-5-1. The 33-year-old has a wingspan of 71". In terms of takedowns, Steve Garcia is averaging a takedown 1.27 times per 3 rds while Kyle Nelson takes his opponents to the mat 1.10 times per 3 rounds. Regarding striking, Garcia lands an average of 5.00 strikes per minute and lands 56% of the strikes that he attempts. The other guy in this fight is Kyle Nelson, who lands 45% of the strikes he attempts and lands an average of 3.65 per minute.

One more can't miss bout is when Alessandro Costa is set to enter the Octagon with Matt Schnell. Schnell will be looking to add a victory to his career record of 16-8-0 (1 NC). The 34-year-old tips the scales at 125 lbs and measures in at 5'8". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 70". Costa measures 5'4" and tips the scales at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon with a mark of 14-4-0. The 28-year-old has an arm span of 67". In terms of grappling, Matt Schnell is stopping 50% of his opponents' takedown tries and is getting his opponent to the mat on 44% of the times he tries. Costa is finishing his takedowns on 12% of his attempts and curbs 90% of the takedowns his opponents try. In the matter of striking, Schnell takes 4.56 strikes/minute while he is landing 4.23 strikes per min. Costa, notwithstanding, is taking 3.50 strikes per min and deals 4.14 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Gilbert Burns (+154)

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Gilbert Burns vs Sean Brady Pick, 9/7/2024 Predictions UFC Vegas 97 Odds

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