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Charles Johnson vs Su Mudaerji Pick, 10/19/2024 Predictions UFC Vegas 99 Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 10/18/2024

Charles Johnson vs Su Mudaerji

UFC Vegas 99

UFC Apex in Las Vegas

Saturday, October 19, 2024

Charles Johnson will face off against Su Mudaerji at UFC Vegas 99 on Saturday, October 19, 2024. The opening line has Johnson at -230 while Mudaerji is at +190.

Charles "InnerG" Johnson holds a career record of 16-6-0. The 33-year-old steps on the scale at 125 lbs and comes in at 5'9". The switch fighter extends his reach 70". Su "The Tibetan Eagle" Mudaerji measures in at 5'8" and steps on the scale at 125 lbs. The southpaw fighter walks into the Octagon with a mark of 16-6-0. The 28-year-old stretches 72". Regarding significant strikes, Charles Johnson is connecting on 4.83 per minute while Su Mudaerji is landing 4.64 significant strikes per minute. Johnson lands 51% of the significant strikes he tries and Mudaerji lands 54%. In terms of defending themselves, "InnerG" absorbs 3.45 significant strikes per minute and "The Tibetan Eagle" takes 2.73. Johnson also prevents 58% of the significant strikes that are aimed in his direction and Mudaerji stops 61% of the shots thrown his way.

ufc picks Charles Johnson ufc predictions best bet odds

 

UFC Vegas 99 Charles Johnson Su Mudaerji
Opening Odds -230 +190
Record 16-6-0 16-6-0
Average Fight Time 13:19 8:33
Height 5'9" 5'8"
Weight 125 lbs 125 lbs
Reach 70" 72"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 4.83 4.64
Striking Accuracy 51% 54%

In terms of grappling, Charles Johnson is the more apt grappler as he is able to score a takedown 0.38 times per 15 min. Johnson is scoring a takedown on 20% of his attempts and stopping 66% of all takedown attempts. Mudaerji is finishing his takedowns on 85% of his takedown attempts and is defending 66% of all takedowns attempted on him. In terms of subbing opponents, Johnson is less apt at going for the finish by trying 0.5 submissions per 15 minutes while Mudaerji attempts 0.6 submissions per 3 rounds.

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The last time he stepped into the Octagon, Charles Johnson went up against Joshua Van and ended up winning this fight by a punch to the head in round 3. Van landed 72 of 140 total strikes attempted in that contest. Johnson finished this fight landing 90 of 195 total strikes. In terms of significant strikes, Van landed 67 of 133, giving him a percentage of 50%. He finished the fight landing 44 of 106 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Johnson landed 46% of his significant strikes by connecting on 88 of 191. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he was 44 of 124 pointed at the head. 89% of the significant strikes landed by Van and 95% of them landed by Johnson were thrown at a distance.

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In the last fight for Su Mudaerji, he squared up with Tim Elliott and wound up walking away in defeat via an arm triangle in round 1. Elliott connected on 80% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance and Mudaerji ended up landing 100% of his significant strikes at distance. Mudaerji ended up landing 40% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 10 of 25. He ended up connecting on 6 of 19 significant strikes directed at the head. Elliott ended up connecting on 10 of 21 significant strikes in that fight. Of those significant strikes, he landed 6 of 13 aimed at the head. Regarding total strikes thrown in that contest, Elliott was 26 of 37 while Mudaerji landed 10 of 25 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other bouts to watch out for

Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Brady Hiestand squares up in the Octagon against Jake Hadley. Hiestand will be looking to add a win to his career total of 9-2-0. The 25-year-old steps on the scale at 135 lbs and comes in at 5'8". The orthodox fighter stretches 71". Hadley stands 5'7" and is fighting at 135 lbs. The southpaw fighter will be looking to add a win to his record of 11-3-0. The 28-year-old has a reach of 70". Regarding grappling, Brady Hiestand gets a takedown 4.80 times per 3 rounds while Jake Hadley is averaging a takedown 0.20 times per 3 rounds. In the striking category, Hiestand tags his opponents 2.70 strikes/minute and lands 50% of the strikes that he attempts. Joining him in the Octagon is Jake Hadley, who tags the opposition on 44% of the strikes he has thrown and is landing 3.76 per minute.

Another must see fight on the night is when Daniel Pineda is set to enter the Octagon against Darren Elkins. Elkins walks into the Octagon holding a record of 28-11-0. The 40-year-old tips the scales at 145 lbs and comes in at 5'10". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 71". Pineda comes in at 5'7" and records a weight of 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight holding a mark of 28-16-0 (3 NC). The 39-year-old stretches 69". When it comes to takedowns, Darren Elkins is able to defend against 56% of the takedowns fighters have tried and is getting his opponent to the mat on 35% of the times he tries. Pineda is taking his opponents down on 24% of the attempts he tries and is able to deflect 48% of the takedowns his opponents try. In the matter of striking, Elkins is taking 3.27 strikes per min and he is landing 3.44 strikes per min. Pineda, at the same time, takes 3.34 strikes per minute and connects on 2.96 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Charles Johnson (-230)

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