» UFC Picks » Fares Ziam vs Matt Frevola Pick, 9/28/2024 Predictions UFC Paris Odds

Fares Ziam vs Matt Frevola Pick, 9/28/2024 Predictions UFC Paris Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 9/24/2024

Fares Ziam vs Matt Frevola

UFC Paris

Accor Arena in Paris, France

Saturday, September 28, 2024

Fares Ziam will enter the Octagon with Matt Frevola at UFC Paris on Saturday, September 28, 2024. The moneyline has Ziam coming in at -122 while Frevola is coming in at +102.

Fares "Smile Killer" Ziam steps into the Octagon with a mark of 15-4-0. The 27-year-old is fighting at 155 lbs and stands in at 6'1". The orthodox fighter stretches 75". Matt "The SteamRolla" Frevola stands in at 5'9" and steps on the scale at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a record of 11-4-1. The 34-year-old extends his reach 71". Concerning significant strikes, Fares Ziam lands 2.70 per minute while Matt Frevola is landing 3.71 significant strikes per min. Ziam lands 48% of the significant strikes he attempts and Frevola is landing 42%. When it comes to defending in the Octagon, "Smile Killer" absorbs 1.72 significant strikes per min while "The SteamRolla" absorbs 3.57. Ziam also prevents 65% of the significant strikes that are aimed in his direction and Frevola is able to defend against 59% of the shots thrown in his direction.

ufc picks Fares Ziam ufc predictions best bet odds

UFC Paris	Fares Ziam	Matt Frevola
Opening Odds	-122	+102
Record	15-4-0	11-4-1
Average Fight Time	13:10	7:22
Height	6'1"	5'9"
Weight	155 lbs	155 lbs
Reach	75"	71"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	2.70	3.71
Striking Accuracy	48%	42%

In the grappling category, Fares Ziam is not as effective of a wrestler as he scores a takedown 0.81 times per 3 rounds. Ziam is getting his opponent to the mat on 23% of the times he tries and defending 67% of takedowns his opponents have tried. Frevola is finishing his takedown attempts on 40% of the takedowns he tries and thwarting 42% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Regarding going for the sub, Ziam is the lesser skilled fighter by trying 0.2 subs per 15 min while Frevola tries 0.9 subs per 15 min.

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In his previous bout, Fares Ziam faced Claudio Puelles and ended up getting the victory in the fight by way of split decision in round 3. Puelles landed 17 of 27 of the strikes he threw in total in this fight. Ziam walked away from this fight having landed 58 of 82 total strikes. Concerning significant strikes, Puelles landed 4 of 9, which gave him a percentage of 44%. He ended up landing 1 of 5 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Ziam ended up landing 64% of his significant strikes by sticking 31 of 48. Of all the significant strikes, he landed 23 of 38 pointed at the head. 75% of the significant strikes landed by Puelles and 16% of them connected on by Ziam were tallied at a distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Matt Frevola, he squared up with Benoit Saint Denis and walked away with a loss by a kick to the head in round 1. Denis landed 66% of the significant strikes he took from distance while Frevola ended up landing 80% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Frevola connected on 55% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 5 of 9. He connected on 2 of 6 significant strikes aimed at the head. Denis connected on 6 of 11 significant strikes in that battle. Out of those significant strikes, he ended up landing 3 of 7 aimed at the head. Regarding the total strikes thrown in this fight, Denis was 10 of 15 and Frevola connected on 7 of 12 of all the strikes he threw.

Other bouts to watch

Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Oumar Sy squares up in the Octagon against Da Woon Jung. Sy comes into this fight holding a mark of 10-0-0. The 28-year-old will fight at 205 lbs and stands in at 6'4". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 83". Woon Jung stands in at 6'4" and weighs 205 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight with a mark of 15-5-1. The 30-year-old has a wingspan of 78". In terms of takedowns, Oumar Sy takes his opponents down 8.07 times per 15 min and Da Woon Jung gets a takedown 1.90 times per 3 rds. In the striking category, Sy is landing 0.00 strikes/minute and landing 0% out of all the strikes he attempts. On the other side of the cage we have Da Woon Jung, who is landing 43% of the strikes he attempts and lands an average of 3.49 per minute.

If you're into fun fights, you're going to want to see when Roosevelt Roberts is set to encounter Ludovit Klein. Klein looks to add a win to his career record of 22-4-1. The 29-year-old tips the scales at 155 lbs and stands 5'7". The southpaw fighter has a wingspan of 72". Roberts measures 6'2" and is fighting at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage holding a mark of 12-5-0 (1 NC). The 30-year-old reaches 73". When it comes to takedowns, Ludovit Klein prevents 90% of his opponents' takedown tries and is finishing his takedowns on 50% of his tries. Roberts is finishing his takedowns on 29% of his attempts and defends against 52% of takedowns his opponents have tried. With reference to striking, Klein absorbs 3.45 strikes per min and he is connecting on 3.93 strikes/min. Roberts, notwithstanding, is taking 3.12 strikes/minute and is dishing out 3.05 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Matt Frevola (+102)

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