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Fernando Padilla vs Luis Pajuelo Pick, 3/23/2024 Predictions UFC Vegas 89 Odds

by Tony Sink - 3/19/2024

Fernando Padilla vs Luis Pajuelo

UFC Vegas 89

UFC Apex in Las Vegas

Saturday, March 23, 2024

Fernando Padilla will face off against Luis Pajuelo at UFC Vegas 89 on Saturday, March 23, 2024. The odds have Padilla at -162 while Pajuelo is coming in at +136.

Fernando "El Valiente" Padilla will be looking to add a win to his record of 15-5-0. The 27-year-old tips the scales at 145 lbs and stands in at 6'1". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 76". Luis "Corazon de Leon" Pajuelo measures 5'10" and is fighting at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a career record of 8-1-0. The 29-year-old has a reach of 69". Regarding significant strikes, Fernando Padilla lands 5.51 per minute and Luis Pajuelo is landing 9.15 significant strikes per minute. Padilla is landing 38% of the significant strikes he attempts and Pajuelo lands 61%. In terms of the fighter's defense, "El Valiente" absorbs 5.81 significant strikes per minute while "Corazon de Leon" absorbs 5.11. Padilla also curbs 53% of the significant strikes his opponents throw his way and Pajuelo stops 62% of them.

ufc picks Fernando Padilla ufc predictions best bet odds

 

UFC Vegas 89 Fernando Padilla Luis Pajuelo
Opening Odds -162 +136
Record 15-5-0 8-1-0
Average Fight Time 8:21 3:43
Height 6'1" 5'10"
Weight 145 lbs 145 lbs
Reach 76" 69"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 5.51 9.15
Striking Accuracy 38% 61%

 

In the wrestling category, Fernando Padilla is the more capable grappler as he gets a takedown 0.90 times per 15 minutes. Padilla is taking his opponents to the canvas on 15% of his attempts and is stopping 85% of all takedown attempts. Pajuelo is finishing his takedown attempts on 15% of the takedowns he tries and stopping 66% of all takedowns attempted on him. Regarding sub attempts, Padilla is the more skilled fighter by attempting 1.1 finishes per 15 min while Pajuelo goes for 0.8 finishes per 3 rounds.

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In his previous bout, Fernando Padilla went up against Kyle Nelson and ended up taking the loss by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Nelson ended up landing 83 of 185 of the strikes he let go in total for this contest. Padilla ended the night having landed 73 of 209 total strikes. Concerning significant strikes, Nelson landed 82 of 184, which means his percentage was 44%. He ended up landing 43 of 143 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side, Padilla landed 34% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 72 of 208. Out of those significant strikes, he was 42 of 168 aimed at the head. 97% of the significant strikes connected on by Nelson and 90% of them connected on by Padilla were thrown at a distance.

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In the last Octagon appearance for Luis Pajuelo, he went up against Robbie Ring and ended up getting the win via a knee to the body in round 1. Ring ended up connecting on 89% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance while Pajuelo connected on 38% of his significant strikes at distance. Pajuelo connected on 61% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 34 of 55. He ended up landing 21 of 42 significant strikes directed at the head. Ring ended up landing 19 of 50 significant strikes in that fight. Of those significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 14 of 45 aimed at the head. Relating to total strikes thrown, Ring connected on 19 of 51 and Pajuelo ended up connecting on 51 of 72 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other bouts on the card to watch

One more match to look forward to is when Kurt Holobaugh takes on Trey Ogden. Holobaugh walks into the Octagon holding a record of 21-7-0 (1 NC). The 37-year-old will fight at 155 lbs and stands in at 5'11". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 70". Ogden comes in at 5'11" and is weighing in at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight with a record of 16-6-0 (1 NC). The 34-year-old has a reach of 72". When it comes to grappling, Kurt Holobaugh takes his opponents to the canvas 0.87 times per 3 rds and Trey Ogden takes his opponents down 1.29 times per 15 min. In terms of striking, Holobaugh tags his opponents 4.89 strikes per minute and landing 44% of the strikes that he throws. On the other side of the cage you've got Trey Ogden, who connects on 47% of his attempted strikes and is landing 3.64 per minute.

If you're into fun fights, you're going to want to see when Julian Erosa is set to square up against Ricardo Ramos. Ramos walks into the Octagon holding a record of 16-5-0. The 28-year-old records a weight of 145 lbs and measures in at 5'9". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 72". Erosa measures in at 6'1" and weighs 145 lbs. The southpaw fighter walks into the cage holding a record of 28-12-0. The 34-year-old stretches 74". Concerning wrestling, Ricardo Ramos deflects 72% of the takedowns fighters have tried and is taking his opponents to the canvas on 59% of his attempts. Erosa is taking his opponents to the mat on 46% of his attempts and thwarts 61% of takedowns his opponents have tried. With regard to striking, Ramos is taking 3.78 strikes per minute and he dishes out 3.21 per minute. Erosa, on the other side, is absorbing 6.35 strikes per min and is dishing out 6.22 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Fernando Padilla (-162)

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