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Darren Elkins vs Daniel Pineda Pick, 10/19/2024 Predictions UFC Vegas 99 Odds

by Tony Sink - 10/18/2024

Darren Elkins vs Daniel Pineda

UFC Vegas 99

UFC Apex in Las Vegas

Saturday, October 19, 2024

Darren Elkins will take on Daniel Pineda at UFC Vegas 99 on Saturday, October 19, 2024. The odds have Elkins at +105 while Pineda is priced at -125.

Darren "The Damage" Elkins walks into the Octagon holding a record of 28-11-0. The 40-year-old tips the scales at 145 lbs and comes in at 5'10". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 71". Daniel "The Pit" Pineda comes in at 5'7" and records a weight of 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight holding a mark of 28-16-0 (3 NC). The 39-year-old stretches 69". Concerning significant strikes, Darren Elkins connects on 3.44 per min while Daniel Pineda connects on 2.96 significant strikes per min. Elkins is connecting on 38% of the significant strikes he throws and Pineda is connecting on 48%. When it comes to defending in the cage, "The Damage" takes 3.27 significant strikes per minute and "The Pit" allows 3.34. Elkins also curbs 52% of the significant strikes that are aimed in his direction and Pineda is able to curb 44% of the shots thrown.

ufc picks Darren Elkins ufc predictions best bet odds

 

UFC Vegas 99 Darren Elkins Daniel Pineda
Opening Odds +105 -125
Record 28-11-0 28-16-0 (3 NC)
Average Fight Time 11:50 9:02
Height 5'10" 5'7"
Weight 145 lbs 145 lbs
Reach 71" 69"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 3.44 2.96
Striking Accuracy 38% 48%

Regarding grappling, Darren Elkins is the more effective wrestler as he takes his opponents to the canvas 2.85 times per 15 minutes. Elkins is scoring a takedown on 35% of the times he tries and is stuffing 56% of takedowns his opponents have tried. Pineda is finishing his takedowns on 24% of the takedowns he tries and stopping 48% of the tries against him. When it comes to going for the sub, Elkins is less apt at going for the finish by attempting 1.1 finishes per 3 rds while Pineda goes for 1.5 finishes per 15 min.

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The last time he stepped into the Octagon, Darren Elkins fought TJ Brown and got a win for the night via rear naked choke in round 3. Brown ended up landing 45 of 86 total strikes that he threw in that contest. Elkins ended the night having landed 95 of 146 total strikes. When talking about significant strikes, Brown ended up landing 15 of 50, which gave him a rate of 30%. He ended up landing 11 of 45 significant strikes to the head. Statistically, Elkins landed 33% of his significant strikes by landing 11 of 33. Of those significant strikes, he was 8 of 29 pointed at the head. 100% of the significant strikes landed by Brown and 100% of them connected on by Elkins were done at a distance.

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In the last Octagon appearance for Daniel Pineda, he faced off with Nathaniel Wood and was defeated by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Wood landed 83% of his significant strikes at distance and Pineda ended up connecting on 59% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Pineda ended up landing 46% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 32 of 69. He landed 21 of 53 significant strikes directed at the head. Wood ended up landing 66 of 93 significant strikes in that contest. Of those significant strikes, he ended up landing 35 of 56 directed at the head. Discussing total strikes that he threw in that fight, Wood ended up connecting on 81 of 110 and Pineda was 80 of 125 of all the strikes he threw.

Other fights to watch

Another fight to keep an eye on is when Matheus Nicolau meets Asu Almabayev. Nicolau looks to add a victory to his record of 19-5-1. The 31-year-old records a weight of 125 lbs and stands 5'6". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 66". Almabayev stands 5'4" and records a weight of 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to his career total of 20-2-0. The 30-year-old stretches 65". Regarding grappling, Matheus Nicolau scores a takedown 1.38 times per 15 min and Asu Almabayev is able to score a takedown 6.68 times per 15 minutes. In the striking category, Nicolau connects on 3.62 strikes per min and connecting on 52% of his attempted strikes. The other fighter in this bout is Asu Almabayev, who is landing 61% of the strikes he has tried and connects on 2.36 per min.

If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Jean Matsumoto is set to go up against Brad Katona. Katona comes into this fight with a record of 16-3-0. The 32-year-old weighs 135 lbs and measures in at 5'6". The orthodox fighter reaches 64". Matsumoto measures 5'6" and is weighing in at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a win to his career total of 15-0-0. The 25-year-old has a wingspan of 68". In terms of wrestling, Brad Katona is able to thwart 52% of his opponents' takedown attempts and is scoring a takedown on 33% of his attempts. Matsumoto is taking his opponents to the mat on 50% of his tries and prevents 56% of all takedown tries against him. In the matter of striking, Katona takes 4.55 strikes/min and he deals 4.69 per minute. Matsumoto, notwithstanding, is absorbing 4.52 strikes per minute and is dealing 4.76 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Darren Elkins (+105)

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