Dustin Poirier vs Benoit Saint Denis Pick, 3/9/2024 Predictions UFC 299 Odds

by Tony Sink - 3/4/2024

Dustin Poirier vs Benoit Saint Denis

UFC 299

Kaseya Center in Miami, Florida

Saturday, March 9, 2024

Dustin Poirier will enter the Octagon against Benoit Saint Denis at UFC 299 on Saturday, March 9, 2024. The opening odds have Poirier coming in at +180 while Denis is at -218.

Dustin "The Diamond" Poirier looks to add a victory to his career record of 29-8-0 (1 NC). The 35-year-old tips the scales at 155 lbs and measures in at 5'9". The southpaw fighter has a reach of 72". Benoit "God of War" Saint Denis stands 5'11" and will fight at 155 lbs. The southpaw fighter steps into the cage with a record of 13-1-0 (1 NC). The 28-year-old has an arm span of 73". Regarding significant strikes, Dustin Poirier lands 5.49 per min and Benoit Saint Denis is landing 5.53 significant strikes per min. Poirier connects on 50% of the significant strikes he tries while Saint Denis is connecting on 52%. In terms of defending themselves, "The Diamond" absorbs 4.30 significant strikes per min while "God of War" allows 5.20. Poirier also thwarts 53% of the significant strikes that are aimed in his direction and Saint Denis stops 44% of the shots thrown.

ufc picks Dustin Poirier ufc predictions best bet odds

UFC 299	Dustin Poirier	Benoit Saint Denis
Opening Odds	+180	-218
Record	29-8-0 (1 NC)	13-1-0 (1 NC)
Average Fight Time	9:58	7:09
Height	5'9"	5'11"
Weight	155 lbs	155 lbs
Reach	72"	73"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	5.49	5.53
Striking Accuracy	50%	52%

Concerning takedowns, Dustin Poirier is the lesser skilled grappler as he takes his opponents to the canvas 1.36 times per 3 rds. Poirier is getting his opponent to the mat on 36% of the times he tries and thwarting 63% of all takedown tries against him. Saint Denis is finishing his takedowns on 36% of the takedowns he tries and is stopping 66% of all takedowns attempted on him. In terms of going for the sub, Poirier is the lesser skilled of the two fighters by trying 1.2 finishes per 15 minutes while Saint Denis attempts 1.4 finishes per 3 rds.

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The last time he fought, Dustin Poirier fought Justin Gaethje and took a loss on the night by a kick to the head in round 2. Gaethje landed 41 of 66 total strikes that he let go in that fight. Poirier finished this fight landing 27 of 52 total strikes. When it comes to significant strikes, Gaethje landed 41 of 66, which gave him a rate of 62%. He landed 23 of 48 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Poirier ended up landing 51% of his significant strikes by sticking 27 of 52. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he connected on 21 of 46 to the head. 92% of the significant strikes landed by Gaethje and 92% of them landed by Poirier were done at distance.

In the last bout for Benoit Saint Denis, he squared up with Matt Frevola and wound up getting the victory by a kick to the head in round 1. Frevola connected on 80% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance and Denis ended up connecting on 66% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Denis ended up landing 54% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 6 of 11. He landed 3 of 7 significant strikes aimed at the head. Frevola ended up landing 5 of 9 significant strikes in that contest. Of those significant strikes, he landed 2 of 6 to the head. When discussing total strikes that he let go in that contest, Frevola ended up landing 7 of 12 while Denis landed 10 of 15 total strikes.

Other bouts on the card to keep an eye on

Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Gilbert Burns squares up with Jack Della Maddalena. Burns will be looking to add a victory to his career total of 22-6-0. The 37-year-old will fight at 170 lbs and stands 5'10". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 71". Della Maddalena comes in at 5'11" and is weighing in at 170 lbs. The switch fighter comes into this fight with a mark of 16-2-0. The 27-year-old stretches 73". Regarding grappling, Gilbert Burns is averaging a takedown 1.95 times per 3 rds while Jack Della Maddalena takes his opponents to the canvas 0.27 times per 15 minutes. In terms of striking, Burns lands 3.36 strikes per minute and landing 48% out of all the strikes he attempts. The other fighter in this bout is Jack Della Maddalena, who lands 53% of the strikes he has attempted and is landing 7.20 per minute.

Another must see fight on the night is when Song Yadong is set to enter the Octagon with Petr Yan. Yan walks into the cage holding a mark of 16-5-0. The 31-year-old is fighting at 135 lbs and measures 5'7". The switch fighter has an arm span of 67". Yadong stands in at 5'8" and is fighting at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage holding a record of 21-7-1 (1 NC). The 26-year-old has an arm span of 67". Concerning grappling, Petr Yan is thwarting 85% of the takedowns his opponents go for and is finishing his takedown tries on 52% of his attempts. Yadong is finishing his takedowns on 58% of his tries and defends against 73% of the takedowns his opponents try. In the matter of striking, Yan is taking 4.26 strikes/min and he lands 5.03 per min. Yadong, in contrast, takes 3.73 strikes per min and connects on 4.38 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Benoit Saint Denis (-218)

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Dustin Poirier vs Benoit Saint Denis Pick, 3/9/2024 Predictions UFC 299 Odds

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