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Don'Tale Mayes vs Caio Machado Pick, 4/27/2024 Predictions UFC Vegas 91 Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 4/23/2024

Don'Tale Mayes vs Caio Machado

UFC Vegas 91

UFC Apex in Las Vegas

Saturday, April 27, 2024

Don'Tale Mayes will battle Caio Machado at UFC Vegas 91 on Saturday, April 27, 2024. The opening line has Mayes coming in at -105 while Machado is at -115.

Don'Tale "Lord Kong" Mayes has a mark of 10-6-0 (1 NC). The 32-year-old weighs 260 lbs and measures 6'6". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 81". Caio "Bigfoot" Machado comes in at 6'4" and weighs 250 lbs. The southpaw fighter steps into the Octagon holding a mark of 8-2-1. The 29-year-old has an arm span of 78". In terms of significant strikes, Don'Tale Mayes is connecting on 3.60 per minute and Caio Machado is connecting on 6.57 significant strikes per min. Mayes is landing 44% of the significant strikes he throws and Machado connects on 64%. In terms of the fighter's defense, "Lord Kong" allows 3.84 significant strikes per minute and "Bigfoot" absorbs 1.87. Mayes also thwarts 46% of the significant strikes that are aimed in his direction while Machado defends against 64% of the strikes thrown his way.

ufc picks Don'Tale Mayes ufc predictions best bet odds

 

UFC Vegas 91 Don'Tale Mayes Caio Machado
Opening Odds -105 -115
Record 10-6-0 (1 NC) 8-2-1
Average Fight Time 12:03 15:00
Height 6'6" 6'4"
Weight 260 lbs 250 lbs
Reach 81" 78"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 3.6 6.57
Striking Accuracy 0.44 0.64

 

When it comes to grappling, Don'Tale Mayes is the more competent wrestler as he is able to score a takedown 0.79 times per 3 rounds. Mayes is finishing his takedown attempts on 43% of the times he tries and is defending 60% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Machado is taking his opponents to the mat on 15% of his takedown attempts and defending 82% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Regarding submission attempts, Mayes is the more experienced of the two fighters by attempting 0.8 submissions per 3 rds while Machado looks to get 0.4 submissions per 15 min.

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In his last appearance in the Octagon, Don'Tale Mayes went up against Rodrigo Nascimento and ended up walking away in defeat by unanimous decision in round 3. Nascimento ended up landing 91 of 180 total strikes that he let go in that fight. Mayes walked away from this fight having landed 105 of 190 total strikes. In the significant strikes category, Nascimento ended up landing 70 of 154, which gave him a percentage of 45%. He ended up landing 51 of 132 significant strikes aimed at the head. Statistically, Mayes ended up landing 49% of his significant strikes by sticking 79 of 159. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he landed 39 of 103 aimed at the head. 82% of the significant strikes connected on by Nascimento and 69% of them connected on by Mayes were tallied at a distance.

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In the last Octagon appearance for Caio Machado, he squared up with Mick Parkin and walked away with a loss by unanimous decision in round 3. Parkin ended up landing 87% of his significant strikes at distance while Machado ended up connecting on 89% of his significant strikes at distance. Machado ended up connecting on 57% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 76 of 132. He ended up connecting on 41 of 95 significant strikes aimed at the head. Parkin ended up connecting on 39 of 98 significant strikes in that fight. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he connected on 33 of 91 to the head. Discussing total strikes thrown in that contest, Parkin ended up connecting on 69 of 139 while Machado landed 103 of 164 total strikes.

Other bouts on the card to watch

Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Ariane Lipski goes up against Karine Silva. Lipski will be looking to add a victory to her total of 17-8-0. The 30-year-old tips the scales at 125 lbs and stands 5'6". The orthodox fighter extends her reach 67". Silva stands 5'5" and weighs 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon holding a record of 17-4-0. The 30-year-old extends her reach 67". In the grappling category, Ariane Lipski is able to score a takedown 0.64 times per 15 min while Karine Silva is able to score a takedown 2.45 times per 3 rds. In terms of striking, Lipski lands 4.27 strikes per minute and landing 40% of the strikes that she throws. On the other side of the cage we have Karine Silva, who is landing 35% of the strikes she attempts and connects for an average of 3.37 per min.

If you're into fun fights, you're going to want to see when Ketlen Souza is set to take on Marnic Mann. Mann looks to add a win to her record of 6-2-0. The 31-year-old is fighting at 115 lbs and stands 5'0". The southpaw fighter reaches 64". Souza measures 5'3" and weighs 115 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage holding a record of 13-4-0. The 29-year-old extends her reach 63". Concerning wrestling, Marnic Mann is preventing 16% of her opponents takedown tries and is scoring a takedown on 30% of her tries. Souza is taking her opponents to the mat on 15% of her tries and prevents 15% of all takedown attempts. With reference to striking, Mann takes 4.93 strikes per min while she is dealing 1.10 strikes/min. Souza, at the same time, is taking 1.71 strikes per min and is dealing 1.59 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Don'Tale Mayes (-105)

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