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Damon Jackson vs Chepe Mariscal Pick, 8/10/2024 Predictions UFC Vegas 95 Odds

by Tony Sink - 8/6/2024

Damon Jackson vs Chepe Mariscal

UFC Vegas 95

UFC Apex in Las Vegas

Saturday, August 10, 2024

Damon Jackson will face off against Chepe Mariscal at UFC Vegas 95 on Saturday, August 10, 2024. The opening moneyline has Jackson coming in at +180 while Mariscal is priced at -250.

Uros "The Doctor" Medic will be looking to add a win to his career total of 23-6-1 (1 NC). The 35-year-old steps on the scale at 145 lbs and measures in at 5'11". The switch fighter has a reach of 71". Danny "LeftHand2God" Barlow comes in at 5'7" and weighs in at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to his career record of 16-6-0 (1 NC). The 31-year-old extends his reach 69". In the category of significant strikes, Damon Jackson connects on 3.00 per minute and Chepe Mariscal lands 4.70 significant strikes per min. Jackson is connecting on 41% of the significant strikes he tries and Mariscal connects on 52%. When it comes to defending in the cage, "The Leech" allows 3.29 significant strikes per minute and "Machine Gun" absorbs 3.68. Jackson also prevents 51% of the significant strikes his opponents attempt and Mariscal defends against 52% of the shots thrown his way.

ufc picks Damon Jackson ufc predictions best bet odds

 

UFC Vegas 95 Damon Jackson Chepe Mariscal
Opening Odds +180 -250
Record 23-6-1 (1 NC) 16-6-0 (1 NC)
Average Fight Time 9:57 12:46
Height 5'11" 5'7"
Weight 145 lbs 145 lbs
Reach 71" 69"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 3.00 4.70
Striking Accuracy 41% 52%

Concerning grappling, Damon Jackson is the more apt wrestler as he is averaging a takedown 2.51 times per 3 rounds. Jackson is taking his opponents to the canvas on 35% of his attempts and stopping 40% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Mariscal is scoring a takedown on 28% of the takedowns he tries and stopping 66% of the attempts against him. Regarding going for the sub, Jackson is the more apt fighter by going for 1.4 finishes per 15 min while Mariscal tries 0.4 finishes per 15 min.

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The last time he stepped into the Octagon, Damon Jackson faced Alexander Hernandez and took home the victory by way of split decision in round 3. Hernandez landed 56 of 119 of the strikes he threw in total in this fight. Jackson finished this fight landing 85 of 135 total strikes. In the significant strikes category, Hernandez ended up landing 32 of 87, which means his percentage was 36%. He ended up landing 20 of 69 significant strikes to the head. On the other side, Jackson ended up landing 49% of his significant strikes by landing 42 of 85. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he was 20 of 60 aimed at the head. 90% of the significant strikes landed by Hernandez and 71% of them landed by Jackson were tallied at a distance.

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In the last Octagon appearance for Chepe Mariscal, he went up against Morgan Charriere and wound up taking home the victory by split decision in round 3. Charriere ended up connecting on 91% of his significant strikes at distance and Mariscal connected on 70% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Mariscal landed 51% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 71 of 137. He ended up connecting on 42 of 94 significant strikes aimed at the head. Charriere connected on 49 of 104 significant strikes in that contest. Out of those significant strikes, he connected on 30 of 83 aimed at the head. Discussing the strikes he fired off in this contest, Charriere connected on 75 of 139 while Mariscal landed 121 of 199 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other fights on the card to watch out for

An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Allan Nascimento squares up with Jafel Filho. Nascimento walks into the Octagon holding a mark of 20-6-0. The 32-year-old weighs 125 lbs and stands in at 5'8". The orthodox fighter stretches 69". Filho measures in at 5'7" and is fighting at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight with a mark of 16-3-0. The 31-year-old has a reach of 68". In terms of takedowns, Allan Nascimento takes his opponents to the mat 1.55 times per 15 min while Jafel Filho scores a takedown 1.77 times per 3 rds. Regarding striking, Nascimento connects on 3.21 strikes per minute and is connecting on 61% of his attempted strikes. On the other side of the cage we have Jafel Filho, who is landing 41% of the strikes he has tried and connects on 2.36 per min.

An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Charalampos Grigoriou is set to square up in the Octagon against Toshiomi Kazama. Kazama looks to add a win to his total of 10-4-0. The 27-year-old will fight at 135 lbs and measures 5'7". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 69". Grigoriou measures in at 5'7" and records a weight of 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon with a record of 8-4-0. The 32-year-old extends his reach 67". Regarding wrestling, Toshiomi Kazama is able to stop 66% of the takedowns fighters have gone for and is scoring a takedown on 13% of his tries. Grigoriou is finishing his takedowns on 80% of his attempts and defends against 85% of takedowns his opponents have tried. With regard to striking, Kazama takes 3.94 strikes per min while he deals 2.22 strikes/min. Grigoriou, in contrast, is taking 5.56 strikes/min and dishes out 2.13 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Chepe Mariscal (-250)

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