CJ Vergara vs Assu Almabayev Pick, 3/9/2024 Predictions UFC 299 Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 3/4/2024

CJ Vergara vs Assu Almabayev

UFC 299

Kaseya Center in Miami, Florida

Saturday, March 9, 2024

CJ Vergara will face off against Assu Almabayev at UFC 299 on Saturday, March 9, 2024. The moneyline has Vergara priced at +330 while Almabayev is at -425.

CJ Vergara walks into the Octagon holding a mark of 12-4-1. The 32-year-old weighs in at 125 lbs and stands 5'6". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 68". Assu "Zulfikar" Almabayev stands in at 5'4" and steps on the scale at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this bout with a mark of 18-2-0. The 30-year-old has an arm span of 65". When talking about significant strikes, CJ Vergara connects on 6.01 per min while Assu Almabayev is landing 3.18 significant strikes per min. Vergara connects on 57% of the significant strikes he tries and Almabayev lands 65%. When it comes to defending themselves, Vergara absorbs 5.01 significant strikes per min and "Zulfikar" allows 0.49. Vergara also defends 53% of the significant strikes that are directed at him and Almabayev stops 77% of the shots thrown in his direction.

ufc picks CJ Vergara ufc predictions best bet odds

UFC 299	CJ Vergara	Assu Almabayev
Opening Odds	+330	-425
Record	12-4-1	18-2-0
Average Fight Time	10:41	8:11
Height	5'6"	5'4"
Weight	125 lbs	125 lbs
Reach	68"	65"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	6.01	3.18
Striking Accuracy	57%	65%

Regarding wrestling, CJ Vergara is the not as competent as a grappler as he takes his opponents down 0.47 times per 3 rounds. Vergara is finishing his takedown attempts on 15% of the times he tries and is stuffing 74% of the takedowns his opponents try. Almabayev is scoring a takedown on 40% of his takedown attempts and is stuffing 15% of the tries against him. When it comes to sub attempts, Vergara is not as skilled of a technician by trying 0.2 subs per 3 rds while Almabayev looks to get 3.7 subs per 3 rds.

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In his last fight, CJ Vergara went up against Vinicius Salvador and wound up taking home the victory by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Salvador ended up landing 89 of 196 total strikes that he threw in that fight. Vergara ended the night having landed 109 of 181 total strikes. In the significant strikes category, Salvador landed 88 of 195, which gave him a rate of 45%. He finished the fight landing 54 of 154 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side, Vergara ended up landing 60% of his significant strikes by sticking 109 of 181. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he was 43 of 102 to the head. 98% of the significant strikes connected on by Salvador and 95% of them connected on by Vergara were thrown at a distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Assu Almabayev, he faced off with Ode Osbourne and wound up getting the win via rear naked choke in round 2. Osbourne ended up connecting on 75% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance and Almabayev connected on 34% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Almabayev landed 65% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 26 of 40. He landed 17 of 31 significant strikes directed at the head. Osbourne ended up connecting on 4 of 18 significant strikes in that contest. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he ended up landing 4 of 16 directed at the head. In regard to total strikes attempted in that fight, Osbourne ended up landing 8 of 22 and Almabayev was 52 of 78 of all the strikes he threw.

Other bouts on the card to watch out for

Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Katlyn Cerminara squares up with Maycee Barber. Cerminara walks into the Octagon holding a record of 18-5-0. The 35-year-old is weighing in at 125 lbs and measures in at 5'9". The orthodox fighter reaches 68". Barber stands in at 5'5" and is fighting at 125 lbs. The switch fighter walks into the cage with a record of 13-2-0. The 25-year-old reaches 65". When it comes to grappling, Katlyn Cerminara is able to score a takedown 0.27 times per 15 minutes while Maycee Barber takes her opponents to the canvas 1.14 times per 3 rounds. When talking about striking, Cerminara is connecting on 4.59 strikes/min and connecting on 34% of her attempted strikes. Joining her in the Octagon is Maycee Barber, who connects on 52% of the strikes she has attempted and lands 4.60 per min.

Another bout to watch is when Maryna Moroz is set to square up with Joanne Wood. Wood will be looking to add a win to her career record of 16-8-0. The 38-year-old records a weight of 125 lbs and stands in at 5'6". The orthodox fighter stretches 65". Moroz comes in at 5'7" and weighs 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the cage holding a mark of 11-5-0. The 32-year-old extends her reach 67". Concerning grappling, Joanne Wood is able to defend against 59% of the takedowns her opponents go for and is taking her opponents to the canvas on 54% of her tries. Moroz is taking her opponents to the mat on 22% of her tries and defends against 45% of all takedown attempts. In the category of striking, Wood takes 4.72 strikes per minute and she lands 6.93 strikes per minute. Moroz, on the contrary, is absorbing 4.42 strikes per min and is landing 4.15 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take CJ Vergara (+330)

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CJ Vergara vs Assu Almabayev Pick, 3/9/2024 Predictions UFC 299 Odds

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