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Derrick Lewis vs Jhonata Diniz Pick, 11/2/2024 Predictions UFC Edmonton Odds

by Tony Sink - 11/1/2024

Derrick Lewis vs Jhonata Diniz

UFC Edmonton

Rogers Place in Edmonton, Alberta

Saturday, November 2, 2024

Derrick Lewis will enter the Octagon against Jhonata Diniz at UFC Edmonton on Saturday, November 2, 2024. The odds have Lewis at +150 while Diniz is priced at -180.

Derrick "The Black Beast" Lewis walks into the Octagon holding a record of 28-12-0 (1 NC). The 39-year-old weighs 260 lbs and stands 6'3". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 79". Jhonata Diniz comes in at 6'4" and is weighing in at 254 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a career mark of 8-0-0. The 33-year-old has an arm span of 79". In terms of significant strikes, Derrick Lewis connects on 2.48 per min while Jhonata Diniz connects on 4.09 significant strikes per min. Lewis lands 50% of the significant strikes he tries while Diniz connects on 53%. In terms of defending in the cage, "The Black Beast" allows 2.48 significant strikes per minute and Diniz takes 2.75. Lewis also defends 40% of the significant strikes his opponents throw his way and Diniz thwarts 55% of the shots thrown his way.

ufc picks Derrick Lewis ufc predictions best bet odds

 

UFC Edmonton Derrick Lewis Jhonata Diniz
Opening Odds +150 -180
Record 28-12-0 (1 NC) 8-0-0
Average Fight Time 9:09 8:29
Height 6'3" 6'4"
Weight 260 lbs 254 lbs
Reach 79" 79"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 2.48 4.09
Striking Accuracy 50% 53%

Regarding grappling, Derrick Lewis is the more productive grappler as he is averaging a takedown 0.57 times per 3 rounds. Lewis is getting his opponent to the mat on 26% of his attempts and defending 52% of takedowns his opponents have tried. Diniz is finishing his takedown tries on 15% of the takedowns he tries and thwarting 70% of the attempts against him. Regarding subbing the opposition, Lewis is the more skilled of the two fighters by trying 0.7 finishes per 3 rds while Diniz goes for 0.6 finishes per 3 rds.

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The last time he fought, Derrick Lewis faced Rodrigo Nascimento and took home the victory by way of a punch to the head in round 3. Nascimento ended up landing 72 of 92 total strikes attempted in that contest. Lewis finished this fight landing 47 of 81 total strikes. In terms of significant strikes, Nascimento landed 27 of 41, which means his percentage was 65%. He finished the fight landing 16 of 30 significant strikes to the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Lewis ended up landing 54% of his significant strikes by connecting on 41 of 75. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he landed 33 of 65 aimed at the head. 29% of the significant strikes landed by Nascimento and 36% of them landed by Lewis were done at distance.

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In the last fight for Jhonata Diniz, he fought Karl Williams and wound up taking home the victory by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Williams ended up landing 86% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance while Diniz ended up connecting on 98% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Diniz landed 57% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 59 of 103. He connected on 32 of 75 significant strikes to the head. Williams ended up landing 29 of 84 significant strikes in that battle. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he landed 22 of 74 aimed at the head. In relation to total strikes that he let go, Williams ended up connecting on 49 of 120 and Diniz was 63 of 107 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other bouts on the card to keep an eye on

An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Caio Machado fights Brendson Ribeiro. Machado walks into the Octagon with a record of 8-3-1. The 30-year-old will fight at 250 lbs and measures 6'4". The southpaw fighter has an arm span of 78". Ribeiro comes in at 6'3" and tips the scales at 205 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a win to his career record of 15-7-0 (1 NC). The 28-year-old reaches 81". In terms of takedowns, Caio Machado takes his opponents to the canvas 0.30 times per 15 min while Brendson Ribeiro gets a takedown 2.20 times per 3 rds. In the striking category, Machado lands 6.07 strikes per min and is landing 58% of the strikes that he throws. On the other side of the cage we have Brendson Ribeiro, who is connecting on 46% of the strikes that he throws and is landing 3.08 per minute.

If you're into fun fights, you're going to want to see when Dustin Stoltzfus is set to clash with Marc-Andre Barriault. Barriault walks into the Octagon holding a record of 16-8-0 (1 NC). The 34-year-old records a weight of 185 lbs and stands 6'1". The orthodox fighter reaches 74". Stoltzfus comes in at 6'0" and weighs in at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a mark of 15-6-0. The 32-year-old has a wingspan of 75". Regarding wrestling, Marc-Andre Barriault is able to curb 67% of the takedowns fighters have gone for and is finishing his takedown tries on 25% of his attempts. Stoltzfus is finishing his takedown tries on 41% of the tries he takes and stops 46% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. Concerning striking, Barriault takes 5.67 strikes per min and he is dishing out 6.12 strikes per minute. Stoltzfus, on the other hand, takes 3.40 strikes per minute and is landing 3.51 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Jhonata Diniz (-180)

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