Dominick Reyes vs Anthony Smith Pick, 12/07/2024 Predictions UFC 310 Odds

Dominick Reyes vs Anthony Smith

UFC 310

T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas

Saturday, December 7, 2024

Dominick Reyes will take on Anthony Smith at UFC 310 on Saturday, December 7, 2024. The opener has Reyes at -345 while Smith is at +275.

Dominick "The Devastator" Reyes comes into this fight holding a mark of 13-4-0. The 34-year-old steps on the scale at 205 lbs and stands in at 6'4". The southpaw fighter extends his reach 77". Anthony "Lionheart" Smith stands 6'4" and tips the scales at 205 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon with a mark of 38-20-0. The 36-year-old has a reach of 76". With respect to significant strikes, Dominick Reyes lands 4.87 per min and Anthony Smith connects on 3.24 significant strikes per min. Reyes connects on 50% of the significant strikes he throws while Smith connects on 49%. In terms of the fighter's defense, "The Devastator" absorbs 3.75 significant strikes per min while "Lionheart" allows 4.60. Reyes also stops 48% of the significant strikes his opponents attempt while Smith thwarts 46% of the strikes thrown his way.

Concerning grappling, Dominick Reyes is not as effective of a wrestler as he scores a takedown 0.35 times per 3 rounds. Reyes is taking his opponents to the canvas on 28% of his tries and defending 80% of takedowns his opponents have tried. Smith is finishing his takedown attempts on 26% of the takedowns he tries and is defending 50% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Regarding going for the sub, Reyes is the less likely of the two fighters to go for the finish by attempting 0.3 subs per 15 min while Smith tries 0.6 subs per 3 rounds.

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In his last appearance in the Octagon, Dominick Reyes fought Dustin Jacoby and ended up getting the win by a punch to the head in round 1. Jacoby ended up landing 6 of 16 of the strikes he let go in total for this contest. Reyes finished this fight landing 20 of 33 total strikes. When talking about significant strikes, Jacoby landed 6 of 16, giving him a percentage of 37%. He ended up landing 1 of 7 significant strikes to the head. On the other side of the cage, Reyes landed 60% of his significant strikes by landing 20 of 33. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he landed 15 of 26 pointed at the head. 100% of the significant strikes landed by Jacoby and 80% of them landed by Reyes were done at a distance.

In the last fight for Anthony Smith, he faced off with Roman Dolidze and took a loss on the night via unanimous decision in round 3. Dolidze ended up connecting on 65% of his significant strikes at distance and Smith ended up landing 100% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Smith connected on 54% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 51 of 93. He ended up landing 27 of 67 significant strikes directed at the head. Dolidze landed 100 of 185 significant strikes in that fight. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he connected on 61 of 135 to the head. Regarding total strikes that he let go in that fight, Dolidze landed 103 of 188 and Smith connected on 51 of 93 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other bouts to keep an eye on

Another fight to keep an eye on is when Vicente Luque squares up in the Octagon against Themba Gorimbo. Luque will be looking to add a win to his career record of 22-10-1. The 33-year-old weighs 170 lbs and comes in at 5'11". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 75". Gorimbo stands in at 6'1" and is fighting at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a win to his career total of 14-4-0. The 33-year-old has an arm span of 77". When it comes to grappling, Vicente Luque is averaging a takedown 1.00 times per 3 rounds and Themba Gorimbo takes his opponents to the mat 4.89 times per 15 min. In terms of striking, Luque is landing 5.07 strikes per min and connecting on 52% out of all the strikes he attempts. On the other side of the cage you've got Themba Gorimbo, who lands 61% of the strikes that he throws and connects on 3.11 per minute.

Another bout to watch is when Aljamain Sterling is set to square up against Movsar Evloev. Evloev will be looking to add a win to his record of 18-0-0. The 30-year-old weighs in at 145 lbs and stands 5'7". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 72". Sterling measures 5'7" and weighs 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a career record of 24-4-0. The 35-year-old has an arm span of 71". In the category of takedowns, Movsar Evloev is preventing 71% of the takedowns his opponents attempt and is scoring a takedown on 46% of his attempts. Sterling is taking his opponents to the mat on 27% of the attempts he tries and stops 45% of all takedown attempts. In the category of striking, Evloev absorbs 2.89 strikes per min while he lands 4.43 strikes/minute. Sterling, on the other side, is taking 2.30 strikes/min and is dishing out 4.61 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Dominick Reyes (-345)

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