Clayton Carpenter vs Lucas Rocha Pick, 10/12/2024 Predictions UFC Vegas 98 Odds

Clayton Carpenter vs Lucas Rocha

UFC Vegas 98

UFC Apex in Las Vegas

Saturday, October 12, 2024

Clayton Carpenter will face off with Lucas Rocha at UFC Vegas 98 on Saturday, October 12, 2024. The moneyline has Carpenter coming in at -198 while Rocha is at +164.

Clayton Carpenter will be looking to add a win to his record of 7-0-0. The 28-year-old tips the scales at 125 lbs and comes in at 5'6". The orthodox fighter stretches 66". Lucas "Fenomeno" Rocha stands 5'3" and weighs in at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a mark of 17-1-0. The 24-year-old reaches 64". Regarding significant strikes, Clayton Carpenter is connecting on 4.50 per min and Lucas Rocha is landing 1.51 significant strikes per min. Carpenter is connecting on 51% of the significant strikes he tries while Rocha is connecting on 53%. When it comes to defending themselves, Carpenter takes 2.85 significant strikes per minute and "Fenomeno" absorbs 4.15. Carpenter also thwarts 60% of the significant strikes his opponents throw his way and Rocha is able to defend against 33% of the strikes thrown his way.

Concerning takedowns, Clayton Carpenter is the more apt grappler as he is averaging a takedown 2.47 times per 3 rds. Carpenter is scoring a takedown on 50% of his tries and stopping 15% of all takedowns attempted on him. Rocha is finishing his takedown tries on 15% of the takedowns he attempts and is stopping 66% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Regarding going for the sub, Carpenter is the more experienced of the two fighters by trying 2.5 finishes per 15 minutes while Rocha attempts 0.6 finishes per 3 rds.

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In his last appearance in the Octagon, Clayton Carpenter went up against Juancamilo Ronderos and ended up getting the win via rear naked choke in round 1. Ronderos landed 46 of 56 of the strikes he let go in total for this contest. Carpenter walked away from this fight having landed 3 of 5 total strikes. Concerning significant strikes, Ronderos ended up landing 1 of 7, which means his percentage was 14%. He finished the fight landing 0 of 6 significant strikes to the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Carpenter ended up landing 60% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 3 of 5. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he connected on 2 of 4 to the head. 100% of the significant strikes connected on by Ronderos and 100% of them landed by Carpenter were done at distance.

In the last bout for Lucas Rocha, he faced off with Davi Bittencourt and wound up getting the victory by way of a knee to the head in round 2. Bittencourt landed 31% of his significant strikes at distance while Rocha connected on 37% of his significant strikes at distance. Rocha landed 53% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 8 of 15. He landed 6 of 12 significant strikes directed at the head. Bittencourt landed 22 of 33 significant strikes in that battle. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he ended up landing 7 of 14 to the head. In terms of total strikes that he let go in that contest, Bittencourt was 32 of 47 while Rocha connected on 14 of 21 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other fights to watch

Another fight to keep an eye on is when Julia Polastri battles Cory McKenna. Polastri steps into the cage holding a mark of 12-4-0. The 26-year-old weighs 115 lbs and stands 5'2". The orthodox fighter extends her reach 63". McKenna stands 5'3" and is weighing in at 115 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon with a record of 8-3-0. The 25-year-old extends her reach 58". When it comes to grappling, Julia Polastri gets a takedown 1.54 times per 15 minutes while Cory McKenna takes her opponents to the canvas 2.22 times per 15 min. Regarding striking, Polastri connects for an average of 5.45 strikes per min and is connecting on 52% of her attempted strikes. On the other side of the cage we have Cory McKenna, who lands 40% of the strikes she attempts and is connecting on 3.00 per min.

If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Tatsuro Taira is set to go up against Brandon Royval. Royval steps into the Octagon holding a mark of 16-7-0. The 32-year-old will fight at 125 lbs and measures 5'9". The southpaw fighter extends his reach 68". Taira comes in at 5'7" and weighs in at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon with a record of 16-0-0. The 24-year-old stretches 70". In terms of wrestling, Brandon Royval is able to defend against 40% of the takedowns fighters have gone for and is getting his opponent to the mat on 60% of his attempts. Taira is taking his opponents down on 47% of the attempts he tries and curbs 62% of all takedown tries against him. With reference to striking, Royval is taking 3.42 strikes per min and he connects on 4.33 strikes/min. Taira, on the other side, takes 1.70 strikes per minute and is connecting on 3.56 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Clayton Carpenter (-198)

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