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Dylan Budka vs Cesar Almeida Pick, 4/6/2024 Predictions UFC Vegas 90 Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 4/2/2024

Dylan Budka vs Cesar Almeida

UFC Vegas 90

UFC Apex in Las Vegas

Saturday, April 6, 2024

Dylan Budka will battle Cesar Almeida at UFC Vegas 90 on Saturday, April 6, 2024. The odds have Budka priced at -148 while Almeida is at +124.

Dylan "The Mindless Hulk" Budka will be looking to add a victory to his record of 7-2-0. The 24-year-old weighs in at 185 lbs and stands in at 6'0". The switch fighter stretches 75". Cesar "Cesinha" Almeida stands 6'1" and is fighting at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the cage with a mark of 4-0-0. The 36-year-old has an arm span of 74". Concerning significant strikes, Dylan Budka lands 1.47 per min and Cesar Almeida connects on 4.73 significant strikes per min. Budka is landing 66% of the significant strikes he throws while Almeida is connecting on 61%. Concerning their defense in the cage, "The Mindless Hulk" allows 0.73 significant strikes per min and "Cesinha" allows 1.87. Budka also defends 52% of the significant strikes that are aimed in his direction while Almeida is able to stop 48% of the shots thrown his way.

ufc picks Cesar Almeida predictions best bet odds

 

UFC Vegas 90 Dylan Budka Cesar Almeida
Opening Odds -148 +124
Record 7-2-0 4-0-0
Average Fight Time 15:00 15:00
Height 6'0" 6'1"
Weight 185 lbs 185 lbs
Reach 75" 74"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 1.47 4.73
Striking Accuracy 66% 61%

 

In the category of takedowns, Dylan Budka is the more skilled wrestler as he takes his opponents down 2.00 times per 15 min. Budka is getting his opponent to the mat on 28% of his attempts and is stuffing 85% of takedowns his opponents have tried. Almeida is finishing his takedown tries on 15% of the takedowns he tries and stuffing 70% of the tries against him. When it comes to going for the sub, Budka is the more able fighter by trying 1.0 submission per 3 rounds while Almeida goes for 0.5 submissions per 15 minutes.

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In his previous bout, Dylan Budka squared up with Chad Hanekom and took home the victory via unanimous decision in round 3. Hanekom ended up landing 17 of 29 total strikes attempted in that fight. Budka walked away from this fight having landed 64 of 75 total strikes. In terms of significant strikes, Hanekom landed 11 of 23, which gave him a rate of 47%. He ended up landing 3 of 7 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side of the cage, Budka ended up landing 66% of his significant strikes by connecting on 22 of 33. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he was 13 of 21 to the head. 72% of the significant strikes landed by Hanekom and 22% of them connected on by Budka were done at a distance.

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In the last bout for Cesar Almeida, he faced off with Lucas Fernando and ended up winning this fight by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Fernando ended up connecting on 92% of his significant strikes at distance while Almeida ended up connecting on 25% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Almeida ended up connecting on 61% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 71 of 116. He landed 42 of 79 significant strikes aimed at the head. Fernando connected on 28 of 54 significant strikes in that fight. Of those significant strikes, he ended up landing 16 of 42 to the head. In regard to total strikes thrown, Fernando connected on 38 of 69 while Almeida ended up landing 96 of 146 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other fights on the card to watch

Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Norma Dumont meets Germaine de Randamie. Dumont walks into the cage holding a record of 10-2-0. The 33-year-old weighs in at 135 lbs and comes in at 5'7". The orthodox fighter extends her reach 67". de Randamie stands 5'9" and records a weight of 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon with a mark of 10-4-0. The 39-year-old extends her reach 71". In the grappling category, Norma Dumont gets a takedown 1.39 times per 3 rds and Germaine de Randamie takes her opponents to the canvas 0.50 times per 3 rounds. When it comes to striking, Dumont connects for an average of 3.41 strikes per min and is landing 49% of the strikes that she throws. On the other side we have Germaine de Randamie, who connects on 46% of the strikes she has attempted and connects on 2.72 per minute.

If you're into fun fights, you're going to want to see when Cynthia Calvillo is set to encounter Piera Rodriguez. Rodriguez will be looking to add a win to her career record of 9-1-0. The 31-year-old will fight at 115 lbs and comes in at 5'3". The orthodox fighter extends her reach 63". Calvillo comes in at 5'4" and weighs in at 115 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a win to her career record of 9-6-1. The 36-year-old reaches 64". Concerning wrestling, Piera Rodriguez is thwarting 66% of the takedowns her opponents try and is taking her opponents to the canvas on 41% of her tries. Calvillo is taking her opponents to the mat on 44% of the tries she takes and is able to thwart 77% of the takedowns her opponents attempt. Concerning striking, Rodriguez is taking 2.98 strikes/minute while she is dealing 3.46 per min. Calvillo, on the other side, takes 4.12 strikes/min and is landing 4.41 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Dylan Budka (-148)

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