Dricus Du Plessis vs Israel Adesanya Pick, 8/17/2024 Predictions UFC 305 Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 8/13/2024

Dricus Du Plessis vs Israel Adesanya

UFC 305

RAC Arena in Perth, Australia

Saturday, August 17, 2024

Dricus Du Plessis will battle Israel Adesanya at UFC 305 on Saturday, August 17, 2024. The opening moneyline has Plessis coming in at -102 while Adesanya is at -118.

Dricus "Stillknocks" Du Plessis comes into this bout holding a record of 21-2-0. The 30-year-old is weighing in at H and stands in at 6'1". The switch fighter has a reach of 76". Israel "The Last Stylebender" Adesanya measures in at 6'4" and steps on the scale at 185 lbs. The switch fighter walks into the Octagon holding a record of 24-3-0. The 35-year-old reaches 80". In terms of significant strikes, Dricus Du Plessis is connecting on 6.49 per min while Israel Adesanya is landing 3.93 significant strikes per min. Du Plessis connects on 50% of the significant strikes he attempts and Adesanya lands 48%. Concerning their defense in the Octagon, "Stillknocks" absorbs 4.77 significant strikes per min while "The Last Stylebender" allows 3.11. Du Plessis also prevents 55% of the significant strikes that are directed at him while Adesanya curbs 56% of the strikes thrown in his direction.

ufc picks Dricus Du Plessis ufc predictions best bet odds

UFC 305	Dricus Du Plessis	Israel Adesanya
Opening Odds	-102	-118
Record	21-2-0	24-3-0
Average Fight Time	11:27	18:16
Height	6'1"	6'4"
Weight	H	185 lbs
Reach	76"	80"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	6.49	3.93
Striking Accuracy	50%	48%

In the wrestling category, Dricus Du Plessis is the more apt wrestler as he takes his opponents down 3.00 times per 3 rounds. Du Plessis is taking his opponents to the canvas on 51% of his tries and is stuffing 40% of all takedown attempts. Adesanya is finishing his takedown tries on 14% of his takedown tries and is stopping 77% of the tries against him. Regarding going for the sub, Du Plessis is the more experienced of the two fighters by attempting 0.8 subs per 15 min while Adesanya attempts 0.1 subs per 15 minutes.

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The last time he stepped into the Octagon, Dricus Du Plessis fought Sean Strickland and got a win for the night by split decision in round 5. Strickland landed 183 of 419 total strikes attempted in that fight. Plessis walked away from this fight having landed 140 of 358 total strikes. In the significant strikes category, Strickland ended up landing 173 of 408, which gave him a rate of 42%. He landed 157 of 387 significant strikes to the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Plessis ended up landing 38% of his significant strikes by landing 137 of 354. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he landed 81 of 283 pointed at the head. 100% of the significant strikes landed by Strickland and 97% of them landed by Plessis were done at a distance.

In the last bout for Israel Adesanya, he battled Sean Strickland and wound up walking away in defeat by way of unanimous decision in round 5. Strickland landed 88% of the significant strikes he took from distance while Adesanya connected on 100% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Adesanya connected on 34% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 94 of 271. He connected on 22 of 154 significant strikes to the head. Strickland landed 137 of 259 significant strikes in that contest. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he connected on 85 of 186 aimed at the head. When discussing the total strikes thrown in this fight, Strickland ended up landing 137 of 259 while Adesanya ended up landing 94 of 271 total strikes.

Other fights to keep an eye on

One more match to look forward to is when Kai Kara-France squares up against Steve Erceg. Kara-France steps into the Octagon holding a mark of 24-11-0 (1 NC). The 31-year-old records a weight of 125 lbs and stands in at 5'4". The orthodox fighter reaches 69". Erceg measures in at 5'8" and is weighing in at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon holding a record of 12-2-0. The 29-year-old has a reach of 68". When it comes to grappling, Kai Kara-France takes his opponents down 0.63 times per 15 minutes while Steve Erceg takes his opponents to the canvas 1.24 times per 3 rounds. When it comes to striking, Kara-France connects on 4.57 strikes per minute and connecting on 39% of the strikes that he attempts. The other fighter in this bout is Steve Erceg, who is landing 49% of the strikes he has tried and connects for an average of 4.52 per min.

If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Dan Hooker is set to take on Mateusz Gamrot. Gamrot will be looking to add a win to his career total of 24-2-0 (1 NC). The 33-year-old tips the scales at 155 lbs and measures in at 5'10". The southpaw fighter has an arm span of 70". Hooker comes in at 6'0" and records a weight of 155 lbs. The switch fighter has a mark of 23-12-0. The 34-year-old extends his reach 75". In terms of wrestling, Mateusz Gamrot is able to stop 90% of his opponents' takedown attempts and is finishing his takedown tries on 35% of the times he tries. Hooker is finishing his takedown tries on 34% of his attempts and is able to deflect 80% of all takedown attempts. In the matter of striking, Gamrot is taking 3.07 strikes/min while he deals 3.09 per minute. Hooker, at the same time, is taking 4.76 strikes/min and lands 5.08 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Dricus Du Plessis (-102)

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Dricus Du Plessis vs Israel Adesanya Pick, 8/17/2024 Predictions UFC 305 Odds

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