Elves Brener vs Myktybek Orolbai Pick, 5/4/2024 Predictions UFC 301 Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 5/3/2024

Elves Brener vs Myktybek Orolbai

UFC 301

Farmasi Arena in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

Saturday, May 4, 2024

Elves Brener will take on Myktybek Orolbai at UFC 301 on Saturday, May 4, 2024. The odds have Brener coming in at +205 while Orolbai is coming in at -250.

Elves Brener will be looking to add a win to his record of 16-3-0. The 26-year-old weighs 155 lbs and measures 5'10". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 72". Myktybek Orolbai measures 5'10" and records a weight of 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to his career record of 12-1-1. The 26-year-old has a wingspan of 74". In terms of significant strikes, Elves Brener is landing 4.64 per min while Myktybek Orolbai lands 0.87 significant strikes per minute. Brener connects on 46% of the significant strikes he tries while Orolbai is landing 40%. In terms of the fighter's defense, Brener allows 5.05 significant strikes per min and Orolbai allows 1.52. Brener also stops 55% of the significant strikes his opponents attempt and Orolbai is able to stop 48% of the shots thrown his way.

ufc picks Elves Brener ufc predictions best bet odds

UFC 301	Elves Brener	Myktybek Orolbai
Opening Odds	+205	-250
Record	16-3-0	12-1-1
Average Fight Time	10:46	9:12
Height	5'10"	5'10"
Weight	155 lbs	155 lbs
Reach	72"	74"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	4.64	0.87
Striking Accuracy	46%	40%

Concerning grappling, Elves Brener is not as efficient of a grappler as he scores a takedown 0.93 times per 3 rds. Brener is scoring a takedown on 20% of the times he tries and stopping 85% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Orolbai is getting his opponent to the mat on 70% of his takedown attempts and defending 0% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Regarding submissions, Brener is less apt at going for the finish by trying 0.3 finishes per 15 minutes while Orolbai looks to get 1.6 finishes per 3 rounds.

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The last time he stepped into the Octagon, Elves Brener faced Kaynan Kruschewsky and ended up getting the victory by a punch to the head in round 1. Kruschewsky landed 8 of 31 total strikes that he threw in that fight. Brener ended the night having landed 16 of 33 total strikes. In the category of significant strikes, Kruschewsky ended up landing 8 of 31, which means his percentage was 25%. He finished the fight landing 6 of 25 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side of the cage, Brener ended up landing 48% of his significant strikes by sticking 16 of 33. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he landed 6 of 20 to the head. 100% of the significant strikes landed by Kruschewsky and 100% of them landed by Brener were tallied at distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Myktybek Orolbai, he battled Uros Medic and took home the victory by a neck crank in round 2. Medic ended up landing 35% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance and Orolbai landed 37% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Orolbai landed 40% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 8 of 20. He ended up connecting on 6 of 16 significant strikes to the head. Medic landed 14 of 27 significant strikes in that contest. Of all the significant strikes, he ended up landing 10 of 20 to the head. Discussing total strikes thrown, Medic landed 17 of 32 and Orolbai ended up landing 16 of 31 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other fights to watch

One more match to look forward to is when Jean Silva squares up with William Gomis. Silva steps into the Octagon holding a record of 12-2-0. The 27-year-old weighs 145 lbs and stands in at 5'7". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 69". Gomis stands 6'0" and will fight at 145 lbs. The southpaw fighter holds a mark of 13-2-0. The 26-year-old reaches 73". When it comes to grappling, Jean Silva scores a takedown 1.56 times per 15 min and William Gomis takes his opponents to the canvas 1.06 times per 15 min. When talking about striking, Silva is connecting on 5.83 strikes/minute and connects on 52% of the strikes that he attempts. The other guy in this fight is William Gomis, who tags his opponent on 46% of the strikes that he throws and connects on 2.62 per minute.

If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Drakkar Klose is set to square up in the Octagon with Joaquim Silva. Silva looks to add a victory to his total of 13-5-0. The 35-year-old tips the scales at 155 lbs and measures in at 5'8". The southpaw fighter reaches 69". Klose measures in at 5'9" and steps on the scale at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon holding a record of 14-2-1. The 36-year-old extends his reach 70". Concerning grappling, Joaquim Silva is able to curb 64% of the takedowns fighters have attempted and is taking his opponents down on 60% of the times he tries. Klose is finishing his takedown tries on 30% of the attempts he tries and defends against 68% of all takedown tries against him. With reference to striking, Silva is absorbing 4.51 strikes per minute and he deals 3.61 strikes/min. Klose, at the same time, is taking 3.40 strikes/min and dishes out 4.33 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Myktybek Orolbai (-250)

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Elves Brener vs Myktybek Orolbai Pick, 5/4/2024 Predictions UFC 301 Odds

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