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Claudio Puelles vs Fares Ziam Pick, 2/24/2024 Predictions UFC Mexico City Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 2/19/2024

Claudio Puelles vs Fares Ziam

UFC Mexico City

Mexico City Arena

Saturday, February 24, 2024

Claudio Puelles will enter the Octagon against Fares Ziam at UFC Mexico City on Saturday, February 24, 2024. The moneyline has Puelles coming in at +170 while Ziam is at -205.

Claudio "Prince of Peru" Puelles steps into the Octagon with a record of 13-3-0. The 27-year-old steps on the scale at 155 lbs and comes in at 5'10". The southpaw fighter stretches 72". Fares "Smile Killer" Ziam stands in at 6'1" and will fight at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to his total of 14-4-0. The 26-year-old stretches 75". When talking about significant strikes, Claudio Puelles is landing 1.82 per min and Fares Ziam is landing 2.82 significant strikes per minute. Puelles lands 49% of the significant strikes he attempts while Ziam is landing 47%. In terms of defending themselves, "Prince of Peru" allows 2.93 significant strikes per min while "Smile Killer" takes 2.01. Puelles also deflects 47% of the significant strikes his opponents throw at him and Ziam prevents 65% of the shots thrown.

ufc picks Claudio Puelles ufc predictions best bet odds

 

UFC Mexico City Claudio Puelles Fares Ziam
Opening Odds +170 -205
Record 13-3-0 14-4-0
Average Fight Time 10:41 12:52
Height 5'10" 6'1"
Weight 155 lbs 155 lbs
Reach 72" 75"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 1.82 2.82
Striking Accuracy 49% 47%

 

In terms of takedowns, Claudio Puelles is the more skilled wrestler as he is averaging a takedown 2.41 times per 15 min. Puelles is taking his opponents to the canvas on 30% of the times he tries and is stopping 60% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Ziam is finishing his takedowns on 23% of the takedowns he tries and stuffing 75% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. In terms of going for the sub, Puelles is the more experienced submission fighter by trying 1.4 finishes per 3 rounds while Ziam attempts 0.7 finishes per 3 rounds.

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The last time he fought, Claudio Puelles went up against Dan Hooker and walked away in defeat by way of a front kick to the body in round 2. Hooker landed 37 of 73 of the strikes he threw in total in this fight. Puelles finished this fight landing 5 of 18 total strikes. Concerning significant strikes, Hooker landed 29 of 63, which gave him a rate of 46%. He landed 8 of 34 significant strikes directed at the head. Statistically, Puelles landed 27% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 5 of 18. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he connected on 1 of 12 aimed at the head. 82% of the significant strikes landed by Hooker and 100% of them landed by Puelles were thrown at a distance.

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In the last Octagon appearance for Fares Ziam, he fought Jai Herbert and wound up taking home the victory by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Herbert connected on 77% of his significant strikes at distance and Ziam ended up connecting on 73% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Ziam ended up connecting on 53% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 61 of 113. He connected on 29 of 74 significant strikes directed at the head. Herbert ended up landing 49 of 134 significant strikes in that contest. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he landed 7 of 79 aimed at the head. Regarding total strikes thrown in that contest, Herbert ended up landing 58 of 150 while Ziam ended up connecting on 96 of 153 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other fights on the card to keep an eye on

An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Luis Rodriguez takes on Denys Bondar. Rodriguez comes into this fight with a mark of 16-2-0. The 24-year-old steps on the scale at 125 lbs and stands in at 5'6". The orthodox fighter stretches 65". Bondar stands in at 5'6" and tips the scales at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight with a record of 14-4-0. The 31-year-old has a wingspan of 69". In terms of takedowns, Luis Rodriguez gets a takedown 2.00 times per 15 min while Denys Bondar takes his opponents to the canvas 2.75 times per 15 min. In terms of striking, Rodriguez connects for an average of 1.27 strikes/min and is connecting on 37% of his attempted strikes. On the other side of the cage we have Denys Bondar, who tags his opponent on 45% of the strikes he attempts and connects on 4.89 per min.

If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Felipe dos Santos is set to square up with Victor Altamirano. Altamirano looks to add a victory to his total of 12-3-0. The 33-year-old will fight at 125 lbs and stands in at 5'8". The switch fighter stretches 70". dos Santos stands in at 5'7" and is weighing in at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight with a record of 7-1-0 (1 NC). The 23-year-old has an arm span of 70". In the category of takedowns, Victor Altamirano is able to deflect 63% of his opponents' takedown tries and is finishing his takedowns on 25% of his attempts. dos Santos is taking his opponents to the mat on 0% of his attempts and prevents 0% of takedowns his opponents have tried. With regard to striking, Altamirano absorbs 3.99 strikes/minute while he is dealing 5.00 per minute. dos Santos, moreover, is absorbing 7.47 strikes per minute and is connecting on 6.60 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Claudio Puelles (+170)

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