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Geoff Neal vs Rafael Dos Anjos Pick, 10/26/2024 Predictions UFC 308 Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 10/25/2024

Geoff Neal vs Rafael Dos Anjos

UFC 308

Eithad Arena in Abu Dhabi, UAE

Saturday, October 26, 2024

Geoff Neal will face off with Rafael Dos Anjos at UFC 308 on Saturday, October 26, 2024. The opening line has Neal at -310 while Anjos is priced at +250.

Geoff "Handz of Steel" Neal looks to add a win to his career record of 15-6-0. The 34-year-old will fight at 170 lbs and stands in at 5'11". The southpaw fighter stretches 75". Rafael Dos Anjos measures in at 5'8" and records a weight of 170 lbs. The southpaw fighter comes into this fight holding a mark of 32-16-0. The 39-year-old extends his reach 70". In terms of significant strikes, Geoff Neal connects on 4.97 per minute and Rafael Dos Anjos is landing 3.48 significant strikes per minute. Neal connects on 50% of the significant strikes he throws while Dos Anjos lands 47%. When it comes to defending in the Octagon, "Handz of Steel" absorbs 5.47 significant strikes per minute and Dos Anjos takes 3.21. Neal also defends 57% of the significant strikes that are thrown his way and Dos Anjos thwarts 60% of them.

ufc picks Geoff Neal ufc predictions best bet odds

 

UFC 308 Geoff Neal Rafael Dos Anjos
Opening Odds -310 +250
Record 15-6-0 32-16-0
Average Fight Time 10:58 14:55
Height 5'11" 5'8"
Weight 170 lbs 170 lbs
Reach 75" 70"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 4.97 3.48
Striking Accuracy 50% 47%

In terms of grappling, Geoff Neal is the lesser skilled grappler as he gets a takedown 0.46 times per 15 minutes. Neal is getting his opponent to the mat on 44% of the times he tries and thwarting 87% of takedowns his opponents have tried. Dos Anjos is taking his opponents to the mat on 35% of the takedowns he tries and thwarting 55% of the attempts against him. Regarding subbing the opposition, Neal is the lesser skilled fighter by attempting 0.1 submissions per 15 minutes while Dos Anjos attempts 0.6 submissions per 15 minutes.

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In his last bout, Geoff Neal faced Ian Machado Garry and wound up taking the loss by split decision in round 3. Garry ended up landing 80 of 148 total strikes that he let go in that contest. Neal ended the night having landed 57 of 102 total strikes. In regard to significant strikes, Garry landed 67 of 135, giving him a percentage of 49%. He ended up landing 39 of 96 significant strikes to the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Neal landed 51% of his significant strikes by landing 46 of 89. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he connected on 25 of 64 to the head. 97% of the significant strikes landed by Garry and 82% of them landed by Neal were tallied at distance.

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In the last fight for Rafael Dos Anjos, he faced off with Mateusz Gamrot and ended up taking the loss via unanimous decision in round 3. Gamrot ended up connecting on 80% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance and Anjos ended up landing 72% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Anjos landed 46% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 36 of 78. He ended up landing 24 of 61 significant strikes directed at the head. Gamrot ended up landing 57 of 102 significant strikes in that contest. Out of those significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 48 of 90 aimed at the head. Discussing total strikes attempted in that fight, Gamrot ended up landing 111 of 163 while Anjos landed 39 of 82 of all the strikes he threw.

Other fights on the card to watch

One more match to look forward to is when Mateusz Rebecki faces off with Myktybek Orolbai. Rebecki has a mark of 19-2-0. The 31-year-old will fight at 155 lbs and stands in at 5'7". The southpaw fighter has a wingspan of 66". Orolbai stands 5'10" and will fight at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the cage with a mark of 13-1-1. The 26-year-old stretches 74". Regarding grappling, Mateusz Rebecki is able to score a takedown 4.12 times per 3 rounds and Myktybek Orolbai is averaging a takedown 7.44 times per 15 min. Regarding striking, Rebecki tags his opponents 4.69 strikes per minute and lands 48% of the strikes that he throws. The other fighter in this bout is Myktybek Orolbai, who connects on 52% of the strikes he attempts and connects on 3.02 per minute.

One more can't miss bout is when Daniel Santos is set to battle Said Nurmagomedov. Nurmagomedov comes into this fight holding a mark of 18-3-0. The 32-year-old tips the scales at 135 lbs and stands in at 5'8". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 70". Santos comes in at 5'7" and weighs in at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this bout with a record of 12-2-0. The 29-year-old has a reach of 67". In terms of grappling, Said Nurmagomedov is stopping 66% of the takedowns fighters have gone for and is taking his opponents to the canvas on 16% of his attempts. Santos is taking his opponents to the mat on 50% of his attempts and deflects 73% of takedowns his opponents have tried. With reference to striking, Nurmagomedov is absorbing 2.13 strikes per minute while he lands 3.55 strikes/min. Santos, moreover, takes 5.12 strikes per minute and lands 4.26 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Rafael Dos Anjos (+250)

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