Cristian Quinonez vs Raoni Barcelos Pick, 2/24/2024 Predictions UFC Mexico City Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 2/19/2024

Cristian Quinonez vs Raoni Barcelos

UFC Mexico City

Mexico City Arena

Saturday, February 24, 2024

Cristian Quinonez will enter the Octagon against Raoni Barcelos at UFC Mexico City on Saturday, February 24, 2024. The opener has Quinonez coming in at +142 while Barcelos is priced at -170.

Cristian "Problema" Quinonez steps into the cage with a record of 18-4-0. The 27-year-old is weighing in at 135 lbs and measures in at 5'8". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 70". Raoni Barcelos measures in at 5'7" and is fighting at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a mark of 17-5-0. The 36-year-old has a reach of 67". In terms of significant strikes, Cristian Quinonez connects on 5.23 per minute while Raoni Barcelos connects on 5.38 significant strikes per minute. Quinonez connects on 42% of the significant strikes he throws while Barcelos is connecting on 51%. In terms of defending themselves, "Problema" takes 5.13 significant strikes per minute while Barcelos allows 5.03. Quinonez also prevents 59% of the significant strikes his opponents attempt and Barcelos is able to stop 61% of them.

ufc picks Cristian Quinonez ufc predictions best bet odds

UFC Mexico City	Cristian Quinonez	Raoni Barcelos
Opening Odds	+142	-170
Record	18-4-0	17-5-0
Average Fight Time	6:53	12:31
Height	5'8"	5'7"
Weight	135 lbs	135 lbs
Reach	70"	67"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	5.23	5.38
Striking Accuracy	42%	51%

When it comes to wrestling, Cristian Quinonez is not as efficient of a wrestler as he scores a takedown 0.73 times per 15 min. Quinonez is taking his opponents to the canvas on 100% of his tries and thwarting 85% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Barcelos is finishing his takedowns on 37% of his takedown attempts and stuffing 90% of the attempts against him. In terms of subbing opponents, Quinonez is less likely to go for the finish by trying 0.2 submissions per 3 rounds while Barcelos attempts 0.4 submissions per 15 minutes.

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The last time he stepped into the Octagon, Cristian Quinonez faced Kyung Ho Kang and wound up taking the loss via rear naked choke in round 1. Kang ended up landing 31 of 46 total strikes attempted in that fight. Quinonez finished this fight landing 13 of 29 total strikes. In terms of significant strikes, Kang ended up landing 22 of 37, giving him a percentage of 59%. He landed 14 of 28 significant strikes to the head. On the other side, Quinonez landed 44% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 13 of 29. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he was 11 of 27 to the head. 77% of the significant strikes connected on by Kang and 100% of them connected on by Quinonez were thrown at distance.

In the last fight for Raoni Barcelos, he squared up with Kyler Phillips and wound up walking away in defeat by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Phillips connected on 86% of the significant strikes he took from distance and Barcelos connected on 84% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Barcelos landed 39% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 46 of 116. He landed 20 of 87 significant strikes to the head. Phillips ended up connecting on 72 of 187 significant strikes in that fight. Of those significant strikes, he connected on 40 of 146 aimed at the head. Discussing total strikes attempted in that contest, Phillips connected on 80 of 196 and Barcelos ended up landing 52 of 124 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other bouts to keep an eye on

Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Jesus Aguilar enters the Octagon with Mateus Mendonca. Aguilar comes into this fight with a mark of 9-2-0. The 27-year-old is weighing in at 125 lbs and comes in at 5'4". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 62". Mendonca stands 5'6" and will fight at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to his total of 10-2-0. The 25-year-old extends his reach 71". In the grappling category, Jesus Aguilar gets his opposition to the mat 2.72 times per 3 rds while Mateus Mendonca is able to score a takedown 1.47 times per 3 rounds. In terms of striking, Aguilar connects on 1.69 strikes/min and connecting on 49% of the strikes that he attempts. On the other side of the cage you've got Mateus Mendonca, who is connecting on 38% of the strikes he has thrown and is landing 2.00 per min.

Another bout to watch is when Daniel Lacerda is set to go up against Edgar Chairez. Chairez steps into the Octagon holding a mark of 10-5-0 (1 NC). The 28-year-old weighs in at 125 lbs and stands 5'7". The orthodox fighter stretches 71". Lacerda stands in at 5'6" and steps on the scale at 125 lbs. The switch fighter looks to add a win to his career total of 11-5-0 (1 NC). The 27-year-old has a wingspan of 70". In terms of wrestling, Edgar Chairez is able to stop 45% of his opponents' takedown attempts and is taking his opponents to the mat on 0% of the times he tries. Lacerda is finishing his takedowns on 42% of his tries and is able to deflect 0% of all takedown tries against him. With regard to striking, Chairez is absorbing 4.26 strikes/min while he is dishing out 2.60 strikes per min. Lacerda, moreover, is absorbing 8.70 strikes/min and is dishing out 4.16 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Raoni Barcelos (-170)

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Cristian Quinonez vs Raoni Barcelos Pick, 2/24/2024 Predictions UFC Mexico City Odds

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