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Gilbert Burns vs Jack Della Maddalena Pick, 3/9/2024 Predictions UFC 299 Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 3/4/2024

Gilbert Burns vs Jack Della Maddalena

UFC 299

Kaseya Center in Miami, Florida

Saturday, March 9, 2024

Gilbert Burns will enter the Octagon with Jack Della Maddalena at UFC 299 on Saturday, March 9, 2024. The opening moneyline has Burns coming in at +124 while Maddalena is coming in at -148.

Gilbert "Durinho" Burns will be looking to add a victory to his career total of 22-6-0. The 37-year-old will fight at 170 lbs and stands 5'10". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 71". Jack Maddalena comes in at 5'11" and is weighing in at 170 lbs. The switch fighter comes into this fight with a mark of 16-2-0. The 27-year-old stretches 73". With respect to significant strikes, Gilbert Burns is landing 3.36 per min while Jack Della Maddalena lands 7.20 significant strikes per minute. Burns is landing 48% of the significant strikes he throws while Della Maddalena connects on 53%. Concerning the fighter's defense, "Durinho" absorbs 3.34 significant strikes per minute while Maddalena takes 4.83. Burns also stops 54% of the significant strikes his opponents throw at him and Della Maddalena stops 67% of the shots thrown in his direction.

ufc picks Gilbert Burns predictions best bet odds

 

UFC 299 Gilbert Burns Jack Della Maddalena
Opening Odds +124 -148
Record 22-6-0 16-2-0
Average Fight Time 12:06 8:01
Height 5'10" 5'11"
Weight 170 lbs 170 lbs
Reach 71" 73"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 3.36 7.20
Striking Accuracy 48% 53%

 

Regarding wrestling, Gilbert Burns is the more efficient grappler as he takes his opponents to the canvas 1.95 times per 3 rds. Burns is scoring a takedown on 35% of his tries and is stuffing 47% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Della Maddalena is taking his opponents down on 20% of his takedown attempts and stopping 82% of the tries against him. In terms of submissions, Burns is the more experienced of the two fighters by trying 0.5 subs per 15 min while Della Maddalena tries 0.3 subs per 15 minutes.

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In his last bout, Gilbert Burns went up against Belal Muhammad and wound up taking the loss by way of unanimous decision in round 5. Muhammad ended up landing 132 of 283 of the strikes he let go in total for this contest. Burns walked away from this fight having landed 81 of 147 total strikes. In regard to significant strikes, Muhammad ended up landing 132 of 283, which gave him a rate of 46%. He landed 92 of 241 significant strikes to the head. On the other side of the cage, Burns landed 55% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 81 of 147. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he connected on 35 of 96 to the head. 100% of the significant strikes landed by Muhammad and 100% of them connected on by Burns were tallied at distance.

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In the last bout for Jack Della Maddalena, he fought Kevin Holland and ended up getting the victory via split decision in round 3. Holland ended up landing 93% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance while Maddalena ended up connecting on 89% of his significant strikes at distance. Maddalena ended up connecting on 55% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 105 of 190. He ended up connecting on 46 of 115 significant strikes to the head. Holland landed 127 of 356 significant strikes in that contest. Out of those significant strikes, he ended up landing 59 of 258 to the head. Discussing the total strikes thrown in this fight, Holland connected on 127 of 356 and Maddalena landed 105 of 190 of all the strikes he threw.

Other fights on the card to watch

One more match to look forward to is when Petr Yan squares up with Song Yadong. Yan walks into the cage holding a mark of 16-5-0. The 31-year-old is fighting at 135 lbs and measures 5'7". The switch fighter has an arm span of 67". Yadong stands in at 5'8" and is fighting at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage holding a record of 21-7-1 (1 NC). The 26-year-old has an arm span of 67". Regarding grappling, Petr Yan gets a takedown 1.71 times per 15 minutes and Song Yadong takes his opponents down 0.63 times per 15 min. In terms of striking, Yan lands 5.03 strikes/min and is connecting on 53% of the strikes that he throws. Joining him in the Octagon is Song Yadong, who is landing 42% of the strikes he has thrown and is landing 4.38 per min.

If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Jailton Almeida is set to square up in the Octagon against Curtis Blaydes. Blaydes has a record of 17-4-0 (1 NC). The 33-year-old is fighting at 265 lbs and comes in at 6'4". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 80". Almeida measures 6'3" and will fight at 205 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon with a mark of 20-2-0. The 32-year-old extends his reach 79". In terms of wrestling, Curtis Blaydes is preventing 33% of his opponents' takedown tries and is getting his opponent to the mat on 53% of his tries. Almeida is finishing his takedowns on 55% of the tries he takes and is able to deflect 75% of takedowns his opponents have tried. With regard to striking, Blaydes is absorbing 1.89 strikes per min while he is landing 3.56 per minute. Almeida, in contrast, absorbs 0.52 strikes per minute and connects on 2.78 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Gilbert Burns (+124)

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