Curtis Blaydes vs Jailton Almeida Pick, 3/9/2024 Predictions UFC 299 Odds

by Tony Sink - 3/4/2024

Curtis Blaydes vs Jailton Almeida

UFC 299

Kaseya Center in Miami, Florida

Saturday, March 9, 2024

Curtis Blaydes will battle Jailton Almeida at UFC 299 on Saturday, March 9, 2024. The opener has Blaydes coming in at -115 while Almeida is at -105.

Curtis "Razor" Blaydes has a record of 17-4-0 (1 NC). The 33-year-old is fighting at 265 lbs and comes in at 6'4". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 80". Jailton "Malhadinho" Almeida measures 6'3" and will fight at 205 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon with a mark of 20-2-0. The 32-year-old extends his reach 79". In terms of significant strikes, Curtis Blaydes connects on 3.56 per minute and Jailton Almeida lands 2.78 significant strikes per minute. Blaydes connects on 49% of the significant strikes he attempts while Almeida is connecting on 64%. When it comes to defending in the cage, "Razor" allows 1.89 significant strikes per min and "Malhadinho" takes 0.52. Blaydes also thwarts 59% of the significant strikes that are thrown his way while Almeida is able to deflect 43% of them.

ufc picks Curtis Blaydes ufc predictions best bet odds

UFC 299	Curtis Blaydes	Jailton Almeida
Opening Odds	-115	-105
Record	17-4-0 (1 NC)	20-2-0
Average Fight Time	9:14	7:55
Height	6'4"	6'3"
Weight	265 lbs	205 lbs
Reach	80"	79"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	3.56	2.78
Striking Accuracy	49%	64%

In the wrestling category, Curtis Blaydes is the more productive grappler as he is averaging a takedown 5.93 times per 15 min. Blaydes is getting his opponent to the mat on 53% of his attempts and thwarting 33% of all takedown attempts. Almeida is taking his opponents to the canvas on 55% of the takedowns he attempts and is stopping 75% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Regarding going for the sub, Blaydes is the less likely of the two fighters to go for the finish by attempting 0.7 finishes per 15 minutes while Almeida looks to get 2.4 finishes per 3 rounds.

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In his last fight, Curtis Blaydes fought Sergei Pavlovich and wound up walking away in defeat via a punch to the head in round 1. Pavlovich ended up landing 36 of 85 total strikes that he threw in that fight. Blaydes walked away from this fight having landed 14 of 56 total strikes. In the significant strikes category, Pavlovich ended up landing 36 of 85, which gave him a percentage of 42%. He landed 30 of 78 significant strikes to the head. Statistically, Blaydes ended up landing 25% of his significant strikes by connecting on 14 of 56. Of those significant strikes, he connected on 11 of 51 aimed at the head. 88% of the significant strikes connected on by Pavlovich and 100% of them landed by Blaydes were done at a distance.

In the last fight for Jailton Almeida, he fought Derrick Lewis and got a win for the night by unanimous decision in round 5. Lewis ended up landing 10% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance and Almeida ended up connecting on 13% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Almeida connected on 67% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 38 of 56. He ended up landing 32 of 48 significant strikes to the head. Lewis ended up connecting on 20 of 39 significant strikes in that fight. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he ended up landing 17 of 33 to the head. Discussing total strikes attempted in that fight, Lewis landed 28 of 54 and Almeida was 120 of 153 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other fights to watch

Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Mateusz Gamrot enters the Octagon with Rafael Dos Anjos. Gamrot has a record of 23-2-0 (1 NC). The 33-year-old weighs in at 155 lbs and measures in at 5'10". The southpaw fighter stretches 70". Dos Anjos measures in at 5'8" and weighs 155 lbs. The southpaw fighter looks to add a victory to his total of 32-15-0. The 39-year-old extends his reach 70". In the grappling category, Mateusz Gamrot is averaging a takedown 4.36 times per 15 min while Rafael Dos Anjos is able to score a takedown 2.01 times per 3 rounds. When talking about striking, Gamrot lands 2.97 strikes per min and lands 50% of his attempted strikes. The other guy in this fight is Rafael Dos Anjos, who is connecting on 47% of the strikes that he throws and connects on 3.52 per minute.

If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Kyler Phillips is set to clash with Pedro Munhoz. Munhoz looks to add a win to his record of 20-8-0 (2 NC). The 37-year-old weighs 135 lbs and comes in at 5'6". The orthodox fighter reaches 65". Phillips measures 5'8" and weighs in at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to his record of 11-2-0. The 28-year-old has an arm span of 72". In the category of takedowns, Pedro Munhoz is able to deflect 82% of his opponents' takedown attempts and is finishing his takedowns on 19% of the times he tries. Phillips is taking his opponents to the mat on 46% of the attempts he tries and prevents 70% of takedowns his opponents have tried. In the category of striking, Munhoz is taking 6.14 strikes per minute and he lands 5.45 strikes per min. Phillips, on the other hand, is taking 3.36 strikes per min and is dishing out 5.36 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Curtis Blaydes (-115)

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Curtis Blaydes vs Jailton Almeida Pick, 3/9/2024 Predictions UFC 299 Odds

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